🔵 Only ~50% of #Bitcoin is in profit right now.
How long will BTC stay stuck in this blue zone?
It could take a couple more months… but once this metric flips back to 🟢, a new bull cycle begins.
History is clear on what happens next 👀
#Bitcoin / $BTC
Expecting a violent move lower when $60K breaks.
Still believe from a *time* perspective, we're only 3-4 months away from the lows of this bear market.
People who manage to survive this phase have the opportunity to position themselves to be the leaders of the next bull market.
Should be a lot of really solid entry opportunities across the board soon enough.
Bitcoin bear markets make fools of both bulls and bears.
BTC rallied from $80k to $98k from November 2025 to January 2026.
People were calling for the supercycle and alt season.
Then BTC set new cycle lows in February 2026, just like it usually does in midterm years.
BTC rallied from $60k to $82k from February 2026 to May 2026, and the bears were relentlessly mocked and ridiculed again.
Then BTC set new cycle lows in June 2026, just like it usually does in midterm years.
The cycle keeps playing out.
It makes the bulls look like fools because the market trends up for so long, only to wipe out all of the gains in a very short period.
It makes the bears look like fools because the market spends a lot of time trending up, before breaking down quickly. So the bear thesis will often look wrong, even when its right.
Do not let emotions rule your investment decisions. Have a plan and stick to it.
$BTC - #Bitcoin: The bearmarket won’t last forever.
Bull market: 1064 days
Bear market: 364 days
Currently we are already trading 259 days in the bear market.
105 days left.
"Bitcoin isn't backed by anything."
Let me stop you right there.
Bitcoin is backed by energy. Real energy. Kilowatts. Heat. Physics.
The kind of backing you can't print, fake, or vote into existence at an emergency Fed meeting.
Every block mined is a thermodynamic proof of work. Not a promise. Not a policy. Proof.
The issuance schedule has never been amended by a committee. Not once. Not ever. Because there is no committee.
There's just math. Cold, indifferent, and immune to political theater.
The network is secured by more raw computing power than anything humanity has ever built. Hundreds of exahashes per second standing guard. Every single day.
Now let's talk about what is backed by nothing.
The dollar.
It's is backed by confidence. Specifically, confidence in the institution that printed $6 trillion in two years while telling you 3% inflation was healthy and you should be grateful for the soft landing.
In the same people who can't pass an audit.
Who fund wars with a credit card.
Who promise solvency while sitting on $39 trillion in debt and accelerating.
"Backed by nothing" isn't an attack on Bitcoin.
It's a confession about the dollar.
Follow if you're serious about building wealth they can't print away.
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Last 3 $BTC cycle bottoms had one thing in common.
Bullish crossover in Stoch RSI on 2M timeframe.
This hasn't happened in 2026, which is a sign that $60,000 might not be the bottom.
Bitcoin's "Electrical Cost" has dropped below $50,000.
Just a few months ago, this was around $70,000.
I expect "Electrical Cost" to drop below $45,000, which means the BTC bottom ceiling will get lower.
This means $BTC will eventually drop below $50,000 and could bottom around $46,000-$48,000, which also coincides with August 2024 lows.
$BTC (1W) - 60K Was Not the Bottom
The Gaussian Channel has never been wrong.
In every cycle, Bitcoin's bottom formed after the channel flipped red, not before.
✅ 2015
✅ 2018
✅ 2022
The channel just turned red again.
If history holds, 60K wasn't the bottom.
One more leg down completes the pattern.
$BTC is still playing out quite similarly to the 2022 bear market.
Expecting a bottom in the low $50ks to high $40ks.
I remain patient until those prices come, or I'm proven wrong.