CSEA Africa

Non-profit #thinktank that conducts evidence-based research on economic and development issues in Africa to inform policy-making.

@UNCTAD Centre of Excellence

[CSEA Africa @csea_afric]

CSEA's June Macroeconomic Snapshot captures a paradox at the heart of Nigeria's story in early 2026.

Real GDP grew 3.89% in Q1 2026, up from 3.13% a year earlier, with non-oil sectors (96% of output) doing the heavy lifting. Trade, services, and agriculture are driving momentum, not crude.

Yet the poverty rate hit an estimated 63% in 2025, the seventh straight year of increase since 2019. Nearly 2 in 3 Nigerians now live below the poverty line, and 27 million faced food insecurity last fall.

The headline numbers are moving up. The kitchen table tells a different story.

Growth that doesn't reach the household isn't yet shared progress. Closing that gap calls for funded social protection, food security interventions, and reforms that bring down the cost of living for the most vulnerable.

Read the full snapshot below.

#nigeriaeconomy #macroeconomics #CSEA

[CSEA Africa @csea_afric]

Dr Chukwuka Onyekwena, Executive Director, Centre for the Study of the Economies of Africa, will be speaking at the Rencontres Économiques d’Aix-en-Provence, Europe’s leading economic forum that brings together researchers, institutions, elected officials, businesses, and civil society.

His session on the 3rd of July, 2026, will focus on ‘Technological progress and employment: should we fear AI?'

To join the session, click the link to register for free: https://t.co/T3cI7zRkUV

#REAIX #cseaafrica #artificialintellegence #REAIX2026 #GlobalEconomicDialogue #ThinkTanks

[CSEA Africa @csea_afric]

Macroeconomic Snapshot 👇

[CSEA Africa @csea_afric]

CSEA's June Macroeconomic Snapshot captures a paradox at the heart of Nigeria's story in early 2026.

Real GDP grew 3.89% in Q1 2026, up from 3.13% a year earlier, with non-oil sectors (96% of output) doing the heavy lifting. Trade, services, and agriculture are driving momentum, not crude.

Yet the poverty rate hit an estimated 63% in 2025, the seventh straight year of increase since 2019. Nearly 2 in 3 Nigerians now live below the poverty line, and 27 million faced food insecurity last fall.

The headline numbers are moving up. The kitchen table tells a different story.

Growth that doesn't reach the household isn't yet shared progress. Closing that gap calls for funded social protection, food security interventions, and reforms that bring down the cost of living for the most vulnerable.

Read the full snapshot below.

#nigeriaeconomy #macroeconomics #CSEA

[CSEA Africa @csea_afric]

Dr Adedeji Adeniran, Director of Research at the Centre for the Study of the Economies of Africa (CSEA), recently presented key findings from the study, Balancing Trade Liberalisation with Public Health Protection Across Africa, at a webinar hosted by the African Capacity Building Foundation (ACBF) on Wednesday, 24, 2026.

To ensure that trade integration and public health can coexist, he emphasised the need to align the WHO-FCTC protocol with the AfCFTA framework by implementing these measures:

✔️Exclude tobacco from tariff reductions and mandate higher excise taxes.
✔️Prohibit tobacco industry interference in policy processes.
✔️Ban tobacco advertising across all AfCFTA member states.
✔️Redirect AfCFTA investments toward sustainable agricultural alternatives.

Learn more 👉: https://t.co/4HuElgmipQ

#TobaccoControl #AfCFTA #WHOFCTC @FCTCofficial

[CSEA Africa @csea_afric]

The IMF has advised Nigeria to consider additional tax reforms to strengthen government revenue and support fiscal sustainability. Measures highlighted include increasing the VAT rate, extending VAT to fuel products, and introducing excise taxes on telecommunication services. However, the IMF stresses that reforms should consider Nigeria's poverty and food insecurity situation and be accompanied by a well-funded cash transfer system to support vulnerable households.

How do you think these proposed tax changes could affect households and businesses in
Nigeria?

Read more here: https://t.co/Nmd9hHKkd7

#IMF #cseaafrica #VAT #taxrefor

[CSEA Africa @csea_afric]

#WorldDayAgainstChildLabour What is the true cost of childhood lost to labour?

Child labour remains one of the most pressing challenges facing Sub-Saharan Africa, with millions of children engaged in work that threatens their education, safety, and future opportunities.

In our latest #ProfessorProbe episode, we examine the scale of child labour across the region, drawing on research and data.
We also explore the factors driving child labour, its long-term social and economic consequences, and the efforts being made to address the issue.

Learn more: https://t.co/aKQKyxKsQO.

#ChildRights #RedCardToChildLabour #WDACL #EndChildLabour #Childlabour @ILO_Childlabour @NigEducation @WBG_Nigeria @Adedeji_Adenira

[CSEA Africa @csea_afric]

#WorldDayAgainstChildLabour What is the true cost of childhood lost to labour?

Child labour remains one of the most pressing challenges facing Sub-Saharan Africa, with millions of children engaged in work that threatens their education, safety, and future opportunities.

In our latest #ProfessorProbe episode, we examine the scale of child labour across the region, drawing on research and data.
We also explore the factors driving child labour, its long-term social and economic consequences, and the efforts being made to address the issue.

Learn more: https://t.co/aKQKyxKsQO.

#ChildRights #RedCardToChildLabour #WDACL #EndChildLabour #Childlabour @ILO_Childlabour @NigEducation @WBG_Nigeria @Adedeji_Adenira

[CSEA Africa @csea_afric]

True democratic progress extends far beyond the ballot box. It is shaped by evidence-based knowledge, rigorous policy dialogue, and a shared commitment to building a stronger, more inclusive nation.

At CSEA, we believe that sustainable development and good governance are rooted in robust research that informs actionable policies. As we celebrate Nigeria's democratic journey today, June 12th, we reaffirm our dedication to providing the insights needed to drive meaningful socioeconomic advancement.

Happy Democracy Day, Nigeria! Let’s keep shaping a brighter, knowledge-driven future together.

Visit our website to explore our latest policy research: https://t.co/0DXQrheKxw

#DemocracyDay #Nigeria #PolicyResearch #EvidenceBasedPolicy #EconomicDevelopment #GoodGovernance #CSEA #June12

[Tobacco Control Data Initiative @TCDI_Africa]

For #WNTD2026, Dr Adedeji Adeniran, Director of research @csea_afric unpacks the modern challenges of tobacco control and how tobacco control stakeholders can win the fight.

Watch the full podcast episode: https://t.co/iopOrSebto

#TobaccoControlConversations @Adedeji_Adenira

[CSEA Africa @csea_afric]

Nigeria has listed its ₦47.355 billion Series III Green Bond due in 2030, aimed at financing climate-resilient and environmentally sustainable projects.

In this video, we examine what the bond means for Nigeria’s economy and the concerns around increasing public debt. Is it a smart step toward a sustainable future or another debt burden?

Watch to find out here: https://t.co/h4RfBaVYcF

#nigeriaeconomicupdate #monetarypolicy #debtmanagement #cseaafrica

[CSEA Africa @csea_afric]

In many Nigerian secondary schools, students are required to choose between science, arts, or commerce early in their academic journey. But how does this system shape the courses they can study and the opportunities available to them later in life?

In this episode of Research Table, we explore the practice of subject streaming in Nigeria’s secondary education system and its impact on students’ access to mathematics and science education. The discussion examines how fixed academic tracks influence skill development, particularly in quantitative subjects, and what this means for higher education.

Watch the full video here👉: https://t.co/Mz2b702NCN

#subjectstreaming #researchtable #economics #nigerianeducation #cseaafrica

[Tobacco Control Data Initiative @TCDI_Africa]

GATS 2023 reports for #Senegal show that smoking is most common among individuals with primary (5.8%) or middle (4.6%) levels of education.

Learn more: https://t.co/VH36UKvFtQ (Dashboard coming soon) @CresContact

[Tobacco Control Data Initiative @TCDI_Africa]

In #Nigeria being out of school correlates with higher tobacco vulnerability.
Learn more about tobacco prevalence in Nigeria: https://t.co/rsafVNvcb7

[Tobacco Control Data Initiative @TCDI_Africa]

In #Kenya, adolescent uptake is shaped by four clear drivers: family member usage, peer influence, product curiosity, and attractive packaging.
Learn more about tobacco prevalence in Kenya. :https://t.co/2TSUcuPMB4 @IILAinfo

[Tobacco Control Data Initiative @TCDI_Africa]

The latest TCDI #Zambia spot-check survey 2025 show that public smoking has implications beyond immediate air quality; it increases the likelihood of tobacco use among those exposed.
Learn more👉: https://t.co/0LCI6rKm8T @CTPDZambia

[Tobacco Control Data Initiative @TCDI_Africa]

The latest TCDI #SouthAfrica spot-check survey 2025 shows prevalence has risen beyond already high GATS benchmarks.
Learn more about tobacco prevalence in South Africa: https://t.co/DUK8BqwCq9 @CANSA @CTFKGlobal

[Tobacco Control Data Initiative @TCDI_Africa]

#WorldNoTobaccoDay2026 Here is what the data across Sub-saharan Africa :
📈Tobacco prevalence is rising in key markets.
🧍‍♂️Men continue to use tobacco at significantly higher rates than women.
🙅‍♂️ Youth are being deliberately targeted.
(Read the thread👇)
#UnmaskingTheAppeal

[Tobacco Control Data Initiative @TCDI_Africa]

In the #DemocraticRepublicofCongo, the overall tobacco usage (ages 15–49) rose from 10.3% in 2014 to 12.6%, with a high male demographic consumption dominated by manufactured cigarettes (DHS 2024).
Learn more about tobacco prevalence:
https://t.co/2LOXKWPIci @ACCTRDC

[Tobacco Control Data Initiative @TCDI_Africa]

The tobacco industry is targeting Africa’s youth with e-cigarettes and nicotine pouches disguised as "harm reduction".
Ahead of #WorldNoTobaccoDay, the TCDI Dashboard provides policymakers with the data needed to counter these tactics.
🔗 https://t.co/pAYp5W4KDJ
#TobaccoControl