TA Thread:
Including:
• Market structure
• Indicators
• Support levels
• Historical data
• On-chain data
• 2026 outlook
• Invalidation levels
• Disclaimer
On the Daily Timeframe:
Had the great pleasure of interviewing @ahmedbinsulayem, Executive Chairman & CEO of @DMCCAuthority, and @Bjassoma, Director of Ecosystems at @DMCCAuthority, at @IstanbulBlockWk.
A big thank you to @SamerMerhi, Director of Events & Partnerships at DMCC, for helping make this happen.
Looking forward to meeting the gentlemen again in London next week.
Really interesting conversations around digital assets, trade, blockchain adoption and the future of the space.
Interviews coming shortly on Crypto Princess. 🎀🌸🎀
6 - Invalidation:
This bearish thesis would begin to weaken if Bitcoin can reclaim the 0.786 Fibonacci level, regain the 50-day SMA and the 200-day SMA, and successfully break back into the Golden Pocket.
This will invalidate the bearish thesis for now.
Disclaimer:
One should never set rigid expectations on the market, doing so is unwise. My approach is based on historical data, market structure, and the confluence of multiple indicators. I never give financial advice, DYOR!
TA Thread:
Including:
• Market structure
• Indicators
• Support levels
• Historical data
• On-chain data
• 2026 outlook
• Invalidation levels
• Disclaimer
On the Daily Timeframe:
5 - 2026 outlook:
Finally, I still believe the long-term bear market bottom could form somewhere around the $40k region. This is based on the long-term cycle Fibonacci levels, amongst other things.
I still hold the thesis that BTC could bottom around October 2026, based on the approximate length of previous bear markets.
I spoke with @TimKotzman from @BTCTMedia about Bitcoin treasury companies and the wider adoption trend.
Timestamps:
0:00 - What is Bitcoin Treasuries Media?
1:00 - What was it like working with @smarterwebuk
2:17 - How do you choose guests and speakers
3:59 - Why might investors buy shares in a Bitcoin treasury company instead of self-custodying Bitcoin?
6:16 - Are Bitcoin treasury companies buying too much of the Bitcoin supply?