#CaboPrimeroChronicles

#TheMeshTheory #CaboPrimeroChronicles

[Gustavo Martín @emprexate]

Conozco a un chaval que hace un año montó una startup tecnológica. Levantaron 200.000 euros en una primera ronda de familiares, amigos y un par de ilusos.

¿Qué fue lo primero que hizo? Contratar a una agencia de RRPP por 3.000 pavos al mes para que le consiguieran entrevistas en revistas de emprendedores, y alquilar un Tesla Model 3 a nombre de la empresa "para dar imagen cuando vaya a ver a los fondos".

Ayer vi en LinkedIn que la empresa ha entrado en liquidación. Se han pulido 200.000 euros en diez meses.

Cero ventas.

Cero producto validado. Pero ojo, entras en su perfil y pone: "Ex-Founder | Forbes 30 under 30 | Visionario".

El ecosistema startup está lleno de mediocres jugando a las casitas corporativas con el dinero de otros. Prefieren gastarse la caja en inflar su puto ego para parecer Steve Jobs en Instagram, antes que levantar un teléfono para vender.

El postureo es el asesino número uno del flujo de caja.

[Gegam @Gegam245074]

After the failed Fable 5.2, I started wondering: is the AI industry a fake and a scam? If you dig into the latest releases from AI labs, here's what you find:

1. In the five years since LLMs appeared, there has been no revolutionary leap in intelligence. It's the same transformer, stuffed with more parameters and increasingly elaborate RL tuned for specific tasks. No radically different architectures are on the horizon, so our experience with AI will stay at the same level

2. The cost of compute keeps rising and will keep rising. AI has been heavily used in large projects for more than 10 years. CUDA and GPUs in servers are ancient history. Before giant LLMs there were plenty of other important, resource-hungry workloads: GANs, CNNs, diffusion models, and many derivatives. Yet the cost of compute only went up

At the chip level, we never came up with anything radically better than what we have now. And nothing cheaper or newer is in sight either

3. Look closely at the models themselves, and you'll see labs resorting to all kinds of tricks to work around the problems above. Fable 5.2 is the apotheosis of this. It handles a certain class of tasks brilliantly but is awful at others. They clearly tried to compress it and focus it on what shows up most often in agentic systems. Opus 5.5 is the best coder in the world. But give it anything else and it performs like ancient NLP from 2017

4. This includes distillation, cramming more thinking resources into fewer layers, synthetic training (which it's now fashionable to call RSI), and many other things I'm not aware of. No lab does this because things are going well

5. AI doesn't invent scientific solutions, despite what the press releases say. It brute-forces millions of candidates until at least one fits. If you dig into OpenAI's recent papers presenting solutions to math problems, you'll see that most of them are meaningless. They're found by trial and error, and all they do is prove solvability, not applicability to real-world laws. This is also a direct consequence of point 1

6. AI is not capable of inventing in the sense we're used to. It's the same iteration over tokens already embedded in the training data. The transformer architecture doesn't allow it to go beyond that. At a fundamental level, it's still brute-forcing answers. And brute force won't get you very far

As a result, we have models like Opus 5.5, GPT-6.1 Terra, and Fable 5.2 that have lost their evenness of intelligence because of the problems described above. The labs are trying to cut costs. The new generation of models has already started to degrade on certain intellectual tasks

[Simon Ateba @simonateba]

BREAKING: Trump destroyed on 60 Minutes. Remember he's not done any serious interview. He often insults, calls people names, and his followers celebrate. WATCH

[#CaboPrimeroChronicles @CaboPrimeroChro]

@JacobWeinbergR So you admit that you control everything?
The state of the World is thanks to you?

[#CaboPrimeroChronicles @CaboPrimeroChro]

@Slangalangutang What do you do?

[JonnyFutures @JonnyFutes]

Hey @grok, if 90% of traders lose money, why do so many people on X seem to be consistently profitable?

Are we witnessing the greatest concentration of trading talent in history, or is someone lying?

[do'o kappa @viprabuddhi]

People in Paraguay protest after their money disappears into thin air 🇵🇾

> Ueno Bank, which held money of 60% of the adult population was shut down by the govt for financial trouble

> People lost their life savings and even the govt lost retirement money kept in the bank for elderly

> Govt is now promising to reimburse some money to the poor, but the rich will still lose their entire wealth

Paraguay has a PCI ~$10k, which some bhosads will claim must make it a paradise 😁

[JackTheRippler ©️ @RippleXrpie]

🚨SHOCKING: 🇩🇪 GERMAN CHANCELLOR MERZ SAYS THAT HE DOESN'T CARE ABOUT THE GERMAN CITIZENS!

MERZ: "I will do what I want, even if 100% of Germans are against it. My goal is NOT to be popular in Germany."

[El Prensero @El_Prensero]

💥ESTALLÓ EL ESCÁNDALO

🇵🇾 Se supo que el presidente del Paraguay, Santiago Peña, era accionista del Banco que estafó a millones de paraguayos con dinero del propio estado que Peña le otorgaba. La gente está en las calles pidiendo juicio político. Es un caos.

[Vyom @HelloVyom]

Fucked up state of IT sector now

[#CaboPrimeroChronicles @CaboPrimeroChro]

@ns123abc Well done man! Great Job!

[#CaboPrimeroChronicles @CaboPrimeroChro]

@EngMoElgaraihy Wtf are you talking about?

[#CaboPrimeroChronicles @CaboPrimeroChro]

@ValerieAnne1970 What the f… are you talking about?

[#CaboPrimeroChronicles @CaboPrimeroChro]

@elonmusk @theallinpod How?

[🇺🇸Trump Times 🇺🇸 @VirginiePerez15]

🙏Mon Dieu! Comment peut on continuer â financer ce massacre en Ukraine? Honte à tous ceux qui soutiennent le régime de Kiev

[#CaboPrimeroChronicles @CaboPrimeroChro]

@"Testimonio Analítico: El Paradigma de la Malla y el Fin de la Fuerza Bruta"https://t.co/sF7KfelkXs on @LinkedIn

[#CaboPrimeroChronicles @CaboPrimeroChro]

@elonmusk The why AI cannot be God.

https://t.co/bIAJkwS0zZ