CageOracle

Data driven MMA analysis. Model based fight predictions, fighter analytics. Interesting statistical studies on what eye test misses. Free.

[CageOracle @CageOracleDH]

@BernieSanders “Permanent ban on super intelligence”?Sorry Bernie. Speak for yourself.

[CageOracle @CageOracleDH]

@DarioAmodei Don’t just focus on your messaging dude. Focus on the model. Especially the affordable model like Opus. Don’t you know your opus 5 totally sucked? It’s incompetent and people are angry about it! Get the performance up first before going about your safety talk all day!

[CageOracle @CageOracleDH]

@ufc @paramountplus I’m glad I didn’t watch this fight to get unnecessary heart attacks. I had money on this fight going full distance.

[CageOracle @CageOracleDH]

Check out https://t.co/9hFLlEyIfP. My website for picking UFC bets. It makes picks based on a machine learning model I developed, as well as live odds from all 10+ major sports books. The money line picks have been tested good, been making me money steadily. The rounds total picks are still being improved, so be careful with that!

[CageOracle @CageOracleDH]

My bets for UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld

[CageOracle @CageOracleDH]

@UFConParamount @paramountplus that's an interesting one. Curious to see how long the fight stays standing up

[CageOracle @CageOracleDH]

This is interesting. I tested what if I started with $100 a year ago, and bet on every model picked UFC fight, and let the profit compound (reinvested).
Four naive bet sizing: 1) all in everytime, 2) half in.. and so on. All in leads to quick ruin at the 4th event, when all model picks were wrong. Half in, the model edge compounds nicely to $500 a year later. Even a quarter in gives a nice 2.8x return.

[CageOracle @CageOracleDH]

Klein vs Musayev messed up my parlay

[CageOracle @CageOracleDH]

UFC Belgrade bets

[CageOracle @CageOracleDH]

@BorrachinhaMMA Hahaha, awesome 🤣

[CageOracle @CageOracleDH]

@TheUFCStats There’s Evloev also

[CageOracle @CageOracleDH]

@FantasyFightsAI @JamalNiaz Probably should do the same to Gane

[CageOracle @CageOracleDH]

@RedCorner_MMA Good man!

[CageOracle @CageOracleDH]

@NateSilver538 Yet still makes $300k a year

[CageOracle @CageOracleDH]

We need this to happen

[CageOracle @CageOracleDH]

@Pep_Lima My top 3 would be prates, topuria, gane

[CageOracle @CageOracleDH]

Here’s my bet results for Ankalaev vs Guskov card. Betted on 5, lost 1.

[CageOracle @CageOracleDH]

Mcgreggor vs Holloway 3

[CageOracle @CageOracleDH]

Yes. And I don’t know get why stock investors panic when they see this can of spending. It’s like people see me buying a house, of course my net income would be super negative but my net worth isn’t changing, or even better if house can be rented out on net positive cash flow, just like compute