MIDTERMS
Replace these with MAGA;
Bill Cassidy (Louisiana) Vote Julia Letlow
Collins (Maine) No one ran against her.
Mullins (Ok) June Primary, Jackson Lahmeyer
Rounds (SD) June Primary, Justin McNeal
Thom Tillis (NC) Vote Whatley
Capture these retiring Democrat seats;
Dick Durbin (Illinois) Vote Don Tracy
Jeanne Shaheen (New Hampshire) Replace with John E. Sununu Primary on September 8
Gary Peters (Michigan) Replace with Mike Rogers Primary August 4th
Tina Smith (Minnesota) Primary August 11th, I lean with Royce White or David Hann
That would give us 57 more reliable seats
Republican House members to replace with MAGA;
Dan Newhouse (Washington, 4th District) Primary August 4th, replace with Jerrod Sessler
David Valadao (California, 22nd District) No one ran against him.
Don Bacon (Nebraska, 2nd District) There is only Brinker Harding running; Don't know him
Liz Cheney (Wyoming, At-Large) Primary August 18th. I lean toward Bo Biteman or Frank Chapman
Retiring House democrat seats to capture;
Dick Durbin (Illinois) Vote Don Tracy
Jeanne Shaheen (New Hampshire) Primary September 8th running John E. Sununu or Scott Brown
Gary Peters (Michigan) Primary August 4th, Mike Rogers
Tina Smith (Minnesota) Primary August 12th, Royce White or David Hann
Other Vulnerable Democrat House seats;
Adam Gray (California, 13th District)
Why Vulnerable: Defeated Rep. John Duarte (R) by fewer than 200 votes in 2024, one of the closest races nationally. Trump carried the Central Valley district in 2024. Rated Toss-up by Sabato’s Crystal Ball.
Marcy Kaptur (Ohio, 9th District)
Why Vulnerable: Won by less than 1 point in 2024 against a strong GOP challenger. Trump won the district, and Ohio’s pending mid-cycle redistricting could make it more Republican-leaning. Rated Toss-up by Inside Elections and Sabato’s Crystal Ball.
Henry Cuellar (Texas, 28th District)
Why Vulnerable: Represents a South Texas district Trump carried in 2024. Rated Toss-up by Sabato’s Crystal Ball due to shifting Hispanic voter trends toward Republicans.
Vicente Gonzalez (Texas, 34th District)
Why Vulnerable: Another South Texas district Trump won in 2024. Rated Toss-up by Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Gonzalez won by a narrow margin in 2024, facing GOP gains among Hispanic voters.
Jared Golden (Maine, 2nd District)
Why Vulnerable: Won by less than 1 point in 2024, despite Trump carrying this rural district by 10 points. Rated Lean Democratic by Inside Elections. Benefits from ranked-choice voting, which helped secure his 2024 win.
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (Washington, 3rd District)
Why Vulnerable: Defeated GOP challenger Joe Kent in 2022 and 2024 in a district Trump carried. Rated Lean Democratic by Sabato’s Crystal Ball, nearly Toss-up due to weak 2024 GOP opposition.
Yadira Caraveo (Colorado, 8th District)
Why Vulnerable: Lost to Rep. Gabe Evans (R) in 2024 but could run again. Trump won the district, and it’s rated Toss-up for Republicans (implying Caraveo’s potential return would be Lean Democratic at best).
Mary Peltola (Alaska, At-Large District)
Why Vulnerable: Trails GOP Rep. Nick Begich in 2024 ranked-choice voting results (not yet finalized in some sources). Trump won Alaska, and the seat’s recent flip to Begich makes it a GOP-leaning target. Rated Lean Democratic if Peltola runs again.
Don Davis (North Carolina, 1st District)
Why Vulnerable: Represents a Trump-won district in Eastern North Carolina. Rated Lean Democratic due to Davis’s strong local ties but vulnerable to GOP gains post-2024 redistricting.
Other competitve Democrat House Seats;
Laura Gillen (New York, 4th District)
Why Vulnerable: Defeated Rep. Anthony D’Esposito (R) in 2024 on Long Island. Rated Lean Democratic due to tight 2024 margin and local GOP resurgence.
George Whitesides (California, 27th District)
Why Vulnerable: Unseated Rep. Mike Garcia (R) in 2024 by a narrow margin. Rated Lean Democratic due to Southern California’s swingy nature.
Derek Tran (California, 45th District)
Why Vulnerable: Ousted Rep. Michelle Steel (R) in 2024 by just over 650 votes. Rated Lean Democratic but highly competitive.
Tom Suozzi (New York, 3rd District)
Why Vulnerable: Won a 2024 special election and general election in Nassau County. Rated Likely Democratic but competitive due to New York’s tight races.
Adam Hamawy celebrated his Democratic primary victory by shouting the takbir, "Allahu Akbar," three times.
For centuries, "Allahu Akbar" was the cry of Muslim armies as they raided, conquered, and expanded Islamic rule. It echoed across battlefields from the Middle East to North Africa, Europe, and beyond.
When a politician chooses to mark a political victory with "Allahu Akbar," people have every right to question the message being sent. The phrase carries a long historical baggage that cannot simply be ignored whenever it becomes inconvenient.
Words have meanings. Symbols have histories. And history matters.
THE ENEMY IS HERE: California tech executive and dual U.S.-Iranian citizen arrested for allegedly running a decades-long scheme to illegally sell critical U.S. computer equipment to Iran’s military and nuclear programs.
The wealthy Orange County businessman, who lived in a $35 million mansion in Newport Beach, is accused of selling components directly to Iran’s Atomic Energy Organization between 2017 and 2023, in violation of U.S. sanctions.
U.S. Attorney: “Aiding our declared enemy… We will hold him accountable by seeking an appropriate prison sentence and seizing his assets, including the $35 million mansion.”
Authorities say this highlights the need for stronger vetting and enforcement of sanctions against those helping adversarial regimes. LOCK HIM UP AND TOSS THE KEYS.
This NYT line is ridiculous. Yes, Weiss was an opinion writer. But she also was founder & editor of a media corp that had over 1M subscribers, a non-trivial portion of which are paid, that published plenty of investigative work. NYT deliberately used the least salient descriptor.
BOOM 💥 — President Trump publicly demands that Nancy Pelosi be PROSECUTED for 'insider trading' and drops a bombshell on her: "Nancy Pelosi has a little problem because her husband sold Visa stock one day before it was announced Visa is being sued by the Department of Justice."
Do you support investigating elected officials over potential conflicts of interest or stock trading concerns?
✅ Yes
❎ No
What's your response to this....???
Black people: "We need to boycott Asian businesses for killing our people."
Asian people: "And what about all Asian ladies killed by black people?"
Black people: "Fuck you, their lives don't matter. In 10 years, we'll make NetFlix show the killers as White."
@MarkWarner No, same rules. Democrats just don’t follow them.
When your state passing laws dictating how redistricting MUST happen, democrats keep breaking those laws. Republicans are following theirs
@CNN The media frames these rulings not as “legal” or “illegal.” Not as “constitutional” or “unconstitutional” regarding the state’s laws.
But instead they frame them as “GOP-friendly” and “anti-Democratic Party.”
That’s their game.
Once you see it, you can never unsee it.
@MarkWarner Are you ruhtarded or just a habitual liar? The VA map was done in violation of their rules, the Alabama map was not. While you’re at it, explain this
@MarkWarner No, there is one set of rules, Alabama followed them, Virginia didn't
Even the Dem VA Gov warned the legislature their amendment was unconstitutional, but Lucas thought she could intimidate the VA Supreme court justices
Senator Warner, the cases aren’t comparable. Virginia Democrats tried to bypass their own state constitution and voter-approved process, while Alabama’s map was upheld under the Voting Rights Act after the Court correctly narrowed its scope.
The Supreme Court is applying the law consistently, not playing favorites.
Wow, Mark, you’ve really become quite the dishonest hack. You know damn well why VA lost their appeal and why Alabama won theirs—and why both rulings were correct. I know you know it, so why are you lying? You’ve decided that your centrist nature is a losing venture in your leftist party.