Traders are not that ones they make the big Money in this crypto Market, the Investors that buy low in the Bear Market and sells high in Bull are the real ones.
LTF Trading ist wasting of energy, time, mental Health and a Lot of other stuff.
Best advice for Newcomer.
All eyes on the weekly close.
Lock in that higher low on the weekly RSI, and my first DCA trigger hits.
Will start slow, and accelerate accumulation as more signals flash :)
$BTC
41 kidnappings of crypto holders in France in 3.5 months of 2026.
Why?
🥖 French tax officials selling crypto owners' data to criminals (Ghalia C.) + massive tax database leaks.
Now the state also wants IDs and private messages of social media users.
More data = More victims.
Bitcoin bull and bear markets have historically followed a clear rhythm.
About a year of downside, followed by just under three years of bull market.
In total, that brings you the four-year cycle.
Many people argued it was dead before the top formed, right on time. They're making the same argument now.
Is this time finally different?
$BTC
So... we’re just accepting that people are calling the bottom only 112 days into a bear market?
So $BTC is suddenly going to bottom 3x faster than every previous cycle?
Based on what… "this time is different" again?
Markets move on liquidity.
Adding to what @KillaXBT shared earlier, pay attention to where the untapped liquidity is at the moment.
$BTC hovering below weekly resistance; FOMC later today - I think caution pays here.
Good morning everyone - it's FOMC day today, with Powell taking the stage in roughly 9 hours.
The past few FOMC Pressers triggered sizable sell-offs.
Will this time be different?
$BTC
Bear market reaccumulation is about balancing between managing risk and getting the best possible entry.
Over the years, I've learned that waiting often pays off well.
Either you get an even better entry, or you get the confirmation that the bear is over, you buy the next higher low - and it pays off quickly.
Both great outcomes in their own way. Patience - both in the bull, and the bear. 🧘🏼♂️
Reminder that you don't have to buy the exact bottom, and sell the exact top.
The last bull run, I started scaling out early - and accelerated the selling in the 100-120k region.
Secured a big win without ever calling the top.
I treat the bear similarly. Slowly start adding to long-term exposure after a certain threshold, and then ramp up the buys after the bottom confirms.
I don't care to be a hero, or to look cool by calling the bottom - I'm just here to make money.
In bear markets, Bitcoin will often spend more time going up than going down.
When it does go down, it goes down very quickly, sets a low, then trends up for a few weeks/months before going lower.
You can see the change in market structure from bull to bear.
Main thing driving my thesis: $BTC bear markets have historically ALWAYS bottomed well below the 0.618 retracement level, which currently sits at $58k.
The previous bottoms even went as far as 0.786, but with each bottom being less deep below that, it's unlikely that we will go that deep again.
As such, I'm holding off on starting re-accumulation until we at least dip below $58k.
Personally think somewhere in the middle of the grey box makes sense for a bottom - but we'll see about that.
Bear markets take time to unfold, so I can afford to be patient.
Snipers spend most of their time waiting too; ready to pull the trigger when the time is right.
This game is no different.
So far in $BTC history, every cycle bottom has formed under the 0.618 retracement.
Very far below it at first, but increasingly close to it with every cycle that followed.
0.618 sits at $57k today.
How low will we go this time around?
Looking back on how my $BTC DCA plan formed in the previous cycle, it wasn't anything like 'when price goes below $20k, I'll buy'.
In fact, it wasn't until FTX imploded that I decided I wanted to be a buyer there.
Maximum despair hit, without price going down a country mile, told me the worst of it was behind us.
In hindsight, that was pretty much the bottom- but I did not know that at the time. I expected lower. When price started moving sideways instead, it made me more confident the lows were in.
Over the past days I've marked lots of levels where I want to do business in theory, but even then - it still completely depends on how price behaves once/if we get there, and the overall situation in crypto as a whole.
Once the dumping starts slowing down, that's when I wanna do business again.
Patiently observing. Don't need to accidentally buy the bottom again - just need to buy when the market tells me it doesn't have many more coins to sell.