Capital.com Australia

Trading CFDs is high risk and is not suitable for everyone. Refer to our PDS and TMD at AFSL 513393.

[Capital.com Australia @CapitalcomAU]

BOJ RAISES BY 0.25% TO 1.00%

[Capital.com Australia @CapitalcomAU]

Desk Note (AU) | Tue 16 Jun 2026, 09:25AEST

Trump said from the G7 that the Strait of Hormuz will be completely open by Friday. Other G7 leaders were less optimistic. Neither side has released the MOU text. Physical signing still set for end of week.

Anthropic executives are meeting Trump administration officials over the Mythos and Fable foreign-access directive.

Xiaohongshu preparing for a HK IPO this month.

Locally, RBA holds today (consensus 4.35% unchanged).

BOJ expected to raise to 1.00%.

Market tone (Mon close):

S&P 500 7,554 (+1.7%),
Nasdaq 30,544 (+3.1%)
Dow 51,671 (+0.9%)

WTI $81.18 (-4.4%)
Brent $83.54 (-4.3%)

Today watch: RBA tone, BOJ hike confirmation, China activity data, and any read on the MOU draft.

Info only. Platform data reflects aggregated activity; not market-wide.

[Capital.com Australia @CapitalcomAU]

Japan's Nikkei 225 rises 5%

[Capital.com Australia @CapitalcomAU]

UK, FRANCE, GERMANY READY TO LIFT RELEVANT IRAN SANCTIONS

[Capital.com Australia @CapitalcomAU]

Desk Note (AU) | Mon 15 Jun 2026, 08:52 AEST

US-Iran peace agreement was announced over the weekend. Pakistan PM Sharif confirmed both sides have declared immediate and permanent termination of military operations, including in Lebanon.

Formal signing is scheduled for Friday 19 June. Trump said the US naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz will end upon deal signing.

SpaceX debuted Friday as the largest IPO ever ($75bn raised). Closed +19% at $161.11 against the $135 issue, intraday cap ~$2.3tn. The print made Elon Musk the world's first trillionaire on paper.

OpenAI confidentially filed a week after Anthropic, both targeting fall 2026.

Anthropic disabled access to Mythos 5 and Fable 5 for all foreign nationals under a US export order. Direct knock-on for any non-US team running those models.

G7 leaders' summit starts today in France. Trump meets the heads of Qatar, UAE, Egypt and India on the sidelines.

Market tone (futures-open):

US 500 7,488 (+0.81%),
NDX 30,018 (+1.33%),

WTI $80.52 (-3.85%),
Brent $83.82 (-3.32%)

Spot Gold $4,287 (+1.6%),
Spot Silver $69.95 (+2.85%)

Today watch: confirmation around the 19 June signing

Info only. Platform data reflects aggregated activity; not market-wide.

[Capital.com Australia @CapitalcomAU]

Desk Note (AU) | Thu 11 Jun 2026, 08:25 AEST

US equities closed lower overnight, led by tech, as the US launched additional "self-defense" strikes after Trump pledged to hit Iran "very hard". Tehran says it will strike new US targets if Washington takes further action.

Oil extended gains. Crude inventories fell 7.2m barrels.

Spot gold fell more than 4% approaching $4000.

SpaceX's IPO is said to be more than four times oversubscribed.

Market tone:

S&P 500 7,267 (-1.6%)
WTI $91.45 (+3.7%)
Brent $94.35 (+3.2%)
USD/JPY 160.56

Today watch: AU June consumer inflation expectations at 11, the ECB decision tonight (quarter-point hike expected).

Info only. Platform data reflects aggregated activity; not market-wide.

[Capital.com Australia @CapitalcomAU]

Desk Note (AU) | Tue 9 Jun 2026, 09:38 AEST

US equities recovered from war-driven lows overnight on renewed AI buying.

Iran and Israel agreed to ease strikes after Trump called Netanyahu.

OpenAI confidentially filed for an IPO, a week after Anthropic. SpaceX's IPO is well oversubscribed, with orders closing Wednesday.

Market tone:

S&P 500 7,406 (+0.3%)
WTI $91.16 (+0.7%), Brent $94.12 (+1.1%)

ASX 200 returns from holiday today

Today watch: AU confidence reads, China May trade balance, Taiwan May trade, and whether the Iran-Israel pause holds through the day session.

Info only. Platform data reflects aggregated activity; not market-wide.

[Capital.com Australia @CapitalcomAU]

Desk Note (AU) | Mon 8 Jun 2026, 10:22 AEST

US equities sold off sharply (S&P -2.6%) on Friday, breaking a nine-week run.

Iran fired several rounds of missiles at Israel over the weekend. All intercepted, no casualties reported. Israel cancelled school for Monday. Trump is pushing to keep the ceasefire from collapsing and told NBC he will not unfreeze Iranian assets or lift sanctions up front.

WTI $91 +2%
Brent $94.40 +2%

Spot Gold $4350 + 0.5%

ASX 200: closed today (King's Birthday)

Today watch: Asian open after the weekend missile exchange, Japan 1Q GDP, and any read-through from a thin AU session. US CPI later this week. Bond traders are positioned for a hawkish print.

Info only. Platform data reflects aggregated activity; not market-wide.

[Capital.com Australia @CapitalcomAU]

S.KOREA KOSPI PLUNGE TRIGGERS CIRCUIT BREAKER; TRADING HALTED

[Capital.com Australia @CapitalcomAU]

Desk Note (AU) | Thu 4 Jun 2026, 09:01 AEST

US equities broker their nine-day winning streak overnight. The S&P fell 0.7% on rising oil and yields, with US-Iran tensions back on the front foot after fresh strikes.

Iran FM Araghchi said no tangible progress has been made in talks. Trump said the deal is close in theory. The Republican-led House voted to halt the war, breaking with the administration.

The Glazer family is said to be studying a sale of their Manchester United stake. INEOS' Jim Ratcliffe already holds the largest minority position with first refusal on any offer.

Locally, AU April trade balance prints today. RBA Bullock at the Senate Economics Legislation Committee 1pm.

Market tone:

WTI $96.02 (+2.4%)
Brent $97.81 (+1.9%)
AUD/USD 0.7183
USD/JPY 160.08

Today watch: Bullock, AU April trade, and whether oil holds the overnight gains as the Iran framework drifts.

Info only. Platform data reflects aggregated activity; not market-wide.

[Capital.com Australia @CapitalcomAU]

Desk Note (AU) | Tue 2 Jun 2026, 08:31 AEST

Oil whipsawed overnight after Iran threatened to halt talks with the US over Israel's Lebanon offensive, before paring as Trump said Hezbollah and Israel had agreed to stop attacks. Netanyahu publicly contested that account and said operations in southern Lebanon continue.

Anthropic confidentially filed for an IPO, targeting a Wall Street debut as early as this autumn alongside OpenAI.
Alphabet is preparing an $80bn capital raise for AI spend.

Senior Russian government officials have warned Putin that the Ukraine war spend is unsustainable.

SPX hits new all-time highs of 7,600 (+0.3%)

Today watch: AU 1Q current account, RBA Harper, and whether oil holds overnight after the conflicting Hezbollah-Israel statements.

Info only. Platform data reflects aggregated activity; not market-wide.

[Capital.com Australia @CapitalcomAU]

Desk Note (AU) | Mon 1 Jun 2026, 08:19 AEST

US equities closed Friday at fresh records, with the Dow above 50,000 for the first time. The S&P printed its ninth consecutive weekly gain and the Nasdaq closed May +8%.

Israel expanded ground operations into Lebanon. US and Iran exchanged messages on the ceasefire framework and Hormuz reopening but the deal remains unagreed.

China May manufacturing PMI printed 50.0, down from 50.3 in April.

SoftBank announced a €75bn AI data-centre build-out in France. SpaceX is preparing its IPO.

Market tone:

WTI (Aug) 89.65 +2.6%
Brent (Jul) 93.22 +2.3%
Index futures opened flat. Metals modestly softer.

Today watch:

Quiet. AU May Melbourne Institute inflation at 11, not much else of note.

Info only. Platform data reflects aggregated activity; not market-wide.

[Capital.com Australia @CapitalcomAU]

Shares in Dell trading $439.5 +44% on huge earnings beat

$DELL

[Capital.com Australia @CapitalcomAU]

Desk Note (AU) | Fri 29 May 2026, 08:22 AEST

US and Iran negotiators reached a tentative framework: a 60-day ceasefire extension and further talks on the nuclear program. Trump has not yet agreed.

Oil traded both sides of the headline. Brent settled lower, WTI roughly flat.

Equities printed a fresh record. US annual inflation accelerated to the highest since 2023, with consumer spending up modestly in April. Fed's Musalem said an AI productivity boom can't be relied on to ease inflation. Barkin said AI investment is pressuring the neutral rate higher.

Anthropic's valuation reached $965bn after its latest raise, passing OpenAI for the first time. Mythos models are due in the coming weeks.

Market tone:

S&P 500 7,564 (+0.6%), Nasdaq 26,917 (+0.9%)

WTI $88.90 (+0.2%), Brent $93.22 (-1.1%)

Natural gas $3.29 (+6.1%)

Today watch: Tokyo May CPI, Japan April industrial production, AU April private sector credit.

Info only. Platform data reflects aggregated activity; not market-wide.

[Capital.com Australia @CapitalcomAU]

Desk Note (AU) | Thu 28 May 2026, 08:21 AEST

Oil dropped sharply overnight. Trump said he is "not satisfied" with Iran talks and ruled out sanctions relief in exchange for enriched uranium. He also said the US will "watch over" the Strait of Hormuz but no one will control it.

Micron + other semis retrace from highs.

Market tone:

S&P 500 7,520 (+0.02%), Nasdaq 26,675 (+0.1%)

WTI $89.47 (-4.7%), Brent $95.01 (-4.6%)

Natural gas +5.0%

USD/JPY 159.53

Today watch: Not a huge amount on the cards in AU hours. NZ budget release. US jobless claims overnight.

Info only. Platform data reflects aggregated activity; not market-wide.

[Capital.com Australia @CapitalcomAU]

Desk Note (AU) | Wed 27 May 2026, 08:34 AEST

Equities printed fresh records overnight, with Micron joining the trillion-dollar club after a 16% session and UBS lifting its price target from $535 to $1,625. The AI memory cycle is doing most of the index work.

The US and Iran are in late-stage talks on a framework that includes a 60-day ceasefire, the Strait of Hormuz reopening without tolls, sanctions relief, mine clearing, and disposal of enriched uranium. Control of the waterway is still disputed.

The Brent and WTI split reflects that Hormuz risk applies to seaborne crude, not US production.

Market tone:

S&P 500 7,519 (+0.6%, record)
Nasdaq 26,656 (+1.2%)
Brent ~$99.6 (+3.6%), WTI ~$93.6 (-3.1%)
Gold ~$4,490 (-1.7%)
Aluminum ~$3,670 (4-year high)

Info only. Platform data reflects aggregated activity; not market-wide.

[Capital.com Australia @CapitalcomAU]

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Trading on CFDs is high risk and is not suitable for everyone. Refer to https://t.co/PCGoZkhLhg Australia's PDS and TMD. AFSL 513393

[Capital.com Australia @CapitalcomAU]

$FUTU shares trading -35% pre-market on this news

https://t.co/RWh1Z8YntN

[Capital.com Australia @CapitalcomAU]

Desk Note (AU) | Tue 19 May 2026, 19:19:56AEST
Markets are cooling after the latest run higher in oil, with fading optimism around an Iran deal offsetting Trump’s decision to hold off on strikes for now.

Market tone:

Brent ~$109.8 (-2.1%), WTI ~$107.4 (-1.1%)

US futures softer (Nasdaq -0.5%, S&P -0.2%)
Asia weaker, Europe firmer

Rates remain the bigger issue underneath. Long-end yields keep grinding higher, with markets questioning how much room central banks really have if inflation stays tied to energy and supply constraints.

Today watch: whether oil can break lower from here, and if bond yields continue to pressure broader risk assets.

Info only.