CapperCraig

NFL/NBA gambling expert. Psychological background. 8+ years in the business.

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

Belief doesn’t show up on paper.

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

The next great one. Just give him a little more time.

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

Looks like AJ Brown to the Patriots post June 1.

Even if it isn't the Patriots though, I believe it is a less than 10% chance he stays with Eagles.

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

https://t.co/afVgyUs8IV

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

Looks like AJ Brown to the Patriots post June 1.

Even if it isn't the Patriots though, I believe it is a less than 10% chance he stays with Eagles.

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

Looks like AJ Brown to the Patriots post June 1.

Even if it isn't the Patriots though, I believe it is a less than 10% chance he stays with Eagles.

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

@DailyLoud Mostly peaceful missile™ from a Mostly peaceful country™

[BearsMuse @ChiBearsMuse]

DJ Moore has now been mentioned in potential two-team trade between the Patriots and Raiders in order for the Bears to land Raiders DE Maxx Crosby.

The DJ Moore era is likely over.

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

@PolymarketBlitz Chicago Bears

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

Probably:

-DJ Moore
+Maxx Crosby

Kubiak focuses on his speciality early (offense) while Bears fix the bad side of the ball (defense)

Maybe somehow get AJ Brown down the line.

[Underdog NFL @UnderdogNFL]

Schultz: Bears have received calls on DJ Moore, Tyson Bagent.

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

@Cashoutmeetr1c ok

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

Expecting Seahawks to take a step back offensively this next year in NFL.

+Defensive HC✅
+Game Manager QB✅
-Losing a top offensive coordinator❌

This isn't me saying Brian Fleury is or will be a bad coach, but he isn't Kubiak, and he certainly isn't a Ben Johnson.

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

2/3/26 random NBA:

Pacers +2
Nuggets +5
Bulls -1.5

Suns should get it done today but it could be a look-ahead angle to Thursday when they play the Warriors.

3-2 on last card

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

1/30/26 random NBA:

No idea what has been happening in this league, just recent last 5 and last 10 analytics:

Wizards TTO 109.5
Magic TTU 110.5
Suns +2 1H. Go small and take 2nd half for regular unit size if 1H loses
Clippers ML -135
Pistons +2.5

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

1/30/26 random NBA:

No idea what has been happening in this league, just recent last 5 and last 10 analytics:

Wizards TTO 109.5
Magic TTU 110.5
Suns +2 1H. Go small and take 2nd half for regular unit size if 1H loses
Clippers ML -135
Pistons +2.5

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

Even when Ben Johnson loses, he will still hand us the win.

I knew it was the end of the road for Ben Johnson for this season. This team is far too young for the competition it had to face.

Chicago will be seeing a Super Bowl in 2028 I believe.

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

0-2 yesterday
1-0 today

1 last ride with Ben Johnson

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

0-2 yesterday
1-0 today

1 last ride with Ben Johnson

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

NFL Divisional Round predictions:

Bills +1.5 (-115)⭐️
49ers +7 (-110) (under?/under 2nd half live?)
Patriots -3 (not laying -3.5)
Bears +4 ⭐️⭐️⭐️

Very public it seems, but not changing. A lot of info comes out just before the games and I'll be looking to update if I need.

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

Planned on a writeup but I'm on 49ers +7 for just about the same reason I took the Bills.

More experience with the core.
And I trust Purdy much more than Darnold. CMC is a large factor as well.

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

1st half was best case scenario for Broncos.

Received the ball first, received 2 turnovers, and now up 10.

Time for the Bills to live up to the pressure.

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

I currently believe in the Bills storyline.

Does it have merit to it? I believe so.

Sean McDermott was hired as the HC of the Bills in 2017, drafted Josh Allen as his franchise QB in 2018, and they have been building this dynasty together ever since.

In the last 5 years, the Bills:

2024: Lost to Chiefs by 3 (Lost SB)
2023: Lost to Chiefs by 3 (Won SB)
2022: Lost to Bengals by 17 (Lost to Chiefs AFCCC)
2021: Lost to Chiefs by 6 *13 seconds* (Won SB)
2020: Lost to Chiefs by 14 (Lost SB)

The list is quite literally Mahomes and Burrow.

Now for the Broncos, here is their regular season schedule for this season. Go game by game and ask yourself how much chemistry and experience the head coach and quarterback have together in building their teams.

And you also need to look at some of these games in retrospect, such as:

Week 4 AT HOME vs Bengals: Bengals with Jake Browning for 3 weeks looked horrendous.

Week 5 AT Eagles: Won by 1 point despite Eagles offense having bad problems to start the season with the new OC

Week 7 AT HOME vs Giants: An anomaly of a choke. Down 32 TO 0, the Giants allowed something impossible to happen. Dart's 3rd start as well.

Week 8 AT HOME vs Cowboys: Cowboys missing ALL of their defensive backs.

Week 15 AT HOME vs Packers: They caught Packers right in between the worst 2 possible games... the Bears and the Bears. A perfect scenario for them.

The Chiefs games I haven't pointed out because I respect those wins. Although the Chiefs have had problems this year, they are still the Chiefs so I won't say much negative about it... but the rest... no wonder their defense was so "good".

I'm not saying the Bills did any better though, if you were wondering that. That isn't the point of this post.

I'm simply pointing out how much more developed and experienced the Bills are compared to the Broncos and to remember that a successful regular season doesn't mean a successful post season.

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

That was an above average drive for the Broncos and they only got 3 points.

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

@ABHARPUnite I understand the public concern and always have it factored. It is actually a larger share of the reason I'm on Patriots. But the public doesn't always lose.

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

NFL Divisional Round predictions:

Bills +1.5 (-115)⭐️
49ers +7 (-110) (under?/under 2nd half live?)
Patriots -3 (not laying -3.5)
Bears +4 ⭐️⭐️⭐️

Very public it seems, but not changing. A lot of info comes out just before the games and I'll be looking to update if I need.

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

@KidKilmer @dewolfieboy @Bambino_Bets 😂😂😂 respect the creativity

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

Law of averages always wins. I wasn't wrong about the Lions... just early.

Lions went 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games, and only won 3 straight up. Anything could happen between now to 8 months to reverse this, but for now I will be looking to fade the Lions in optimal spots.

[CapperCraig @CapperCraig]

Every single trend you see for the Lions/Ravens will point you the way of the Lions. How could it not? Look at the success of the last 3 years.

The Lions are 39-18 ATS and have covered at 68.4% since week 1 of 2022.

But they lost BOTH of their important coordinators in the offseason... with one who I believe is the smartest man to ever draw up, and call, an offensive play.

They may or may not cover... versus the 2nd best team in the NFL... but what comes up... will eventually come down.