(5/12)
Price is falling.
Momentum is weakening.
And now the weekly trend is confirming it.
That's three separate pieces of evidence all pointing in the same direction.
(5/12)
Price is falling.
Momentum is weakening.
And now the weekly trend is confirming it.
That's three separate pieces of evidence all pointing in the same direction.
(11/12)
Could both markets be setting up for a synchronized bottom?
Maybe.
Too early to know.
But it's definitely a scenario worth watching.
For now:
Bear flag confirmed
Weekly momentum bearish
Macro trend still bearish
The next few weeks could be some of the most important of 2026.
(4/12)
Now let's look at momentum.
The Weekly Stochastic RSI has officially closed below 80.
That might not sound like much...
But historically this often marks the transition from bullish momentum to bearish momentum.
Bitcoin just confirmed bearish momentum.
Two weeks ago, we highlighted a critical level.
Lose ~$75,600 and the bear flag breaks down.
That's exactly what happened.
Some of my members who took the setup are now sitting on gains approaching 20%.
But here's the bigger question:
Is Bitcoin finally approaching its REAL bottom?
(3/12)
What makes this area so interesting is the confluence.
When we measure Fibonacci extensions from:
126k high
60k low
83k high
The Golden Zone between the 0.5 and 0.618 retracement lands right inside the 200-300 SMA support region.
Multiple indicators.
One area.
(2/12)
The answer may be hiding on the weekly chart.
For months we've been highlighting the zone between the:
200 SMA
300 SMA
Historically, this has been one of the most important support regions in Bitcoin.
And price is rapidly approaching it.
(1/12)
The daily chart played out almost perfectly.
The bearish momentum trigger failed.
Price broke structure.
The bear flag collapsed.
Now everyone's asking the same thing:
"How much lower can we go?"
Thread 1/5 🧵
Bitcoin is pumping, but under the hood, a deceptive story is unfolding. While we’re grinding higher, we are floating on low volume with no real "muscle" backing the move. Are we starting a fresh macro uptrend, or walking into a beautifully laid trap? Let’s break down the charts. 👇
The Macro Trap (Weekly Timeframe) Zooming out to the 1-Week chart using the 12/26 EMA Inflection Zones, the 12 EMA is still crossing below the 26 EMA.
We have not officially flipped back into a macro bull market.
Historically, rushing through or getting rejected at this cross zone (like in 2015, 2018, and 2022) has led to sharp retests, double bottoms, or major macro crashes before a real uptrend can establish.
Post 1/4
Bitcoin is attempting a breakout…
but it’s happening right into major resistance.
This is a decision zone.
Bulls want a structural shift.
Bears still control the macro trend.
The next move likely defines the next major leg.
Post 3/4
Bear Flag Setup (Daily)
Clean structure after impulsive move down:
• Price pushing upper boundary
• Attempting breakout
• Directly into resistance
This is where it resolves:
Breakout → continuation higher
Rejection → continuation lower