Monthly Analytics Report For August
Data as of September 2, 2025, 04:29 AM NZST, for release on October 1, 2025.
Data Sources (Merged Metrics)
Bitcoin: ~$108,510 USD (live, +0.01% 24h).
Market Sentiment: Hype rising (social media buzz, X/Instagram).
Luxury Trends: Stable (~$20,600 USD).
Economy: Manufacturing strong (~53.8), Fed rates steady (4.25%โ4.5%).
On-Chain: Bitcoin Dominance/Altcoins 58.2%, active trading and holder metrics steady.
Institutional Flows: ~$525M net inflows weekly.
Volatility: Heating up (~48%, 30-day).
Liquidity: Global money supply growing (~8.8% YoY).
Price Indicators: No top signal.
Days to Next FOMC Meeting: 15 days (September 17, 2025).
Data Comparison (July 2025 vs. August 2025)
Bitcoin Price: July: ~$118,000 (avg); August: ~$110,000 (avg, -7.7%).
Market Sentiment: July: High; August: Rising, slightly cooler.
Luxury Trends: July: ~$19,500; August: ~$20,600 (+5.6%).
Manufacturing: July: 48.0; August: 53.8 (+12%).
Fed Rates: July: 4.25%โ4.5%; August: 4.25%โ4.5% (unchanged).
Rate Cut Odds: July: ~94% no change; August: 80.7% for 25 bps cut (Sep 17), 56% for December.
Bitcoin Dominance/Altcoins: July: ~62%; August: ~59.3% (-4.4%).
On-Chain Metrics: July: Strong accumulation; August: Steady, mid-cycle.
Institutional Flows: July: ~$12.8B inflows; August: ~$751M outflows.
Volatility: July: ~37%; August: ~48% (+29.7%).
Global Money Supply: July: ~8.8% YoY; August: ~8.8% YoY (flat).
Price Indicators: July: No top signal; August: No top signal.
Days to Next FOMC Meeting: July: ~45 days; August: 16 days (Sep 17).
Whatโs Being Tracked
Bitcoin price tops (projected higher, ~$122k+).
Bitcoin Dominance/Altcoins (currently 58.2%, watching for altseason).
Economic signals (manufacturing, Fed rates).
Market sentiment and luxury trends.
On-chain flows.
Institutional sentiment.
Market momentum.
Liquidity trends.
Price indicators.
Days to Next FOMC Meeting (15 days).
Summary
Bitcoinโs at ~$108,510, down 7.7% from Julyโs ~$118,000 average, showing consolidation after a rally. Market sentimentโs high but cooled slightly from Julyโs peak, with institutional flows flipping from $12.8B inflows to $751M outflows. Luxury trends (~$20,600, +5.6%) reflect steady wealth demand. Manufacturingโs up to 53.8 (+12%), Fed rates hold at 4.25%โ4.5% with an 80.7% chance of a 25 bps cut (Sep 17), and global money supply (~8.8% YoY) fuels assets. On-chain data (Dominance 58.2%) and indicators show a mid-cycle bull run, no top yet. Volatilityโs up to ~48% (+29.7%), with $1B liquidations noted (X, Aug 20, 2025). Macroโs bullish, with rate cuts and liquidity pushing prices. PEPE/DOGE await altseason.
Final Action Calls
Bitcoin Call: HOLD.
Bitcoin Dominance/Altcoins Call: HOLD.
PEPE/DOGE Call: HOLD (altseason pending).
Top Signal Criteria
We confirm tops using multiple proven metrics to ensure high confidence, keeping details private.
Next Update
Tracking for October 1, 2025, with all metrics consolidated.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice; please consult a financial adviser.
Quick Cycle Update - August 2025
Yo, crew! Quick pulse check on our Bitcoin journey. All good here!
Data Sources
- Bitcoin: Yahoo Finance (~$117,490).
- Hype: X sentiment (0.41/1.0).
- Rolex: WatchCharts (~$13,130).
- Economy: ISM PMI (50.4), Fed rates (4.25%-4.5%).
95% confidence in live data.
What We're Tracking
- Bitcoin price tops ($122,780+).
- Bitcoin dominance (57.6%, eyeing 50-53%).
- Economic signals (ISM, Fed cuts).
- Market hype and luxury trends.
Cycle Status
Mid-bull run. Bitcoin at ~$117,490, hype at 0.41. Dominance at 57.6%. Economy expanding (ISM 50.4). Likely 3-6 months from BTC top (Nov 2025-Feb 2026, 83-88% confidence).
Next Up
Tracking live, updating you every three months. Stay tuned, love ya! ๐
Buy at spot and ride volatility ๐ or you will sell at worst time.. if you've experienced last bear market, which was the worst. This is just another day in crypto,