Carl

everything compounds

[Carl @CarlInvests]

@kylegriffin1 he said he’s staying just to make sure it doesn’t turn into a complete shit show

[Carl @CarlInvests]

@traderkane @TradovateProp look what they did to our boy Group Trade over the weekend

[Carl @CarlInvests]

👀

[Carl @CarlInvests]

$SPX seasonality

[Carl @CarlInvests]

@TradingLucid i’m about to blow so many accounts 🤤

[Carl @CarlInvests]

@DeItaone damn they caught him long oil chat

[Carl @CarlInvests]

@DeItaone 👀

[Carl @CarlInvests]

$ASML earnings impact on NQ at 1am et

[LiveSquawk @LiveSquawk]

ASML Q1 26 Earnings:

• Net Sales: €8.77B (est €8.55B)
• Net Income: €2.76B (est €2.54B)
• Sees Q2 Net Sales: €8.4B To €9.0B (est €9.04B)
• Sees FY Net Sales: €36B To €40B (saw €34B To €39B; est €37.68B)

[Carl @CarlInvests]

$ASML earnings impact on NQ at 1am et

[LiveSquawk @LiveSquawk]

ASML Q4 24 Earnings

- Net Sales: €9.26B (est €9.07B)
- Net Income: €2.69B (est €2.64B)
- Bookings: €7.1B (est €3.99B)
- Sees Q1 25 Revenue: €7.5B-€8.0B
- Sees FY 2025 Net Sales: €30B-€35B (est €32.19B)

[Carl @CarlInvests]

$ASML earnings impact on NQ at 1am et

[LiveSquawk @LiveSquawk]

ASML Q4 25 Earnings:

• Rev: €9.72B (est €9.57B)
• Bookings: €13.16B (est €6.85B)
• Sees 2026 Net Sales €34B–€39B (est €35.15B)
• Announces New Share Buyback Of Up To €12B By End-2028

[Carl @CarlInvests]

@AnyaAlis damn girl! good luck in surgery and recovery 🙏

[Carl @CarlInvests]

@BrettSimba @Tradeify 👀

[Carl @CarlInvests]

@TradovateProp i spend a lot of time screenshotting bugs with your trading platform that you have yet to fix for nearly a year now, with over 16 instances on wednesday… https://t.co/NZwvnWngvS

[Carl @CarlInvests]

@TradovateProp @Tradovate @NinjaTrader @NTEcosystem fucking

[Carl @CarlInvests]

@TradovateProp @Tradovate @NinjaTrader @NTEcosystem fuck @Tradovate

[Carl @CarlInvests]

Please get your shit together in 2026 @TradovateProp

[Carl @CarlInvests]

@TradovateProp @Tradovate @NinjaTrader @NTEcosystem as

[Carl @CarlInvests]

2026 Q2 $JHEQX
6865c +5.2%
6180p -5.3%

only see 3,400 contracts of each traded

[Carl @CarlInvests]

new $JHEQX roll just hit, later in the day than usual

[Carl @CarlInvests]

2026 Q1 $JHEQX
7155c +4.5%
6475p -5.4%

[Carl @CarlInvests]

@DeItaone why tf would NATO join an unprovoked war you started of your own accord?

[Carl @CarlInvests]

@Tradesyncer capital loss carry forward

[Carl @CarlInvests]

@SteveRattner making $70-80M in 20 minutes too hard to pass up

[Carl @CarlInvests]

@jayalxndr https://t.co/GlfRdBmgOZ

[AW Trades ♛ @aw_trades_]

Great question and yes, this is a known limitation of OHLCV backtesting from what I've read. Also, long winded answer but it's exciting to talk to someone with genuine questions!!!!

The intra-bar sequence problem: if both TP and SL are hit within the same bar, you can't know which came first without tick data. It's real and I've been trying to figure out it's impact on the data.

Why I believe it's minimal here:

1. The primary exit is a 3.0x ATR trailing stop, not TPs. The backtest data showed TPs barely get hit, the trail exits almost everything first. So the TP vs SL same bar conflict rarely occurs.

2. The optimal timeframe is 10m. The signal logic runs on 10m bars where each bar represents 10 minutes of price action. At that resolution, same bar TP+SL conflicts are much rarer than on daily bars.

3. Entries are at candle close (confirmed, no repainting). Not mid bar assumptions.

4. Commission and slippage are NOT included, which I'll note when publishing. Subtracting ~$5 round trip per trade still leaves the edge intact.

Is it perfect? No. Tick level backtesting would be more precise. But for a trailing stop dominant strategy on 10m bars, the OHLCV resolution is sufficient to validate the edge exists. The out of sample results holding up on unseen data confirms that

Appreciate the real question and will be doing even deeper analysis on this too since it's a new area for me to explore

[Carl @CarlInvests]

@TraderYush yeah, 20% consistency isn’t trading. it’s just a game. 40-50% is reasonable so people aren’t yoloing news. 20% consistency makes a live account way more attractive