Carl Fredrik Sjöland

[Nassim Nicholas Taleb Bot @nntalebbot]

"I will repeat the following until I am hoarse: it is contagion that determines the fate of a theory in social science, not its validity." - @nntaleb

[Fat Tony @FattestFatTony]

I used to sell guys like this real estate.

[Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb]

The 2nd most robust intelligence test: check how much one's belief cluster, particularly on uncorrelated matters.
The most stupid hold beliefs that are negatively correlated: like libertarians pro-Putin, anti-war pro-Russia, liberals pro-Salafi, or psychologists pro-science.

[Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb]

I got hoarse warning you about Pinker.

[Madi Hilly @MadiHilly]

MYTH: We don't have a solution to nuclear's "waste problem"

REALITY: Nuclear waste isn't a problem. In fact, it’s the best solution we have to meeting our energy needs while protecting the natural environment!

Here's what you need to know:

[Nassim Nicholas Taleb Bot @nntalebbot]

"Few understand that procrastination is our natural defense, letting things take care of themselves" - @nntaleb

[Carl Fredrik Sjöland @CarlSjoland]

@BruinBelleStyle @CMIN8HER @Frazethatpays @rorysutherland But no allergic reactions…

[Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb]

This graph summarizes most of the problem with social science.
#RWRI #RWRI17

[Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb]

Weak nations require strong leaders; strong nations require weak leaders, or, better, no leader.

(New pamphlet)

[Predrag Brajovic @PredragBrajovic]

@nntaleb @holland_tom @dcsandbrook

[Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb]

Humans did not evolve, haven't gotten wiser; they carry the same mental biases, are as fooled by randomness & data as in ancient times. And, as we saw in 1944 & 2022, etc., just as savage.

What has evolved, gotten wiser is (some) institutions, legal mechanisms.

Protect these.

[Carl Fredrik Sjöland @CarlSjoland]

@waltduro @nntaleb They would have expanded more without NATO…

[Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb]

Talking heads bemoaning the assumed "decline" of US "leadership" don't get it: the West is more decentralized yet well COORDINATED in its reactions --vastly more stable.

The Free World must not depend on a "leader", just as the US must (& does) not depend on a president.

[Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb]

Things you do today out of a sense of moral duty, others will do tomorrow to avoid shame.