@DavidPHerrick@DanFriedman81 You are forgetting the 70 times where the cover up works. If you compare all sex between strangers, drunk sex, and group sex at college parties at the "believe all women threshold" to the number of newsworthy sexual assault cases, cover ups are often successful.
@catturd2 I'd say bet about 10 races where the markets seem wrong and make thousands, but you'd really be gambling that the markets don't go bankrupt after the election.
@EricLDaugh Kick them all out and do your own streaming news account that you give to anyone who wants it one hour before releasing it on https://t.co/5SbJB61W5m. Also, destroy Fox News.
@nicksortor If he resigns, Kentucky won't have that Senate seat until mid-November at the earliest. And his staff will lose its mandate to do constituent service.
@catturd2 People don't believe polls, but they believe that online bettors are dialed in. These betting markets only work when people value winning the bet over manipulating the market.
@catturd2 Can't understand why on the anniversary of a man being killed for having reasonable conservative views that the New Yorks F'ing Times can't find anyone to express reasonable conservative views...except that they might be afraid.
@ByronYork If it's true, no sense worrying. If it's false, no sense worrying. If you are right, at the expense of party moral, good for you. But if you are wrong, shouldn't you accept some consequences? Predicting bad news in politics leaves you right just over half the time.