Joseph Hogue

FREE actionable trade-ideas, technical & fundamentals analysis on AI supercycle.

[Joseph Hogue @Carp213Nico]

Believe it or not, I’ll only say this once — these are my August picks.

$PLTR (Palantir) — Don’t buy
$AVGO (Broadcom) — Don’t buy
$META (Meta Platforms) — Don’t buy
$AMZN (Amazon) — Buy at $245–$250
$MSFT (Microsoft) — Buy at $442–$450
$QCOM (Qualcomm) — Buy at $140–$148
$MRVL (Marvell Technology) — Buy at $178–$183

Additionally, I’ve been screening solid small-cap names. Hit the like button, follow my account, and send me a direct message if you want the list.

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[Joseph Hogue @Carp213Nico]

$AMZN has completed a $50B investment for ~5% of OpenAI valuing the company at $852B ahead of a potential IPO next year.

Combined with its $18B already invested in Anthropic, Amazon now holds major stakes in two of the world’s leading AI labs.

[Joseph Hogue @Carp213Nico]

As a earnings recap: $AMZN , $META , $GOOGL , and $MSFT guided a 2026 combined capex forecast to ~$720-$745 Billion.

Up from $695-$725B Billion previously.

Amazon: $220B
Google: $195B-$205B
Meta: $130B-$145B
Microsoft: $175B

We've already seen significant deleveraging and retail/institutional margin liquidations (maybe it continues for more time, who knows).

But medium-long term, I'm not quite sure how anyone can be bearish the upstream semis or neoclouds.

Given each hyperscaler has flagged either compute shortages, rising cloud demand + pricing power, or increased spending for chips/networking.

My "bottleneck" thesis with many of these upstream semi supply chains is that when trillions in capital flows into things from InP substrates or memory (which were both treated as cheap commodities) or even energy.

Lot of these current AI names that were treated as useless before in telecom cycles or even toilet sellers.

Gets rerated when their inflection period hits and capex flows into their balance sheets.

As seen with $NVDA GPUs past few years, memory this year, CPUs/MLCCs next few years, CPO in 2027, Glass Substrates in 2027, 800V in 2027, and so on.

[Joseph Hogue @Carp213Nico]

Most investors will ignore these names until confidence returns. The impact of this portfolio of eight small-cap stocks could exceed expectations:

1: $OUST (Ouster) → $35 Strong Buy
2: $ONDS (Ondas) → $7.5 Strong Buy
3: $RKLB (Rocket Lab) → $62 Strong Buy
4: $ASTS (AST SpaceMobile) → $55 Strong Buy
5: $AUR (Aurora Innovation) → $6 Must buy
6: $LUNR (Intuitive Machines) → $11 Must buy
7: $NNE (Nano Nuclear Energy) → $16 Must buy
8: $USAR (USA Rare Earth) → $13.6 Must buy

Save this list. The market may see it differently by year-end…

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[Joseph Hogue @Carp213Nico]

These ETFs you can Comfortably GO ALL IN ON and Make A Lot of money Long-Term...

1) $SCHG / $VOOG / $MGK
2) $AOTG
3) $AIPO
4) $AIS
5) $CHAT
6) $TCAI
7) $CHPX
8) $DARP
9) $AGIX
10) $GRNY
11) $QQQM / $QNDX
12) $TOPT
13) $QTOP
14) $VOO / $SPYM
15) $VTI
16) $VT
17) $SMH / $SOXX
18) $SPMO
19) $XLK / $XNTK
20) $VGT / $FTEC

[Joseph Hogue @Carp213Nico]

$AMZN Q2 earnings performance greatly exceeded expectations.

• Revenue $200.6B vs Est. $196.2B
• EPS $5.75 vs Est. $1.81
• AWS Revenue $42.2B vs Est. $40.6B
• Operating Income $27.5B vs Est. $23.5B

Q3 Guidance
• Revenue $200B vs Est. $204B
• Operating Income $24B vs Est. $25B

[Joseph Hogue @Carp213Nico]

2025 gave you:

$MU $90 → $813
$AMD $85 → $450
$NBIS $20 → $170
$NOW $225 → $111

2026 is handing you:

$MU $735 → $1500
$AMD $425 → $800
$NBIS $140 → $300
$NOW $115 → $150

Don't miss out again

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[Joseph Hogue @Carp213Nico]

2025 gave you:

$MU $90 → $813
$AMD $85 → $450
$NBIS $20 → $170
$NOW $225 → $111

2026 is handing you:

$MU $735 → $1500
$AMD $425 → $800
$NBIS $140 → $300
$NOW $115 → $150

Don't miss out again

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[Joseph Hogue @Carp213Nico]

Love Him or Hate Him, Trump's Market Calls Have Been Hard to Ignore.

So far he's called:
$INTC at $18 & ran +596%
$DELL at $220 & ran +106%
$NOW at $79 & ran +63%

He's now calling:
$USAR at $13
$MP at $38
$ALOY and $8

"I'll tell you how to make money

Don't forget to save it to look back on later...

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[Joseph Hogue @Carp213Nico]

$SOFI five years ago:
• $15/share
• 2.5M members with ~$300M gross profit run-rate

$SOFI today:
• $15/share
• 15.8M members with ~$2.5B gross profit run-rate

Same price. Very different business.

[Joseph Hogue @Carp213Nico]

Bookmark this post, you’ll thank me later.

My August investment advice:

$KO (Coca-Cola) - Don't buy
$SNDK (SanDisk) - Don't buy
$LITE (Lumentum) - Don't buy
$TSLA (Tesla) - Buy at $300-$305
$SPCX (SpaceX) - Buy at $113-$116
$NVDA (Nvidia) - Buy at $193-$197
$MU (Micron Technology) - Buy at $816-$816

Don't forget to save it to look back on later...

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[Joseph Hogue @Carp213Nico]

Aggressively Buy These Undervalued Stocks Before Wall Street Does.

These are the top 8 buys:
1. $NOW at $110
2. $PLTR at $120
3. $NBIS at $162
4. $ORCL at $120
5. $RKLB at $62
6. $ZETA at $20
7. $PATH at $11
8. $ONDS at $7

Don't forget to save it to look back on later...

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[Joseph Hogue @Carp213Nico]

$UPST Back in May, the Director and CEO bought $6.5M in stock combined for around $25-$27’s.

Name rebounded to as high as $37. And now has basically round tripped back to $27.

Worth a shot here to “tail the whale” for a second opportunity?

I think so.

[Joseph Hogue @Carp213Nico]

GLOBAL DRAM MARKET SHARE

• $SKHY ~29%
• $MU ~22%
• $CXMT ~8%
• Samsung ~39%

With Samsung, SK hynix and Micron controlling ~90% of the market, the industry has far more pricing discipline as capacity shifts toward higher-margin HBM through take-or-pay contracts and price floors.

CXMT is a real commodity DRAM competitor and now China’s most valuable publicly traded company at a $500B valuation but without meaningful HBM exposure its not yet competing in the highest-margin segment of AI memory.

[Joseph Hogue @Carp213Nico]

I’ll only say this once. Bookmark this post — top-quality stock picks for today.

$SNDK - Don't buy
$LITE - Don't buy
$CRWV - Don't buy
$SPCX - Buy at $105-$108
$NVDA - Buy at $192-$195
$RKLB - Buy at $58-$64
$MU - Buy at $894-$898

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[Joseph Hogue @Carp213Nico]

Unwritten rules of the stock market:

1. Price drops 10%: Hold.
2. Price drops 20%: Increase position by 10%.
3. Price drops 30%: Increase position by 30%.
4. Price drops 40%: Increase position by 30%.
5. Price drops 50%: Increase position by 50%.
6. Price rises 10%: Hold.
7. Price rises 20%: Still hold.
8. Price rises 30%: Sell 10%.
9. Price rises 40%: Sell 20%.
10. Price rises 50%: Sell 30%.
11. Price rises 60%: Sell 40%.
12. Price rises 100%: Sell everything.

Save this; it will come in handy...

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[Joseph Hogue @Carp213Nico]

The AI bubble might soon be popping?

$SNDK : -11.65%
$AMD : -8.04%
$LRCX : -7.19%
$ASML : -7.04%
$INTC : -7.89%
$NVDA : -5.25%
$AMAT : -5.99%
$MU : -5.36%
$MRVL : -4.08%
$TSM : -2.53%

What do you guys think?

[Joseph Hogue @Carp213Nico]

10 ETFs to Make You Rich Faster...

1 - $DRAM
2 - $SMH
3 - $SPMO
4 - $QQQM
5 - $XLK
6 - $VGT
7 - $QTOP
8 - $QLD
9 - $SSO
10 - $CHAT

[Joseph Hogue @Carp213Nico]

MASSIVE earnings week ahead!

• Tuesday: $BE $STX $KLA $V
• Wednesday: $SOFI $VRT $MSFT $META $HOOD $ARM $QCOM $FTNT
• Thursday: $MA $AMZN $RDDT

All eyes on the hyperscalers.

[Joseph Hogue @Carp213Nico]

$SPY is on pace for the smallest green year since 2016.

$QQQ is on pace for the smallest green year since 2015.

$DIA is on pace for the biggest green year since 2021.

$IWM is on pace for the biggest green year since 2013!