Anon

[Anon @Carpincho1986]

@EuropeElects Terrible color scheme.

[Peter Kirgis @pkirgis]

We gave GPT-6 Astra and Claude Fable 5.1 open-ended AI research questions from unpublished papers, with a $10,000 budget each, and had the original authors grade the papers they produced. Compared to our first tests with Claude Opus 4.8 in July, we saw meaningful improvements in experimental design and resource management, but persistent limitations in creative problem solving, judgment, calibration, and communication; both papers were rejected by our experts.

https://t.co/n1OMKf4M7T

[Anon @Carpincho1986]

@BrankoMilan The US already secured Thailand and Indonesia as a bulwark at that time.

[Anon @Carpincho1986]

@RichardHanania In many Muslim countries, alcohol is still kind of OK but pork is a huge no-no. Historically, from Balkan to Bengal, there is a Sufi Muslim tradition of wine-drinking that helps achieve gnosis. The Hanafi school also once allowed alcohol from wheat or barley.

[Anon @Carpincho1986]

@phl43 @RichardHanania Exactly, in many Muslim countries, alcohol is still kind of OK but pork is a huge no-no. Historically, from Balkan to Bengal, there is a Sufi Muslim tradition of wine-drinking that helps achieve gnosis. The Hanafi school also once allowed alcohol from wheat or barley.

[Anon @Carpincho1986]

@phl43 Are they "native" French but they made very basic grammar mistake?

[Gregory M. Kurtzer @gmkurtzer]

Not sure who needs to hear this but....

An LLM doesn't "understand" anything. It is a statistical model that spews out tokens based on probabilities calculated through massive matrix operations and context, not an understanding of the subject matter.

[Anon @Carpincho1986]

@phl43 A nuanced, balanced, and non-moralistic take? Really rare to see in Europe and the West nowadays!

[Philippe Lemoine @phl43]

As usual, people are looking for deep reasons, but I think there isn't any for the most part and the real explanation is much more boring.

There is a very high level of general dissatisfaction in France at the moment, mostly due to anemic economic growth and inflation, especially with the price of gas. In addition, Macron has been in power for almost 10 years and is very unpopular, which only adds to general dissatisfaction.

The high school protests, although they were already fizzling out, have provided motivation for the left by fueling the hope that it could ride out that wave to energize its own protests.

So there was a fertile ground for protests, which are pretty common in France after summer. Still, while the protests were large, they were hardly impressive by French standards. What set them apart from traditional French social movements is how violent they were.

Contrary to popular mythology, French protests are not generally violent. France has a very strong protest and strike culture, but the meme about how we riots all the time is overdone.

Traditionally, protests are traditionally organized by unions, which coordinate with the authorities beforehand and have a security service that takes care of troublemakers during the protest.

This is why the violence always starts toward the end of the protests, after the official demonstration has disbanded and people begin to scatter, because that's when it's harder for the police to control the situation.

Protests have increasingly led to violence in recent years because they have become more spontaneous and are more often organized by people on social media, but also and relatedly because increasingly far-left groups and children of immigrants opportunistically join them to cause mayhem and loot.

I keep seeing a lot of people who are depicting those kids as "Islamists" and ideologically motivated actors, but I think it's a complete misreading of the situation in my opinion. This isn't an "Islamist uprising" or whatever nonsense people are talking about.

Their actions are opportunistic and driven by a nihilistic culture that is very similar to what you see in Black ghettos in the US, where anti-social behavior is totally normalized, with an added Islamic veneer due to their family background.

This nihilism and their family background makes them susceptible to Islamist indoctrination, which is why terrorists were almost always delinquent before they turned to religion, but most of them aren't ideologues and those who are don't loot stores.

As I explained before, the police often don't intervene because they are overwhelmed and they have instructions from the government not to, because politicians are terrified that if they do a kid will be killed and they will have full-blown race riots on their hands.

So what they do instead is contain the violence geographically and arrest the most violent participants later at home, when the risk that the cops will kill one of them is low, using video/photo evidence.

Eventually things will fizzle out, in part because the violence will discredit the movement and actually make it easier for the government to deal with it, but this tactic is very costly since we are effectively accepting that every now and then far-left activists and immigrant thugs will just burn and loot while the police watch.

The problem from the government's point of view is that, if they use repression by telling the cops to break skulls, they will kill some of the kids and this will result in a massive backlash, leading to more protests and probably even more violence.

I think we need to hand out serious prison time to protesters who are caught engaging in violence to deter this kind of shit, but the government has a very limited ability to do so, because justice is independent, courts are full of left-wing judges who refuse to do that, they are already overwhelmed with cases, prisons are full and we are broke.

So there isn't one single explanation, it's just a combination of factors, including random stuff that nobody could predict. The context explains why something like that *can* happen, but it doesn't explain why it happens when it does. Again it's probably random for the most part.

It would take years to solve the problem even if we started now, which we won't because our politics is completely broken, because it would require getting our budget in order, implementing reasonable economic policies, fixing our immigration and justice system, etc. We are cooked to be honest.

[Anon @Carpincho1986]

@gammal729 @phl43 Indeed, the academic community today is full of mediocre people with confirmation bias and banal conclusions.

[Global Election Simulator @globalelectsim]

🇪🇸 2026 Spanish General Election Projection:
🔗 https://t.co/AFe8O5aDtD

🔵 PP (Feijóo, centre-right) - 143 seats (34.1%)
🔴 PSOE (Sánchez, centre-left) - 106 seats (27.1%)
🟢 Vox (Abascal, right-wing) - 66 seats (19.2%)
🟣 FA (left-wing) - 7 seats (6.4%)
🩷 ERC (Rufián, left-wing) - 7 seats (2.2%)
🟢 Bildu (Aizpurua, left-wing) - 6 seats (1.4%)
🟣 Podemos (Belarra, left-wing) - 4 seats (3.5%)
🟢 PNV (Vaquero, centre-right) - 4 seats (1.1%)
🩷 Junts (Noqueras, centre-right) - 3 seats (1.3%)
🩵 BNG (Rego, left-wing) - 2 seats (1.1%)
🟡 CC (Valido, centre) - 1 seat (0.5%)
🔵 UPN (Ibarrola, centre-right) - 1 seat (0.2%)
🟠 SALF (Pérez, right-wing) - 0 seats (1.9%)

#EleccionesGenerales #29N

[Anon @Carpincho1986]

@ggreenwald That also means Daniela Lima finds Flavio Bolsonaro to be young and handsome.

[Anon @Carpincho1986]

@globalelectsim Can you update the data on Indonesia? https://t.co/0CEr0izgEB

[Anon @Carpincho1986]

@phl43 5% growth per year is not enough for Indonesia to reach high income status before 2050.

[Anon @Carpincho1986]

@APHClarkson Isn't the timing of this poll awfully convenient then? Merz at his most vulnerable, and then the Burnham version of the CDU appears as the messiah, Hendrik Wüst

[Anon @Carpincho1986]

@EuropeElects Tiershutz has more votes than FDP 😂

[不変哲 🦥 @fuhentetsu]

対岸へ渡りたいのだが、思いのほか川の流れが早いので、どうしたものかとしばし濁流と川幅とを眺め目測しながら考えたあげく、少し上流まで歩き、流されながらも対岸の目的地へ斜めに緩やかなカーブを描くように渡ればよいのだと想定し、目標地に無事たどり着いた物理学的な考察能力のある牛さん…

[Anon @Carpincho1986]

@Political_proj That's wrong, the leader of TOP is a woman: https://t.co/MlNjQTeh3Y

That's why you shouldn't use ChatGPT to make graphs.

[Nature & Animals🌴 @naturelife_ok]

In a Japanese zoo, a seal tried to climb higher but quickly gave up and decided to just lie down.. 🦭🤭

[NyxNara @NaraSenyap]

Rekaman Cctv Gempa Kembar Venezuela di La Guaira, Venezuela (24/6) Terlihat Seiche Seismik pada Kolam membentuk spt hantaman ombak besar Krn Kuatnya Gempa.