THE S&P 500 IS STARTING TO LOOK FAKE 🩸
Most stocks are red today, yet the S&P 500 is barely down because NVIDIA alone added $190 BILLION in value.
This is very dangerous divergence.
SHOPIFY IS MASSIVELY MISPRICED RIGHT NOW 🚨📉
The market is handing you a near 50% discount on one of the strongest software platforms built in the last 20 years.
$SHOP is trading around $99, down from ~$180 highs, and the narrative is completely distorted.
Here’s what the data actually says:
• FWD P/E: ~53x (near multi-year lows) 🚀
• Revenue guidance: 27��29% YoY 📈
• FCF growth: +31% YoY with ~15% margins
• GMV: $100B+ at ~35% YoY growth
The “deceleration” narrative doesn’t hold up:
• Revenue came in line with guidance
• GMV is still growing strongly at 30%+
• Full-year trajectory remains intact
• Quarter-to-quarter noise is not a structural slowdown
What the market is missing:
• AI fears are overblown
• SaaS multiple compression has gone too far
• “Slowdown” narrative doesn’t match actual company performance
Shopify is positioned to benefit from AI:
• Heavy ongoing investment in AI + automation (OpEx running ~35–36% of revenue)
• Partnerships with LLMs increasing Shopify’s scale, reach, and merchant accessibility
• AI tools are making it easier than ever to start and run a business on Shopify
• Proprietary merchant + transaction data is a long-term advantage
Bottom line: Shopify is still compounding immense growth at scale, and the setup for the years ahead looks stronger than ever.
The slowdown narrative and AI fears are overblown. The market is clearly overreacting to short-term noise instead of the underlying trajectory.
This is shaping up to be a strong buying opportunity in $SHOP 📈
Crypto guys are the best because when the price is up and they’re rich they just post memes.
And when the price is down and they’ve lost the house and they’re suicidal they just post memes.
Legends.
🚨 BREAKING
🇺🇸 FED WILL OFFICIALLY ANNOUNCE NEW INTEREST RATES TODAY AT 2 PM ET.
IF RATE < 3.75% → MARKET GOES PARABOLIC
IF RATE = 3.75% → MARKET STAYS FLAT
IF RATE > 3.75% → MARKET DUMPS HARD
ALL EYES ON POWELL 👀
Buckle up for a huge week ahead:
1. Markets React to 100% Canada Tariff Threat - Tonight
2. Markets React to 75% Chance of Govt Shutdown - Tonight
3. January Consumer Confidence data - Tuesday
4. Fed Interest Rate Decision and Press Conference - Wednesday
5. Microsoft, Meta, Tesla Report Earnings - Wednesday
6. Apple Reports Earnings - Thursday
7. December PPI Inflation data - Friday
Prepare for significant volatility this week.
🚨 Next week is absolutely loaded for the markets
MON → FED LIQUIDITY INJECTION ($10–20B)
TUE → U.S. MACRO DATA HITS
WED → FED PRESIDENT ON THE MIC
THU → CPI PRINT
FRI → JAPAN RATE DECISION
BITCOIN AND CRYPTO ARE ABOUT TO GO PARABOLIC
My friend is the highest paid developer in Amsterdam
Makes an eye-watering €57,000 a year
After taxes nearly €23,000
We were at the bar and the American guy sitting next to us spit out his beer when he heard this
“That’s a 50% tax rate!” he loudly screamed
“Actually 56% with social contributions,” my proud Dutch friend corrected him
“Plus 21% VAT on everything I buy”
“Bro you guys are really poor in Europe lol”
Me and my friend look at each other in disbelief
First of all, €57,000 is an extremely high salary for an engineer in Netherlands
Second, little does that barbaric yankee know, my friend just got promoted to the CTO
His new salary?
€61,000
How is that for "really poor"?
This is what sustainable tech wages look like
I hope my startup will continue to grow so I can pay my engineers such high salaries as well
The liquidity sitting above for $BTC is insane.
$10B in short liquidation at $100,000.
$18B in short liquidation at $110,000.
I think a good chunk of this will be taken out.
We will probably bounce hard here soon.
Then everyone will have ptsd and sell the bounce.
And then we will have the real bull and leave all non believers behind.
Your biggest problem will be selling to early this time.