🅲🅴🆂🅲🅾

Hobby, Freizeit, Crypto, AI - 🇨🇭

[🅲🅴🆂🅲🅾 @Cesco_Crypto]

@NoLimitGains Diese Grafik ist eher viral als faktisch. Der IPO-Float lag bei 555.6 Mio. Aktien zu $135 – ca. 4.25%, nicht 5–10%. Bis 13. Juni gab es keinen Insider-Unlock. Die Lock-up-Struktur ist formelbasiert, keine simple 25/32/39/46/60%-Leiter. Hype ok, schlechte Mathematik nicht. $SPCX

[🅲🅴🆂🅲🅾 @Cesco_Crypto]

@NoLimitGains This chart looks viral, not factual. The IPO was 555.6M shares at $135 (~4.25% float). By Jun 13 there was no insider unlock. The lock-up schedule is formula-based—not a clean 25/32/39/46/53/60% float ladder. Hype is fine. Bad math isn’t. $SPCX

[🅲🅴🆂🅲🅾 @Cesco_Crypto]

Not good #Bitcoin

[🅲🅴🆂🅲🅾 @Cesco_Crypto]

https://t.co/PiBjHewQmE

[🅲🅴🆂🅲🅾 @Cesco_Crypto]

There are levels to wealth.

≈ 60,000,000 millionaires.
3,428 billionaires.
1 trillionaire.

After SpaceX’s IPO, the pyramid of wealth just got a new top.

[🅲🅴🆂🅲🅾 @Cesco_Crypto]

@Simi_2210_ skin

[🅲🅴🆂🅲🅾 @Cesco_Crypto]

https://t.co/DcBFdykU7h

[🅲🅴🆂🅲🅾 @Cesco_Crypto]

https://t.co/gfASatPm6y

[🅲🅴🆂🅲🅾 @Cesco_Crypto]

@Smart_Money DCA ab jetzt starten, mit grösseren Beträgen, max. 2x, um den Durchschnitt runterzudrücken falls es weiter fällt – wovon ich ausgehe. Die traditionellen Märkte sind noch zu weit oben und drücken BTC runter, auch wenn die Korrelation eigentlich nicht mehr da ist.

[🅲🅴🆂🅲🅾 @Cesco_Crypto]

@0xChainMind "Hold = up, break = down" is just describing a support line. And your text says $1,500 but the chart marks $1,705 — pick a target. One daily close decides a wick, not ETH's macro. The trendline retest is a fair level, though.

[🅲🅴🆂🅲🅾 @Cesco_Crypto]

@HenrikZeberg RSI divergence + MACD bear-cross are legit. But '$20-30k / top since 2012' ignores this cycle's new bid: spot ETFs + corporate treasuries. A wave-4 ~$66k pullback is reasonable; an 80% collapse is the tail, not the base case. Respect the risk — don't anchor on it.

[🅲🅴🆂🅲🅾 @Cesco_Crypto]

@MarioNawfal @WernerBechtel 🤣🤣

[🅲🅴🆂🅲🅾 @Cesco_Crypto]

@Mlu__N2 Average Bill for a better Restaurant in Zurich ;-)

[🅲🅴🆂🅲🅾 @Cesco_Crypto]

@MapleStax Trade

[🅲🅴🆂🅲🅾 @Cesco_Crypto]

Best performing city for AI weather trading: Seoul

P&L: +$94.25

Why? Asian markets have less competition - more inefficiency to exploit

The bot analyzes 10 cities across 3 continents.
Each has different forecast accuracy patterns.

Overall: +$5.32 P&L, 50% WR

[🅲🅴🆂🅲🅾 @Cesco_Crypto]

How I built a fully autonomous weather trading system

The architecture behind my AI bot that trades temperature markets on Polymarket:

Data Layer:
- 80 ensemble weather models (GFS + ECMWF)
- Scans 10 cities across 3 continents
- Synced to GFS model runs for latency edge

Execution:
- Quarter-Kelly position sizing
- Boundary filters + liquidity checks
- CLOB orderbook depth analysis
- 4 automated cycles/day via GitHub Actions

Self-Learning:
- Bayesian optimization (72 param combos)
- Monte Carlo stress testing (50 runs)
- Versioned configs with approval workflow

Monitoring:
- Live dashboard on Render (7 tabs)
- Telegram alerts after every cycle
- Automated X posts with stats cards

All open source. $500 starting bankroll. Day 15.

#QuantTrading #Polymarket #AlgoTrading #SystemDesign #Python #TradingBot

[🅲🅴🆂🅲🅾 @Cesco_Crypto]

Day 15 of building an AI weather trading bot on Polymarket

The system scans 10 cities, 4x daily (synced to GFS model runs)

Stats so far:
- Bankroll: $505.32 (started $500)
- P&L: +$5.32
- ROI: +1.1%
- Win Rate: 50% (3W/3L)
- 6 open trades worth $252

Built with 80 ensemble forecasts (GFS + ECMWF), Optuna optimization, Monte Carlo stress testing, and Purged K-Fold CV.

Fully automated. No manual intervention. All open source.

[🅲🅴🆂🅲🅾 @Cesco_Crypto]

@smart_money Gratuliere! Du hast alles richtig gemacht.

ich war mit meiner Familie 1 Jahr in Thailand/Asien.

War die schönste Zeit meines Lebens.

[🅲🅴🆂🅲🅾 @Cesco_Crypto]

@codewithimanshu open claw

[🅲🅴🆂🅲🅾 @Cesco_Crypto]

@Cryptoking @grok i lived there one year with my family. going back soon , but forever

[🅲🅴🆂🅲🅾 @Cesco_Crypto]

@Cryptoking @grok Thailand