ChalkedOdds

📊 Data-driven sports betting
Finding value one play at a time.
Chasing Value, Not Action.

[ChalkedOdds @ChalkedOdds]

ChalkedOdds was built on one principle:

Trust the process.

Every play is selected using a structured spreadsheet built around objective criteria—not opinions, hype, or emotion.

Win or lose, the process stays the same.

📊 Chasing value, not action.

[ChalkedOdds @ChalkedOdds]

Adding a couple players
-Schneemann
-B. Montgomery
-Grichuk
-Vargas

#MLB #Betting #HomeRuns #HomeRunBets

[ChalkedOdds @ChalkedOdds]

I'm AFK today. A lot easier with the model, but I have a good understanding of the general guidelines and these players hit that mark.
Manzardo
Delauter
Karros
Castro
Mack
Edwards
Turang
Bauers
Mitchell

Happy 4th! 🫡
#MLB #Betting #HomeRuns #MLBTwitter

[ChalkedOdds @ChalkedOdds]

🟢 Green Circle Recap 7/3

Record: 2-5
ROI: 16.91%

Another great day! All about trusting the process, data and numbers!

Model has been really solid! Looking forward to tomorrow!

Happy 4th 🏆

💣 HRs
• Garcia(+373)
• Reynolds (+455)

#MLB #HomeRuns #ChalkedOdds

[MLB Home Run @MLBHR]

Luis García Jr. - Washington Nationals (17) Solo 395 feet

[MLB Home Run @MLBHR]

Bryan Reynolds - Pittsburgh Pirates (12) Solo 381 feet
+390

[ChalkedOdds @ChalkedOdds]

PIT @ WAS

🟢Abrams (+398)
🟢Ruiz (+528)
🟢Garcia (+373)
🟢Griffin (+528)
🟢Valdez (+351)
🟢Rodriguez (+573)
🟢Reynolds (+425)

Model Certified.

#MLB #Betting #HomeRuns

[ChalkedOdds @ChalkedOdds]

TB @ KC

🟢Caglianone (+340)
🟢Mesa (+573)
🟢Marte (+625)
🟢Aranda (+455)
🟢Jenson (+490)
🟢Witt (+312)
🟢Diaz (+573)

Model Certified.

#MLB #Betting #HomeRuns

[ChalkedOdds @ChalkedOdds]

CWS @ CLE

🟢Manzardo (+425)
🟢Watson (+684)
🟢Arias (+684)
🟢Antonacci (+684)
🟢Benintendi (+455)

Model Certified.

#MLB #Betting #HomeRuns

[ChalkedOdds @ChalkedOdds]

MIA @ COL

🟢Edwards (+1074)
🟢Lopez (+573)
🟢Caissie (+312)
🟢Conine (+373)

Model Certified.

#MLB #Betting #HomeRuns

[ChalkedOdds @ChalkedOdds]

Comment players you think are going to hit a Home Run today. I'll run a few of them in my spreadsheet and see if they pass. 🟢

Friendly reminder: You can combo any of the plays I post as they are +EV. More variance of course. Me personally, Straights are they way.

#Betting #MLB

[ChalkedOdds @ChalkedOdds]

PIT @ PHI

🟢 Harper (+295)
🟢 Marsh (+489)

Model Certified.

#MLB #Betting #HomeRuns

[ChalkedOdds @ChalkedOdds]

🟢 Green Circle Recap 7/1

Record: 10-54
ROI: -2.3%

💣 HRs
• Clemens (+350)
• Bell (+450)
• Goodman (+250)
• Karros (+800)
• Davis (+500)
• Marsh (+500)
• Benge (+650)
• Conforto (+450)
• Fry (+650)
• Antonacci (+652)

Volume is Key! 🔑

#MLB #HomeRuns #ChalkedOdds

[MLB Home Run @MLBHR]

Kyle Karros - Colorado Rockies (6) Solo 440 feet
+900

[MLB Home Run @MLBHR]

Hunter Goodman - Colorado Rockies (27) 2-run 403 feet
+275

[ChalkedOdds @ChalkedOdds]

SF @ AZ

🟢Eldridge (+455)
🟢Schmitt (+425)
🟢Devers (+351)
🟢Moreno (+1074)
🟢Marte (+398)
🟢Carroll (+490)
🟢Troy (+1241)

Model Certified.

#MLB #Betting #HomeRuns

[MLB Home Run @MLBHR]

Kody Clemens - Minnesota Twins (14) 3-run 399 feet
+350

[ChalkedOdds @ChalkedOdds]

MIA @ COL

🟢Lopez (+625)
🟢Tovar (+684)
🟢Goodman (+265)
🟢Ruiz (+529)
🟢Karros (+840)

Model Certified.

#MLB #Betting #HomeRuns

[MLB Home Run @MLBHR]

Josh Bell - Minnesota Twins (11) 2-run 452 feet
+475

[MLB Home Run @MLBHR]

Brandon Marsh - Philadelphia Phillies (15) Solo 351 feet
+500

[ChalkedOdds @ChalkedOdds]

MIN @ HOU

🟢 Bell (+455)
🟢 Trammell (+573)
🟢 Altuve (+573)
🟢 Clemens (+373)
🟢 Smith (+573)
🟢 Larnach (+684)

Model Certified.

#MLB #Betting #HomeRuns