Chacha Maroa

Political Scientist with a bias in nation-state building. (analysis, policy, strategy, mobilisation)

[Chacha Maroa @Chamaroa]

#Bafanabafana really great results. Let's put some break to #Canada on Sunday. Great effort!
#FIFAWorldCup

[Chacha Maroa @Chamaroa]

@NationAfrica @NdindiNyoro was missing during the impeachment of @rigathi, he's voice and vote were desperately needed. Coincidentally, he's also missing in this critical vote. It smells of ambivalence reincarnated.

[Sam Terriz @Terriz_Sam]

Wanjiku Muhia : Organize yourselves into groups of ten to kill anyone who is not from Ol Kalou.
@NCIC_Kenya @DCI_Kenya @NPSOfficial_KE

[Chacha Maroa @Chamaroa]

@onsongo_k @CJ_Haslett Kisii, Nyamira, and Vihiga Counties needed this policy like 50 years ago. Although the counties are rich in fertile soil, it's almost impossible to do any large scale agriculture. You will be hard-pressed to find a piece of land that you can till using a tractor.

[Chacha Maroa @Chamaroa]

@properascension @StanleyCohenLaw Zoroastrianism is thousand of years older than Abrahamic Religions. It was also monotheistic and had the eschatological end much the same as modern popular Abrahamic Religions.

[Chacha Maroa @Chamaroa]

@LauraLoomer This is reductionist at best. Democratic Republic of Congo is 97% Catholic. It has been unstable for decades. Malawi, Lesotho, Swaziland, Botswana are in Sub Saharan Africa and haven't had conflict for decades.

Religious bigotry has gotten the better of you.

[Chacha Maroa @Chamaroa]

Most of the debt Kenya owes went into private people's accounts.

[Rodgers Adai @rodgers_adai]

I looked at Public Debts for Kenya, Tanzania, Ethiopia 2025.

Kenya US$ 100 Billion ( KShs 12.8 Trillion)
Tanzania US$ 46 Billion ( KShs 5.9 Billion)
Ethiopia US$ 51 Billion ( KShs 6.5 Billion).
Note that Public Debts for Ethiopia and Tanzania are 50% of Kenyas Public Debt.
It is difficult to tell where Kenya's KShs 12.8 Trillion was used.
I will analyse looking at major Projects the 3 Countries have undertaken since 2002 when the three has almost same Public Debts at US$ 7 Billion.
I will look at Kenya last.
Tanzania:
1. US$ 10 Billion Shs 1 Trillion 2,300km Standard Gauge Railway Dar Dodoma Mwanza Kigoma linking Rwanda Burundi DRC
2. US$ 3.6 Billion Julius Nyerere Hydro Power Plant 2115 MW
3. US$ 260 Million JPM Magufuli 3.2km Bridge Lake Victoria.
4. Dar es Salaam BRT US$ 332 Million
5. Kigamboni Bridge US$ 136 Million.
6. US$ 550 my Kinyerezi 400MW Gas Turbines

Total US$ 14.8 Billion ( Shs 1.28 Trillion)
If you consider Tanzania has built more Bitumen Roads (15,000kms versus 9,500km for Kenya), already about 50% of the Foreign Debt is accounted for.
And Julius Nyerere HPP was funded largely from Exchequer. Similarly more than 50% of SGR was funded from Exchequer.

Ethiopia:
1. US$ 5 Billion Grand Renaissance Dam 5150 MW
2. US$ 4 Billion 750 km Addis Djibouti Electrified SGR
3. US$ 1.7 Billion Awash Woldia SGR 425 km
4. You can't ignore Ethiopian Airlines, one of the biggest in the World with 150 Aircraft with 70 Wide Body Aircraft 100% Govt owned. At US$ 250 Million each, that is at a minimum US$ 20 Billion
US$ 12.7 Billion KShs 2.66 Trillion.
Again already about 50% of the Public Debt is accounted for.
And they can even fund GERD US$ 5 Billion from Exchequer.
Kenya
1. US$ 3.26 Billion 600km SGR Mombasa Suswa
2. Olkaria Power Stations US$ 1.3 Billion
3. US$ 360 40km Thika Superhighway
4. US$ 800 Nairobi Expressway
5. US$ 400m Dongo Kundu 17km
Total US$ 6.12 KShs 783 Billion.
When you compare with Shs 12.8Trilliin Debt,bthus is a mere 6% you can see.
I can't think of a Major Project the size of Julius Nyerere HPP or GERD in Ethiopia that Kenya has funded from internal resources the last 25 years.

Remember Kenya has borrowed KShs 6.4 Trillion more than either of those two countries.
Moreover Tanzania has 15,000 km Bitumen Roads more than Kenya at 9,500km
The ex Pres. Uhuru Kenyatta opined that about KShs 2B ( US$ 17 million) was being stolen everyday during his tenure. It is not far from the truth.
If you consider Tanzania is almost double the size of Kenya and people live everywhere.
Kenya, we live in only 30% of the Country. So Tanzania has more Roads, Population and Public services compared to Kenya.
Ideally Kenya's annual Budget should be half of Tanzania.
Instead it is 1.5 times bigger
That is about Shs 1 Trillion 'lost' annually.

This problem started after 2002 because the Public Debts were the same in the 3 Countries at US$ 7 Be each.
The mistake in Kenya is probably the choice of Political System. We chose Democracy where the one who does a better public circus gets elected. So you can end up with more than 90% of elected representatives with a dubious background who can lead a country into the abyss.
Unlike Ethiopia and Tanzania who tend to have Technocratic high quality leadership because of their Socialist past.
If you look at Kenyan Politicians the last 20 years and see who could make it in CCM Tanzanian leadership, very very few can make it.

And today, Kenya cannot do any minor Project without borrowing.
And we are still promoting PPPs as if it is free money.
Useless PPPs like Motor Vehicle Inspections, Speed Cameras, Africa50, Adani etc
So long as Foreigners are doing the PPPs, it is a burden on the KShs and they will have to be paid in US$ FOREX.
Kenya needs now to start thinking about whether the choices of Democracy and Devolution were a mistake.
At the moment, Kenya's future is bleak and nobody seems to have a clue on how to reverse.

[Chacha Maroa @Chamaroa]

@johnkings__ @mansaplus Attempted murder is not a civil matter, it's criminal. Someone cannot rape, kill, kidnap, assault, rob and then have an out of court settlement. The ODPP must prosecute if there's evidence.

[Chacha Maroa @Chamaroa]

@lynn_ngugi1 I don't like garlic but I have to take raw garlic at least four times a week. Its benefits far outweigh my dislike for its taste and smell. If you want to improve your health finely chop two cloves of garlic let it rest for 5-10 minutes then eat raw or mix with salad.

[I am Chege @_James041]

The kind of courage I admire.

To get change, we must be ready to address the uncomfortable truths.

Our lives begin to end the moment we stop talking about things that matter.

Here this 🎤

[Chacha Maroa @Chamaroa]

@justice4_254 https://t.co/b1ggocUkXj

[Chacha Maroa @Chamaroa]

@justice4_254 Sealioning

[The Economist @TheEconomist]

Precolonial statelessness may have been a sign of success, not failure https://t.co/RXhXdGV22W

[Chacha Maroa @Chamaroa]

This phenomenon was described by George Orwell as Double Think. I think it's got more to do with bigotry rather than values. "Nikipewa Nastahili, Ukipewa Umependelewa". I have not seen calls from the sanctimonious group urging Justice Njoki Ndung'u to turn down the ICC judge endorsement by government.

[Chacha Maroa @Chamaroa]

@Broadbasedgal I was in Kilgoris at the time living around Kona ya KCC. The guys went ahead to burn IEBC materials at the IEBC office at night and the gas cylinders exploded and lit the sky of Kilgoris. Several people were short with arrows mainly the Kipsigis and the Kisii community members.

[Chacha Maroa @Chamaroa]

@HillaryGondi I have a question

[Chacha Maroa @Chamaroa]

@JaredoumaA Sahau kuugua Malaria for at least three years...

[Chacha Maroa @Chamaroa]

You'd internalised hate towards Iranians so much so that you fell for the trap. You actually thought the war had some altruism in it. It's Hegel who said we learn from history that we learn nothing from history. I guess to you, Iraq, Afghanistan, Vietnam, North Korea were misadventures but Iran was an outlier. You were wrong welcome to reality.

[Chacha Maroa @Chamaroa]

@Osama_otero George Orwell had a word for this phenomenon; Double Think.

[Chacha Maroa @Chamaroa]

@jimNjue_ You are literally dancing on the former MP's grave before he's even in comatose.