Charlotte Forrest

[Charlotte Forrest @CharlSurvation]

New article - Budget day in people’s own words

[Survation. @Survation]

Help is welcome, but is it enough? Budget day in people’s own words

On Budget day, Survation asked 706 people for 38 Degrees for their reactions to John Healey’s Budget, in their own words.

Energy dominated: 555 of 706 raised energy bills, the £100 payment or the standing charge, and the £100 payment was the measure most named as helping (272 of 706). 418 of 706 backed the tax on bank profits to fund it.

But for many it wasn’t enough to change things: 483 of 706 said the Government isn’t moving fast enough on prices, and 129 of 706 said nothing announced would help them.

Read the full story by @CharlSurvation here:
https://t.co/Zdcs6mawKT

Qualitative panel, not nationally representative

[Survation. @Survation]

Help is welcome, but is it enough? Budget day in people’s own words

On Budget day, Survation asked 706 people for 38 Degrees for their reactions to John Healey’s Budget, in their own words.

Energy dominated: 555 of 706 raised energy bills, the £100 payment or the standing charge, and the £100 payment was the measure most named as helping (272 of 706). 418 of 706 backed the tax on bank profits to fund it.

But for many it wasn’t enough to change things: 483 of 706 said the Government isn’t moving fast enough on prices, and 129 of 706 said nothing announced would help them.

Read the full story by @CharlSurvation here:
https://t.co/Zdcs6mawKT

Qualitative panel, not nationally representative

[Survation. @Survation]

Today, the UK government has approved extraction from the Jackdaw gas field in the North Sea.

Previous polling on behalf of the Forum for Research on Energy showed that 6 in 10 Scots supported the approval prior to its happening:

https://t.co/ZcAGx6c2Dm

[Survation. @Survation]

NEW: Scottish Westminster Voting Intention on behalf of @theSNP

SNP: 34% (+4)
Labour: 20% (-15)
Reform UK: 18% (+11)
Conservative: 12% (-1)
Lib Dem: 8% (-2)
Green: 6% (+2)
Others: 3% (+2)

Changes since the 2024 General Election

F/w 18th September - 12th October 2026

[Survation. @Survation]

What happened in Holborn and St Pancras?

Our constituency polling, carried out the week before the election, reveals voters motives and the reasons behind each parties' performance

🧵 1/6

https://t.co/eOEdm0924g

[Damian Lyons Lowe @DamianSurvation]

Good to be with @AndrewMarr9 to round off a busy week, talking triple lock, speeches and the EU*.
"Tories for Burnham" is something worth keeping an eye on. I'm keen to repeat the exercise for Kemi Badenoch's speech this week 📱

*On the EU question I meant "rejoin" not "remain"

[Survation. @Survation]

How did Andy Burnham's conference speech land with the public, and what did they make of the triple lock announcement?
Last week @damiansurvation took @AndrewMarr9 through our snap poll on @LBC.

[Survation. @Survation]

GET THE DATA

Read the full analysis: https://t.co/VnXuqoCG7q

Survation interviewed 1,548 UK adults aged 18+ on behalf of Mandate Research. Fieldwork: evening of 29 September 2026. Data tables can be downloaded here: https://t.co/iLzbKzzNtA

6/6

[LabourList @LabourList]

⏰️ Starting now at Revolution on the Docks!

🌹 What can Labour learn from its members?

LabourList, @Survation and Babelfish Media are launching their latest polling of Labour Party members, exploring how members view the party’s time in government, and how that can inform future government behaviour.

Join our expert panel for a fascinating discussion about the Labour membership, polling and policymaking, including @LucyMPowell, @DamianSurvation, @EmmaBurnell_ and @DaleVince.

Come down now and hear the findings first-hand!

[Survation. @Survation]

NEW: Survation MRP for @38degrees as seen in the @guardian today

Labour: 272
Reform: 153
Conservative: 85
Lib Dem: 69
SNP: 40
Plaid Cymru: 8
Green: 3
Other: 1

Read more: https://t.co/haZG20bs8E

1/6

[Survation. @Survation]

NEW: Britain voted for change. Two years on, Labour is being judged on it.

Our poll and MRP for @38degrees finds a country that has stopped feeling better off:

Better off than a year ago: 24% → 12%
About the same: 29% → 43%
Worse off: 43% → 40%

Read more: https://t.co/bLsiaoAGSl

1/6

[Survation. @Survation]

NEW:

Clacton Called: Anti-Farage vote consolidates around Count Binface

How our July polling picked up the undecideds movement towards Count Binface

In July, Clacton voters that told us that in a head to head competition, they would back Nigel Farage over Count Binface 69% to 31%

Farage has held his base, but is there a anti-Farage bloc now in place?

Read the full analysis: https://t.co/CTU8QO2xHY

[Survation. @Survation]

NEW: Scottish Westminster Voting Intention on behalf of Diffley Partnerships

SNP 34%
LAB 19%
RFM 18%
CON 11%
LD 8%
GRN 5%
RB 4%

F/w 13th-24th August 2026

[Survation. @Survation]

NEW: Westminster Voting Intention

RFM 26% (=)
LAB 26% (+1)
CON 18% (-1)
LD 10% (-1)
GRN 10% (+1)
SNP 3% (=)
RB 2% (=)
PC 1% (-1)
OTH 4% (=)

F/w 18 August 2026. Changes vs 13/08/2026

[Survation. @Survation]

Makerfield By-Election Update:
https://t.co/1qzdOOW1SO

Survation conducted a new poll of the Makerfield constituency. Fieldwork was conducted by telephone among 518 adults in the constituency between 26th May and 1st June 2026. A combination of landline and mobile data were used.

Methodology Statement
Population Sampled: All residents aged 18+ living in the Makerfield parliamentary constituency.

Total Sample Size: 518

Data Collection Method: Telephone interview. A combination of landline and mobile data were used.

Fieldwork Dates: 26th May – 1st June 2026

Data Weighting: Data were weighted to the profile of all adults in Makerfield constituency aged 18+. Data were weighted by age, sex, ward and 2024 General Election vote.

Targets for the weighted data were derived from Office for National Statistics data and the results of the 2024 UK General Election.

Margin of Error: Because only a sample of the full population was interviewed, all results are subject to a margin of error. For example, in a question where 50% gave a particular answer, with a sample of 518 it is 95% certain that the “true” value would fall within 4.8 percentage points of the sample result.

Headline by-election voting intention - Table V2 (likelihood-weighted, undecided/refused removed, no squeeze):

Candidate / Party / Vote share

Andy Burnham - Labour 49%
Robert Kenyon - Reform UK 39%
Rebecca Shepherd - Restore Britain 8%
Sarah Wakefield - Green Party 2%
Jake Austin - Liberal Democrat 1%
Michael Winstanley - Conservative 1%
Another party <1%

Base: likely voters, factored by likelihood to vote, with undecided and refused voters removed

Data tables are available here: https://t.co/mAcxDeCGIQ