Charles W Fortes

[Andrew Ng @AndrewYNg]

Over the last two weeks, both the U.S. Government and Anthropic took significant actions that demonstrated their power to control access to AI by restricting what others can do with frontier models. This has been one of those moments that, once seen, will be hard to unsee, and it is significantly accelerating many businesses’ and nation states’ efforts to ensure reliable access to AI that no one else can terminate.

Anthropic first released Claude Fable 5, a version of its Mythos model with additional guardrails, including some restrictions that seem well justified on safety grounds (such as limitations on applying it to hacking, bioweapons, and so forth). However, it also restricted developers’ ability to use it to build competing LLM technology. This move was concerning, given that the whole AI community, including Anthropic, has benefitted tremendously from open research — indeed, the AI revolution was kicked off by my former team (Google Brain) freely publishing the Transformers paper!

Imagine if Microsoft’s terms of use barred anyone from using their tools to build competitive software, or if Google barred using it to search for information to work on competing search engines. Anthropic’s argument that it was unsafe for others to be able to make advances in AI also rang hollow. Initially, Anthropic silently degraded Fable 5’s performance for users detected to be working on LLM research through invisible interventions that weakened the model’s outputs without notifying the user. After significant backlash, it walked back this decision and decided to be transparent when it did this, but it still refuses to use its latest capabilities to help AI researchers.

This move represents a raw demonstration of power by Anthropic. It has used “safety” arguments to hinder potential competitors. Platforms succeed when they are viewed as stable, reliable partners that one can build on. The sudden rule changes by Anthropic (including a mandatory 30 day data retention policy for Fable usage) have made developers wonder about the stability of building on any one proprietary LLM provider, not just Anthropic.

The U.S. Government then shortly followed with an even greater demonstration of power. It used the Commerce Department’s authority to regulate technologies that may be national security threats to restrict exports of Mythos and Fable, requiring a license for use by any foreign national, whether inside or outside of the U.S., including employees of Anthropic. This led Anthropic to disable access to Fable to all users worldwide.

Sam Altman pointed out, referring to Anthropic, “It is clearly incredible marketing to say, ‘We have built a bomb, we are about to drop it on your head. We will sell you a bomb shelter for $100 million.’” But when one engages in this type of fear-based marketing, it increases the odds that the U.S. Government will agree with you and slap export controls on the bomb you say you have built.

To be clear, I don't think Anthropic has built anything like a bomb, and I don't think export controls on Fable are appropriate.

However, following the U.S. Government making this move, many nations, including U.S. allies, saw how the U.S. can suddenly yank their access to AI models. In many capitals around the world, this has spurred discussions on AI sovereignty and how others can ensure uninterrupted access to this critical technology.

For decades, many nations were comfortable having many parts of their supply chain rely on the U.S., China, and other major producers. Once a nation issues a threat, or takes action, to limit other nations’ access, other nations will rationally try to secure alternatives. For decades, semiconductor manufacturing in China made slow progress; once the U.S. moved to limit China’s access, China’s efforts kicked into high gear. Similarly, once China threatened U.S. access to rare earth minerals, U.S. efforts to secure alternatives accelerated. Now that it has become crystal clear that private U.S. companies and the U.S. government can limit, in short order, other nations’ access to frontier AI models, the incentive of others to invest more in alternatives like open source grows significantly. Of course, training frontier models is not easy, so it remains to be seen how successful they are, but we have crossed the rubicon.

Satya Nadella wrote an essay about the importance of building a healthy ecosystem on top of frontier AI technology. I heartily agree with him, and hope this week’s events will ultimately prove to be constructive steps toward this.

I hope we can build a more free, more open world, where research is freely shared, and laws and societal norms shape a level playing field that allows everyone to make progress. A silver lining of the events of these past two weeks is now that everyone better realizes key points of instability of the current system, we can all work to create a more stable foundation.

[Original text: The Batch newsletter]

[Charles W Fortes @CharlesFortes]

Ok, pelo visto precisamos definir melhor o conceito de pão com linguiça também.

😢

[Charles W Fortes @CharlesFortes]

Deveria haver um lugar para denunciar "pão de queijo" pirata.
Tipo uma polícia do pão de queijo, você vai, faz a denúncia e eles apreendem o lote e trazem um pacote de pão de queijo @fornodeminas como contingência, e trazem uma vó para ensinar como se faz o de verdade.

[Charles W Fortes @CharlesFortes]

Contra o Desmonte da Filarmônica de Minas Gerais - Assine a petição! https://t.co/KvL7NpUMbg via @change_br

[Charles W Fortes @CharlesFortes]

Comprei um s24+ da @SamsungBrasil mas o único lugar que tem capa para ele, a loja física da Samsung, não pode me vender a capa mesmo tendo ela, a venda é exclusiva para clientes que compraram o aparelho em pré venda lá. Parabéns @SamsungMobile #SamsungBlouvebardShoppingBH

[Zartis @Zartis_official]

Curious about #Zartis? Discover our #values!
#teamzartis

[Zartis @Zartis_official]

Curious about Zartis? Get to know our Zartisians: Philip Thomas,  Raquel García Salvador, and Jose Valcárcel. Listen in to discover what they enjoy most about working at #Zartis! #teamzartis

[Zartis @Zartis_official]

Curious about working at #Zartis? Discover the #benefits of working with us in this video!
#teamzartis

[Charles W Fortes @CharlesFortes]

https://t.co/EWzlwArBT9

[Charles W Fortes @CharlesFortes]

@cinemas_cineart Preciso comprar um voucher empresa (Ingresso) para dar de presente a um funcionário. Como faço isso? Na entrada do cinema o funcionário diz que isto não existe, no site de vocês não tem informação sobre o que fazer.

[Charles W Fortes @CharlesFortes]

No final de GOT, foi uma cena pós crédito ou só uma chamada mesmo que emendou e pareceu isso?

[padrefabiodemelo @pefabiodemelo]

Quando a sinceridade da médica machuca mais do que a enfermidade.

[Mateus Simões @mateus_simoesmg]

É muito importante que se conheça a real situação de Minas Gerais. Vamos enfrentá-la com muito trabalho, coragem e transparência.

#TransparênciaMineira #OsInconfidentesVoltaram

[Barack Obama @BarackObama]

As the year winds down and we look toward 2019, I’m asking you to make a commitment: find something you want to change in your community and take the first step toward changing it. If you need some inspiration, take a look at some of the young leaders who inspired me this year.

[Charles W Fortes @CharlesFortes]

I liked a @YouTube video https://t.co/TxAhUHSLfC USENIX Security '18-Q: Why Do Keynote Speakers Keep Suggesting That Improving

[Charles W Fortes @CharlesFortes]

A Brinkel na rua Padre Eustáquio está vazia e os brinquedos estão MUITO mais barato que todos os outros lugares que vi.

[Charles W Fortes @CharlesFortes]

@gregoriock Wtf 🤣

[Charles W Fortes @CharlesFortes]

@marcusbetim @alexandrekalil @MateusSimoesBH é fake news?

[Charles W Fortes @CharlesFortes]

Obrigado @patofu, você embalou meu ano por 44 horas no Spotify. Você é meu top 1. #MeuSpotify2018 @Spotify https://t.co/BowaBYAEZP

[Charles W Fortes @CharlesFortes]

I liked a @YouTube video https://t.co/hdCG5khCvJ Inglês Conversação - The Lazy Soldier - Inglês Intermediário