Chartmaestro

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[Chartmaestro @Chartmaestro0]

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[Chartmaestro @Chartmaestro0]

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[Capital Hungry @Capital_Hungry]

Mans can hate all they want.

Prime Ronaldo is my favorite athlete since I was a child.

[Chartmaestro @Chartmaestro0]

@speedouFx I don't know what happened to people's brain walhi, there was a guy wae akwae 300k a wajen Mamansu bata komea dashi desaka a broker 😐
I was like forex din da nasani karka para you'll regret it

[Capital Hungry @Capital_Hungry]

FULL MARKET RECAP/ REVIEW OF FUNDAMENTALS, MACRO PLAYBOOK, WHAT CHANGED? MISTAKES MADE AND FUTURE ATTACK PLAN

Capital Hungry had it first

[Chartmaestro @Chartmaestro0]

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[RajaBanks @RajaBanks]

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[Capital Hungry @Capital_Hungry]

XAUUSD Analysis and breakdown- (Capital Hungry had it first)

Overall for consecutive months we have been playing Gold bears and USD bulls, Gold from 5k down and DXY from 99 up.

Why?

Iran war sparking an energy crisis with elevated prices on commodities that lead to rate cut bets being pushed back, rising yields and more support for USD.

BUT Markets move in waves and 80% of the time I ride the fundamental and technical trend and 20% of the time skeptical of flush outs and retracements especially on USD understanding its negative impact on global economies outside of USA.

DXY had critical resistance levels on HTF For me at 101.350 and 101.8s. We predicted the hawkish FOMC and played that picture perfect last week but this week I short term shifted into a corrective bias of anticipating that we could see a pullback on DXY and bounce on Gold.

Why?

Iran war went into a phase of diplomacy and optimism, aggressive upside USD volatility signals potential currency interventions from China or India or Japan. Crude oil continues to bleed out alleviating energy inflation concerns short term and USD upside is always controlled/ suppressed to a degree to maintain global currency integrity with its role of being the world reserve currency. The same time Gold was approaching HTF demand zones.

The mistake? Premature emotional entries and not letting the hawkish toned FOMC have its continuation this week until the most ideal prices were hit aka DXY 101.8s and Gold into 4000s-4050s etc.

This lead to poor positioning and having 2 losses early in the week and playing risk control which can ruin morale.

Now the recent 4050s call on Gold ran 500 pips but that is nothing and no major shift of buyers in control yet but IMO it is still bubbling up.

IF PCE inflation is controlled/ neutral coupled with current lower energy prices and no fresh war escalations then we can see rate cut bets get a short term support/ bounce of expectations which can lead to controlled profit taking on USD and a bullish move on Gold and risky assets.

What supports bias:
- SPX and US30 maintaining bullish structure with yields dropping
- VIX flat with Oil continuing to bleed out alleviating inflation concerns
- JPN or other country currency interventions
- More optimistic news of Hormuz flows
- Lack luster or controlled PCE inflation outcome
- DXY rejecting 101.8s or snapback 101.35s
- Gold respecting HTF demand zone and near HTF bullish structure
- Shift of the Gold intraday bearish structure post liq grabs.

What counters the bias:
- Aggressive sour sentiment and bears on risky assets
- Surging Oil and higher PCE outcome
- DXY breaking key resistance
- Fresh escalations of Iran ware and Hormuz fully closed again
- More hawkish Fed remarks

Attack plan:
- Recover Gold Ls with more patient entries at optimal zones or continuation points and past that also profit with the large ranges available if market allows
- If I take another L personally I walk away from at least 24 hours with my rules
- Gold buys 4040-4050 liq grab range
- Gold buys back above 4075-4080
- Cont. confirms breaks above 4100s

[Capital Hungry @Capital_Hungry]

Wow mans really hating cause for 1 week out of the last 3 months I switched to a Gold day trader buy bias and short term DXY bears.

When I was the loudest screaming to sell Gold from 5k down and keep buying USD no one said a word except doubt and critique but now the same for this.

Smh I may have been a day 1-2 trading day early but the set up aint invalidated yet and even if I am wrong being you are acting like it is the end of the world my bros? 😂😂

I am not perfect 😂😂

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[Capital Hungry @Capital_Hungry]

I kept you bearish on Gold and Bullish on USD for 2 months.

Gold from 5k down
DXY all the way into 101s+

This is the first week where I shared ahead of time of shifting into short term day trading buy bias on Gold and expecting bearish retracement on USD with full reasoning.

Could be wrong but so far early week we can see price set ups into optimal pricing.

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[Capital Hungry @Capital_Hungry]

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[Capital Hungry @Capital_Hungry]

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[Capital Hungry @Capital_Hungry]

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[Capital Hungry @Capital_Hungry]

Holy war is not over yet.

[Chartmaestro @Chartmaestro0]

@elkhaleepha15 @africablockfest Good effort 👌 💪 🙂

[Chartmaestro @Chartmaestro0]

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