Cheese & Numbers 🧀📊

Packers analytics & data viz. EPA · PFF · FTN. The numbers behind Green Bay. | Fun Project |

[Adam Schefter @AdamSchefter]

ESPN sources: Green Bay WR Christian Watson and the Packers reached agreement today on a four-year, $110.5 million contract extension that includes a $31 million signing bonus.

[Cheese & Numbers 🧀📊 @CheeseNNumbers]

Using play action a lot doesn't mean it's working.

The Rams and Bears run it the most in the NFL (34.6% and 31.5% of dropbacks). The actual EPA payoff? Middle of the pack.

Green Bay hits the sweet spot: above-average usage at 25.5% AND a top-7 EPA boost (+0.20 per dropback).

Who's getting the most out of play action in your eyes?

[Cheese & Numbers 🧀📊 @CheeseNNumbers]

😱

[Adam Schefter @AdamSchefter]

🚨🚨🚨

Bombshell: The Browns are finalizing a trade that will send two-time Defensive Player of the Year Myles Garrett to the Los Angeles Rams, per @rapsheet, @TomPelissero and me.

In exchange for Garrett, the Rams are expected to send Pro-Bowl edge Jared Verse, a 2027 first-round pick and other draft-pick compensation still being negotiated to the Browns.

[Cheese & Numbers 🧀📊 @CheeseNNumbers]

People don't think of Jordan Love as a dual-threat QB. The data disagrees.
2025: Highest passing EPA per dropback AND top-5 rushing EPA per carry among all qualifying QBs.
He's not just a pocket passer who can run. He was the most efficient dual-threat in the NFL last season.

[Cheese & Numbers 🧀📊 @CheeseNNumbers]

Follow-up from my earlier post:

Jordan Love's sack rate under blitz: 4.0%. 4th lowest in the NFL.
His time to throw? Average. He's not just dumping it off to survive.

That's pocket awareness. Reading the blitz pre-snap, finding the hot read, staying calm.

[Cheese & Numbers 🧀📊 @CheeseNNumbers]

Defenses blitzed Jordan Love on 31.8% of dropbacks last season. That's the 9th-highest rate in the NFL.
The result?

Love posted a +0.27 EPA/play against the blitz. Top 5 in the league.
They keep sending extra rushers. It keeps not working.

For context: Love's EPA against the blitz (+0.27) was nearly identical to his EPA without it (+0.25).

Most QBs see a significant drop when blitzed. Love doesn't.

[Cheese & Numbers 🧀📊 @CheeseNNumbers]

Jordan Love in a clean pocket: +0.560 EPA/dropback.
#1 in the NFL. Nobody else is close.

Jordan Love under pressure: -0.370. 18th.

The gap is massive. Give this man time to throw and he's the best passer in football. Pressure him and he's average.

They need to fix the O-Line.

[Cheese & Numbers 🧀📊 @CheeseNNumbers]

@wendellfp I made a chart on that earlier today for the secondary units. Here are the safeties:

Safeties were solid:
- McKinney: 77.4 Coverage Grade, 63.9 QB Rating Allowed
- Bullard: 66.9 / 89.2
- Williams: 62.4 / 78.9

You should check the CBs...

[Cheese & Numbers 🧀📊 @CheeseNNumbers]

@Mellowmikenfl Let Love cook!

[Cheese & Numbers 🧀📊 @CheeseNNumbers]

@Ihartitz He had an insane stretch over the first 4-6 games and then the injuries hit the Buccs...

[Cheese & Numbers 🧀📊 @CheeseNNumbers]

The Packers secondary in 2025: a tale of two position groups and why we need better CBs:

Safeties were solid:
- McKinney: 77.4 Coverage Grade, 63.9 QB Rating Allowed
- Bullard: 66.9 / 89.2
- Williams: 62.4 / 78.9

Cornerbacks were the problem:
- Diggs: 157.2 QB Rating Allowed. Near-perfect passer rating against him.
- Hobbs: 125.3
- Nixon: 105.4
- Valentine: 103.9

Not a single CB below 100 QB Rating Allowed.

This is why Cisse was pick #52.

[Cheese & Numbers 🧀📊 @CheeseNNumbers]

@RNBWCV Naja, ich war ich Anfang 2022 beim Playoff-Spiel gegen die 49ers in Green Bay und selbst da habe ich weniger gesagt.
Klar, ist ein paar Jahre her, aber trotzdem...
Und es war kalt und ein scheiß Spiel. haha

[Cheese & Numbers 🧀📊 @CheeseNNumbers]

@Barkley_Tap Micah Parsons?

[Cheese & Numbers 🧀📊 @CheeseNNumbers]

Packers OTA #2 takeaways:

Edge rotation without Parsons: Van Ness + Sorrell with the 1s, Cox Jr. rotating in. That trio combined for 17.0 career sacks (nflfastR). Parsons alone has 66.0.

LaFleur says Parsons, Kraft and Tom are all trending toward training camp. Parsons starts on PUP.

Evan Williams with a nice deep ball INT on Love. Nixon broke up a pass on Musgrave. The secondary is competing.

Smack went 7/8 on FGs (25-35 yards). One miss wide right.

16 players out, including Jacobs (legal matter - LaFleur: "let the process play out").

[Cheese & Numbers 🧀📊 @CheeseNNumbers]

@theblockspot How is Bernhard Raimann underrated?
He got 4 years / 100 mil.
He is one of the best LT in the league.

[Cheese & Numbers 🧀📊 @CheeseNNumbers]

@rotoworld_fb Not yet…click bait.

[Cheese & Numbers 🧀📊 @CheeseNNumbers]

Let’s hope for the best. If not f him…

[Matt Schneidman @mattschneidman]

Josh Jacobs is being released from jail. The Brown County DA’s office isn’t ready to make a formal charging decision after reviewing available evidence.

They have reason to believe additional evidence may exist that would impact whether/what criminal charges are appropriate.

[Cheese & Numbers 🧀📊 @CheeseNNumbers]

Total career sacks of the Green Bay Packers roster
2025:

Micah Parsons - 66.0
Rashan Gary - 51.0
Devonte Wyatt - 16.0
Kingsley Enagbare - 11.5
Lukas Van Ness - 10.5
Quay Walker - 9.0
Karl Brooks - 8.0
Brenton Cox Jr. - 5.0
Keisean Nixon - 4.5
Xavier McKinney - 4.5
Edgerrin Cooper - 4.0
Nate Hobbs - 3.0
Isaiah McDuffie - 2.5
Barryn Sorrell - 1.5
Trevon Diggs - 1.0
Colby Wooden - 1.0
Arron Mosby - 0.5
Warren Brinson - 0.5

[Cheese & Numbers 🧀📊 @CheeseNNumbers]

@Wisconsin_fam Trading for Conner from the Cardinals

[Cheese & Numbers 🧀📊 @CheeseNNumbers]

@RNBWCV Firma dankt. ❤️

Uff, wenn ich die Kategorien dann so sehe, 150€ für fast ganz oben. Puh.