CheetahTrader

Tweets on Trading, Investing, Mindset and Financial markets | 7+ years as a momentum, growth trader | Longterm Investor

[Suresh K @SureshKBN]

No one knows beyond a point.

Today, everyone is digging up 6-year-old posts to prove they were right about Rajesh Exports. That’s hindsight, not investing.

I never met the management below. In fact, I haven’t met any leadership for secondary market investment either.

What matters to me is simple:

Is the order book real?
Is the TAM real and expanding?
Is the company executing?

Everything else is noise.

Most narratives are written after the outcome is known. Capital is made by assessing probabilities before the outcome is visible.

The future doesn’t care about old tweets, interviews, or victory laps. It only cares about business performance.

[. @JoyStationNG]

@RoseOnX9 Link to all the videos
1. Do it Anyway;
https://t.co/NNBc8ysN5G

2. How to organise my Entire life using just one Notebook:
https://t.co/5lemz8UUW0

3. How to fix your Attention Span:
https://t.co/BqPs7d9YXT

4. How to Document your journey Authentically:
https://t.co/yMZlgjc1Hm

[stockbee @PradeepBonde]

Market momentum, themes, and lower capitalization

[Prabhakar Kudva @prabhakarkudva]

For a long time I thought macro was useless. Mostly because it can’t be predicted.

But as I spent more time with the markets I figured , it’s the macro that drives a big part of portfolio return. Stock picking is just the details.

Predicting is not necessary and often futile. But just understanding the macro environment and importantly anticipating the change in variables (is a trend likely or mean reversal) probably helps a lot.

The most important variables both India and globally to track are:

Interest rates/yields
Inflation or deflation regime
Credit and liquidity conditions
Currency
Crude/Energy
Precious metals
Industrial commodities
Fed and central bank actions
Global capital flows - risk on/off

Adding this to our toolkit will make us all better investors (and traders).

[stockbee @PradeepBonde]

Every day, try to develop greater clarity about setups. process, entries, exits, stops, sizing, timeframes, and catalysts.

The more you reorganize the knowledge and spend time understanding the setup, the easier it will be to implement.

This requires real dedication to repeatedly revisit a setup, reclarify, and reset your mind.

When you immerse yourself in this, one day it clicks, and then suddenly everything starts working.

Through more reflection and revisiting the same idea, the idea becomes part of you.

And whenever we engage in such purposeful mind-clarity efforts in any field, it always results in significant money.

Depth creates wealth.

[Suresh K @SureshKBN]

Don’t ignore any good result just because you are already holding something else.

process is simple:

Listen to the concall properly.
Make notes on what changed, what improved, and what management is indicating.
Compare it with ur existing holdings.
Wait for a relatively better time or better risk-reward before acting.

Good results deserve attention.
But every good result does not deserve immediate action.
Capital should move only when the new opportunity is clearly better than what u already own.

[Suresh K @SureshKBN]

Mental models

Where is the maximum capex happening globally, sector-wise and country-wise?

Which sectors are seeing the strongest appreciation across global capital markets?

Why are FIIs selling Indian equities continuously?

Why is the INR depreciating?

What are the ripple effects of rising crude oil prices on India, markets, sectors, inflation, currency and corporate earnings?

[CheetahTrader @CheetahTrading]

@VVVStockAnalyst 💯 Sideways market.

Tyres which showed momentum for the last few days CEATLTD, JKTYRE - now pulling back hard.

Metals showing some strength today.
JAYNECOIND, JAINREC, NATIONAL ALUM, HINDALCO, HINDCOPPER, GRAVITA

Others:
SCI, CANHLIFE (IPO), EPACKPEB ( PEB theme - PEAD )

[CheetahTrader @CheetahTrading]

@VVVStockAnalyst Tariff will be 15%. GIFT NIFTY up 1.5%. NIFTY Gap up.

All the positive sentiments vanished at 9:15 today. As most of the watchlist stocks were in Red at open.

Tough time for breakout traders.

Few PEAD ( GMBREW ) stocks and banks ( SOUTH INDIAN, DCB) are holding up. Will see.

[CheetahTrader @CheetahTrading]

@VVVStockAnalyst Tariff will be 15%. GIFT NIFTY up 1.5%. NIFTY Gap up.

All the positive sentiments vanished at 9:15 today. As most of the watchlist stocks were in Red at open.

Tough time for breakout traders.

Few PEAD ( GMBREW ) stocks and banks ( SOUTH INDIAN, DCB) are holding up. Will see.

[CheetahTrader @CheetahTrading]

@rpmrpm4 Exactly.😂

[CheetahTrader @CheetahTrading]

Suddenly, everyone in fintwit is 100% invested today.

Me: Took multiple SLs in the past few days. AnantRaj, Ashapurmin, Moschip, Pocl, IMFA, Jaynecoind, GMDC (twice)

Curious case of #GMDC:
Took SL - day before yesterday.
Took SL - yesterday too.
Didn't try today.

Today, it did clear 7% breakout along with IMFA which did 6%.

[CheetahTrader @CheetahTrading]

#MOSCHIP dropped 8.5% in just 3 minutes & hit my SL on the way down. It was a huge shock.

When #JAYNECOIND hit my SL yesterday, it wasn’t a shock. It had been trending down all day, and the weakness was clearly visible.

When a stock (more like #KIOCL) hits the upper circuit within minutes due to low float, we celebrate, forgetting that it can easily go the other way.

Happens all the time.

[CheetahTrader @CheetahTrading]

@Stockeens QIP news killed the momentum. Waiting for close.

Expecting the same - sideways or pullback to KMA.

[CheetahTrader @CheetahTrading]

Nothing can stop the momentum of a super stock. Even wedging up pattern.

2.5M volume in 15 minutes, which was half of yesterday's volume.

Was expecting #ANANTRAJ to do a BANCO or ASHAPURMINECHEM.

But it did #NETWEB.

[CheetahTrader @CheetahTrading]

@prady_33 QIP news killed the momentum. Waiting for close.

[CheetahTrader @CheetahTrading]

@enfer8 No one knows what is going to happen next. Simply follow your SL or trade plan.

[CheetahTrader @CheetahTrading]

Excellent sectoral strength (Auto) combined with improving market breadth paved way for these two breakouts.

#SUBROS - up by 5.6% on good volume
#NDRAUTO - up by 4% on good volume
#LUMAXTECH - breakout failed. May consolidate for some more days.

[CheetahTrader @CheetahTrading]

Picture perfect setups from Super Strong AUTO sector

Waiting for Breakout
#SUBROS - 50EMA base
#NDRAUTO - 50EMA base
#LUMAXTECH - 50EMA base

Already Broke Out
#BELRISE - 20EMA base

#GABRIEL - 20EMA base

#BANCOINDIA - 50EMA base

#LUMAXIND - 10EMA flag

[CheetahTrader @CheetahTrading]

@Stockeens Expecting ANANTRAJ to do the same.

[CheetahTrader @CheetahTrading]

@VVVStockAnalyst STALLION is another example.