Weather Lover

NEM lover

[Weather Lover @ChennaiNEM]

NEM outlook 2025

We are very near to the onset of our beloved NE Monsoon season. This season is expected to give surprises as well as disappointments. NEM for this year is expected to be near normal to normal(-15% to +5%). We can expect good Oct with early onset with MJO support

[Weather Lover @ChennaiNEM]

I still feel it will hit NTN. Let's see. With strong ridge, that northward movement looks confusing.

[Eastcoast Weatherman @eastcoastrains]

Big Breaking : upcoming #CycloneAkvan almost confirmed to hit coastal #Ap (80- 90%) if any magic happens then North TN will have a 10-20 % chance ❗️the coast between Vizag - Nellore should stay Alert for potential impact next week ( 17-19th November )

[Weather Lover @ChennaiNEM]

@chennaiweather Gloomy and orangish skies here

[Weather Lover @ChennaiNEM]

@chennaiweather Sky looks somewhat different today. Is it some indication sir?

[Weather Lover @ChennaiNEM]

@DFire68750 AI will win I feel. Even for Murasu it was alone. ECM was taking it to Machili. Gfs didn't even show any system.

[Weather Lover @ChennaiNEM]

If not for these AI models, most of us would have written this system off eventhough only 5 days remain. All operational models ECM, GFS, CMC hinting at NAP landfall. Let's see who wins the battle. AI vs Ops.

AI clearly won Arnab and Murasu.

[Weather Lover @ChennaiNEM]

@MohammadThaseem Heavy rains likely

[Weather Lover @ChennaiNEM]

@ChariteshS47073 Yeah as of now

[Weather Lover @ChennaiNEM]

@chennaiweather Exciting to track this system. Sleepless nights ahead.

[Weather Lover @ChennaiNEM]

@chennaiweather Hopefully some more south of it🫣

[Weather Lover @ChennaiNEM]

@chennaiweather Super. Nellore lf will give great rains to us as SW quadrant looks massive for this system.

[Weather Lover @ChennaiNEM]

@chennaiweather Sir FNV3 and WNV3 are also as good as AIFS. They have ruled out NAP landfall. All members are clustered around NTN and SAP 🥰

[Weather Lover @ChennaiNEM]

@JosephM53517337 Ridges

[Weather Lover @ChennaiNEM]

Last tweet for the day:

Gut feeling on observing tracks of old trends on systems like Thane, Vardah, Gaja, 1972 cyclone etc, the landfall location possibility as of now

Pondy-Nagai = 65%
Pulicat-Pondy = 34%
Above Pulicat = 1 %

[Weather Lover @ChennaiNEM]

@DFire68750 Let's see. West movement is fine. SW dip shouldn't happen.

[Weather Lover @ChennaiNEM]

@suriya_r89874 Andhra no chance

[Weather Lover @ChennaiNEM]

@jyothirdt6 It will just help it consolidate and come above SL lat. Nothing else.

[Weather Lover @ChennaiNEM]

@Sathyargb Both will favour.

First one moderate rains. Second one heavy to very heavy rains

[Weather Lover @ChennaiNEM]

@jyothirdt6 No WD from 17th

[Weather Lover @ChennaiNEM]

@ChariteshS47073 @SSanjayuu Moderate

[Weather Lover @ChennaiNEM]

@SSanjayuu They will change

[Weather Lover @ChennaiNEM]

@SSanjayuu Ridge is there like a wall