Systematic/Intra-day trader, crypto + equities. I build the trading models & share them in my group. All links below ๐
occasionally talk about other things๐
I don't really like promoting myself. But I'd rather show you proof than watch you trade this market alone.
Big upgrades inside my private group:
โ New automated trading system โ [+6.37% ROI last week, with 0.5% risk per trade]
โ Custom indicators I actually use myself
โ Weekly intraday $BTC setups
Not every trade wins I take losses too, but I don't know a better place to still pull profits in these market conditions.
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Not financial advice. Trading carries risk.
Pretty decent LTF bottom actually on $BTC here
> Bullish divergence
> Mean reversion with gaps below (strength)
> LTF reclaim of pqVAL
> OB bid-side skew
I still expect the bottom to be tested, and I am not longing this PA but this is confirmation for me believing that at least the range lows (low 61's, 62) will hold
I just covered everything you need to know for next week, including ๐
> CLARITY ACT Status
> Geo-political expecations
> Orderflow bullish or bearish?
> CB BTC Discount potential
> $BTC + Altcoins moves prediction
Check it out now!
https://t.co/TBlaUdixYj
I am bearish on $XRP until further notice
Technically we have failed to reclaim the range lows last week and broke below them yesterday evening again
Fundamentally I can't find any catalyst to be bullish on $XRP (yet)
Key level to reclaim for me to potentially get bullish again is clear = 1.075
GM!โ๏ธ
$BTC still trading at a breakdown, I am looking for 62,000 for potential longs again. In any way I'd like to see LTF confirmation first.
Equities closed well, VIX closed low; fundamentally the fin markets are actually not bad
Summer markets, enjoy the weekend and some time off friends!๐ค
Pretty major breakdown on $BTC, what do you think? Real breakdown or bear trap?
Some facts to help you clear your mind๐
> Highest volume move in July
> Bond yields + VIX rising
> Funding still positive
> CB BTC Discount increasing
> Equities stable
So what do you think?
There could be a new narrative starting in the market..
$BNB has broken above the pqVAL + range while my pump alerting tool is giving BNB-eco signals (also on $ASTER, $TWT)
It's too early to call it 100%, but there is momentum and historically BNB-eco rally's are some of the biggest ๐
GM!โ๏ธ
BoJ decision was fine, Equities recovering nicely.. the problem is is that $BTC (+ Crypto generally) is now relatively weak
I think there is a good chance $BTC & $ETH + some other Altcoins have found a bottom HTF, but it seems like a boring ranging period is coming in. Typical for a bearmarket, but you must be aware of it.
In terms of Altcoins, the one sector I am interested in is $BNB + eco. $BNB has broken the pqVAL and we're seeing SOME strength in ecosystem coins
Have a great Friday all!
Post-FOMC situation for $BTC
Unfortunately, but suprisingly, we're still range-bound. Key levels we have to look at are 65,200 and 63,000 for a breakout
Most of the data points towards a break below 63,000 to be most likely, personally I am open to both.
General rule of thumb is that the first breakout is likely the fakeout which reverses into the opposite direction for the real breakout
Decent earnings by $MSFT finally
Pre-market up a lot, market conditions are not ideal and structurally it will be hard to turn this into sustained bullish momentum
but at least this likely means the bottom short-term is in
$MSFT CRUSHED THEIR Q4 EARNINGS
โข Revenue $90.0B vs Est. $87.6B
โข EPS $4.74 vs Est. $4.22
โข Azure Revenue 43% vs. Est. 40%
โข Operating Income $40.6B vs Est. $39.1B
โข Commercial RPO: $678B (+84% YoY)
Azure revenue surpassed $100B for the first time.
@Flip_Research I would agree, but I don't think the AI stocks they're buying are small enough + I don't think they have gobbled up enough supply for it to be a problem
Good morning friendsโ๏ธ
FOMC has passed; generally I think the outcome was more bullish than bearish because 1) no rate hike and 2) 1 rate hike instead of 2 expected in 2026
HOWEVER, if I look at the markets I get sobered up..
> High funding + passive selling
> Major CB BTC Discount
> VIX spiking up + Equities selling off
I know that sometimes when it seems worst.. that's actually the bottom and $BTC is holding relatively well.. but for now going into Inflation data today & the BoJ decision tomorrow I think it's perhaps better to be cautious for a move down ๐
End of my rant, have a good day
๐จFOMC LIVE!
I will be covering the FOMC decision + press conf live again tonight, make sure to tune in 10 minutes before the press conf begins!
See you there!๐
https://t.co/97fqLRDZrl
Auction Market Theory (AMT) Dynamics Cheat Sheet
> bookmark.
> observe behavior & flow when trading into, breaking away or retesting extremes of value or points of control.