🔥 Đấu trường Tài sản mã hóa - Tuần 1 chính thức mở cửa!
Mỗi giao dịch mô phỏng trên SCEX Trading Simulator trong Tuần 1 là cơ hội để rèn luyện kỹ năng, bứt phá trên BXH và tiến gần hơn tổng giải thưởng hơn 1,6 TỶ VNĐ.
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📢 Toàn bộ Thể lệ chương trình "Đấu trường Tài sản mã hoá"
Học kiến thức về tài sản số, thực hành giao dịch trên SCEX Trading Simulator và cạnh tranh giải thưởng với tổng giá trị hơn 1,6 TỶ VNĐ.
👇 Thread hướng dẫn tham gia:
I found 5 free Polymarket Weather Trading Bots on GitHub (from Beginner Friendly to Advanced Level).
Each of these bots comes with a detailed step by step setup and usage guide in English.
> Beginner level / 5 min setup:
1. GFS based weather trading bot. It uses 31 different forecast scenarios from the Global Forecast System for a specific city and day to estimate the most accurate temperature outcome.
Then it automatically compares this value with current Polymarket prices to find mispriced opportunities and execute trades.
It has a dashboard where you can see and track all signals, trades, forecasts, trading pnl and more.
GitHub: https://t.co/MivMwpDYcF
2. NWS forecast bot with Kelly strategy. This bot scans NWS and gets the freshest temperature value in selected city and then compares it with current price on Polymarket.
It uses Kelly strategy to calculate the best trade size based on how strong this edge is and can also automatically execute trades.
GitHub: https://t.co/OBdsje8MAm
> Advanced bot setup:
1. A weather bot that analyzes different sources in real time, like forecasts, airport data and aviation observations (METAR and SPECI) to get the latest and most accurate temperature data.
Then it generates a detailed weather report for a specific city and day.
GitHub: https://t.co/No3sBcqMg1
2. An autonomous weather trading bot powered by the Hermes Agent.
It gets temperature data from multiple sources and uses a Gaussian Bucket strategy:
For example, if the forecast is 72F, it estimates that the final temperature will be between 71F and 73F.
After that, it compares this range with current prices on Polymarket and sends you a trading signal in Telegram.
The main feature of this bot - it can track its own results, learn and improve its own strategy over time.
GitHub: https://t.co/thJFzc3T3v
> A full ML weather model:
1. This is a full machine learning weather model built by a Boston University computer science student.
It learns from past forecasting errors by comparing weather predictions with the temperature that actually happened.
For example, if NWS often predicted 70F in Chicago, but the actual high was usually around 68F, the model learns that this source in this city overestimates the highest temperature by 2F.
Over time, it learns patterns across different cities, seasons and weather conditions.
So when a new forecast comes in, the model does not trust it blindly. It adjusts the forecast based on historical errors and produces a more accurate temperature estimate.
GitHub: https://t.co/9DnTPu5iKE
All of these bots include a simulation mode, so you can test them on real markets and see what pnl they can get without risking real funds.
Este tipo creó un bot de trading con Claude y ganó 74.000$ en Polymarket
Su bot opera la microestructura de los mercados de Subida/Bajada a corto plazo mediante la acumulación de alta frecuencia de posiciones en ambos lados con exposición direccional
Su estrategia tiene seis pasos:
1. Al inicio de cada mercado de 5 minutos, registra el precio actual de Bitcoin o Ethereum
2. Después rastrea el movimiento del activo, el tiempo restante, el momentum a corto plazo y la volatilidad
3. Con esos datos, calcula su propia probabilidad justa para Subida y Bajada
4. Compra un resultado cuando el precio del mercado parece infravalorado
5. Si la dirección del precio del activo cambia, el bot puede comprar primero Subida y luego empezar a comprar Bajada
6. El lado opuesto cubre parcialmente la posición acumulada, mientras que la exposición direccional restante genera la ventaja
La cuenta de Polymarket de este tipo:
https://t.co/6JLwwSeNlR
Con esta estrategia, mantiene un valor esperado positivo y hace crecer su depósito de forma constante
okay I'm kinda scared from this @Polymarket account
he made $1.5M in realized profits, in just 9 days. All World Cup bets, 100% WIN RATE
he made such weird bets, including the Germany loss of yesterday ($767k in profits)
the next prediction he's accumulating is:
"Argentina vs Cabo Verde" - Argentina NO at 15¢
at this point I won't be surprised to see a draw or win from Cabo Verde in 3 days
insider???
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