George Coe

Co-founder of Eurasia Group, Kearney alum. Brit in the US 🇬🇧🇯🇵🇺🇸

[George Coe @Coemannn]

@ianbremmer Who is Ian Brernmer?

[George Coe @Coemannn]

@mattyglesias @Noahpinion Do a defense of the UK please

[George Coe @Coemannn]

@matthewjdowd Fundamentally, a (semi)incumbent that oversaw 8% inflation is battling against the tide. History, and elections in other countries, tell us this. As is correct, polls will become more heavily weighted vs this closer to Election Day

[George Coe @Coemannn]

@JonahDispatch Bear brook. I was looking for the same thing for multiple long drives. This was the best one I listened to, fantastic

[George Coe @Coemannn]

@tbonier Harris needs PA in almost all scenarios. Many non red wave pollsters consistently showing it tied

[George Coe @Coemannn]

@LauraLoomer Really relying on his supporters not being golfers here 😂

[George Coe @Coemannn]

@joshtpm There’s a bunch of rich guys who were busy getting really really rich in the 2010s and so didn’t spend all that much time on the internet. Now they have more time, and they haven’t learnt how to see what’s bullshit like the rest of us

[George Coe @Coemannn]

@mattyglesias It lines up nicely with the investment of credibility already made with their base to be supportive of Biden beforehand. Bernie/AOC in particular. Now suffering from sunk cost fallacy to continue it

[George Coe @Coemannn]

@DougSaunders "They will struggle for the sake of struggle...out of a certain boredom: for they cannot imagine living in a world without struggle. And if the greater part of the world in which they live is...peaceful and prosperous...then they will struggle against that peace and prosperity"

[George Coe @Coemannn]

@puppyeh1 Nate silver doesn’t work at 538 anymore. This is a G Elliott Morris model now. Nate’s substack has its own model which has Biden down bad

[George Coe @Coemannn]

@lxeagle17 Agreed (although I don’t loathe Biden at all!). I just think the main debate here is who has a better chance of winning - and the threshold shouldn’t be to have a better shot than Biden. Anywhere close to even (which is not very strong odds at this point) and it’s a good bet

[George Coe @Coemannn]

@LPDonovan Interesting! Other thing I am curious about @gelliottmorris is whether the 538 state averages are moving based on national polls. I closely watch WI/PA/MI/etc and they are moving towards Biden - which national polls seem to be doing but polls in those states don’t from eyeballing

[George Coe @Coemannn]

@drvolts It’s not made people dumber, it’s made people think they’re smarter. Which has equally bad effects

[PRISM @PRISM_global]

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[George Coe @Coemannn]

@daphnehk @BertuzLuca @gateklons @hutko @jorisvanhoboken @PJLeerssen Wrote a little having dug into the data in case of interest! https://t.co/T7bmiY8NKX

[George Coe @Coemannn]

@JonathanTerluk On team transitory everybody wins. You just have to keep adjusting the timeline

[George Coe @Coemannn]

@daphnehk Found this interesting and relevant for the legal side. Looking at how we might get to middleware through existing rules (combo of DSA plus interoperability). https://t.co/z89NZ1bhYh