Imagine looking at this chart and concluding that the Fed is about to become meaningfully hawkish.
That reminds me of the DOGE narrative.
Investors became convinced that government spending was finally going to decline.
It didn't.
The reason wasn't a lack of effort. The reason was that the system could not tolerate it.
The same is true of monetary policy.
At current debt levels, the Fed's ability to maintain genuinely restrictive policy is far more limited than most investors appreciate.
I would fade the hawkish narrative.
https://t.co/6PBdnYWM8a
Were thinking about introducing an exit tax so we can tax all the wealthy people who we said aren't leaving the UK
🤣🤣🤣
Budget 2025: Rachel Reeves considers ‘exit tax’ for wealthy Britons fleeing the country | The Independent https://t.co/skOOQAuOoQ
The so-called “Debasement Trade,” likely first coined by @RaoulGMI a decade ago, is now being championed by the biggest debasers of them all — the commercial banks.
It’s not a trade though. It’s a long-term game of chicken with our central planners.
Lets Go.
Can't miss Drinks with Raoul tomorrow at 6p ET
I'll be giving away 1000 $USDC to one lucky winner!
To enter:
1. Join the @RealVision waitlist (link below)
2. Drop a screenshot with the email confirmation & mention 2 friends in the comment (NO bots!)
3. Like & RT this post
John Bollinger, creator of Bollinger Bands, makes barely 1 crypto call per year and hasn't made one for $ETH in 3 years until yesterday. And each call he makes goes on to mark generational bottoms. He just told us $SOL + $ETH have bottomed, now imagine fading this legend 🚀🚀
When is the best time to buy LEAPS?
We've all seen screenshots of massive gains on LEAPS and wanted those in our portfolios.
Here's the cheat code for when to buy LEAPS heavily and when to avoid them.
It depends on the market's overall structure. The best time to buy LEAPS is after a strong correction, crash, or bear market.
Examples: COVID Crash (2020), Bear Market (2022), Tariffgeddon (2025).
Chart Setup: Use a monthly timeframe with Heikin Ashi candlesticks. My coded indicator, the Pulse, shows bullish or bearish trends (red/green line). A 9EMA works too but is less effective.
Apply this to $QQQ, $SPY, or $IWM, depending on the stock sizes you're targeting. Indexes generally move together.
Wait for Heikin Ashi candles to turn red on the monthly chart, signaling a market correction (three in the past five years).
Stay patient, avoid catching a falling knife, draw a downtrend line, and wait for a green Heikin Ashi candle and a breakout above the downtrend with a monthly close.
Confirmation is a green Pulse or a close above the 9 or 21EMA.
This is the time to buy LEAPS heavily for your favorite stocks. Ensure the overall market follows this pattern, then confirm individual stocks align.
Time to avoid buying LEAPS is when you have red heiku candles or are below the 9/21EMAs.
This strategy worked well for stocks like $PLTR, $HOOD, $NVDA, $META, $OSCR, and others.
This should help you time LEAPS purchases and show that following the market trend maximizes your chances of success.