The $VIX closed at the highest monthly level since the April 2025 tariffs crash.
And now is up 2 months in a row.
Since the Covid 2020 crash, it has only done 3 straight green months once, that was during the April 2025 tariffs crash.
So I wouldn’t be surprised we get an initial $SPY March weakness, bottom mid month and rally from there. Likely with the $VIX closing March red?
Would be in line with the seasonality chart too.
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$SPX Chart Update!
February tends to be a spooky month. 5 of the last 7 February's were red.
We've seen some major crypto carnage recently. Could today be the start of some damage in the metals space as well? Only right that equities take a breather themselves especially after hitting the elusive 7,000 mark, which in itself often could be a psychological resistance area.
Buckle up.
A generational short opportunity for $SPY is upcoming soon…
All indicators have aligned for an upcoming 10-12% correction on $SPY to $620.
The last time, I spotted a similar to this was February 2025 right before $SPY crashed -20%.
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Copper.
There’s something very powerful about stepping back and looking at a 30-year monthly chart of an asset.
It forces you to zoom out and focus on the underlying structure rather than short-term fluctuations.
From that perspective, copper appears to be setting up for a potentially significant move.
If that happens, it’s worth thinking about the second-order effects as other assets may benefit meaningfully from such a move.
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$SPX For bears 👀's only:
The last three times the monthly RSI hit 75+, the following month was red. And it was red by -5%, -11%, and -5%, respectively.
Are we due for one an overdue pullback in March now that we currently hit a monthly RSI of 75+?
I think so.
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