CombatOddsHQ

CombatOddsHQ is your source for combat sports betting, offering odds, picks, statistics, trends, and predictive models for combat sports worldwide.

[CombatOddsHQ @CombatOddsHQ]

live betting UFC freedom 250
https://t.co/LUukEKL68z

[CombatOddsHQ @CombatOddsHQ]

Lightweight favs are 18-8 in 2026 (+5.0% ROI).

#UFCFreedom250

[CombatOddsHQ @CombatOddsHQ]

Main event time on the South Lawn. Topuria (-470) defends the Lightweight title against Gaethje (+360). Topuria is a perfect 8-0 ML in the UFC (+39.8% ROI) and 7-1 inside the distance (+52.0% ROI). Gaethje is 6-2 ML over his last 8 (+38.6% ROI).

[CombatOddsHQ @CombatOddsHQ]

Ciryl Gane (+110) gets the upset stoppage in round one on the South Lawn. Heavyweight dogs cash again — now 25-29 since 2025 (+10.91u, +18.7% ROI). Gane moves to 7-2 inside the distance across his UFC run.

[CombatOddsHQ @CombatOddsHQ]

Co-main event on the South Lawn. Pereira (-130) is the chalk, Gane (+110) the dog. Heavyweight underdogs are 24-29 since 2025 — +9.91u and +18.7% ROI.

[CombatOddsHQ @CombatOddsHQ]

The co-main on the South Lawn and the data points one way. Pereira is 6-2 ML over his last 8 (+38.5% ROI) and 6-2 inside the distance (+27.3% ROI). Gane is 7-1 ML over his last 8 (+20.1% ROI) and 6-2 inside the distance (+35.2% ROI). Both fighters say this ends early.

[CombatOddsHQ @CombatOddsHQ]

Sean O'Malley (-440) gets the finish in round two on the South Lawn. Bantamweight favs move to 66-28 since 2025 (+3.6% ROI). O'Malley is now 6-1 inside the distance across his last 7 UFC fights.

[Alexander K Lee @AlexanderKLee]

hey big dawg, you've got a live mic right now, might want to address this

[Jane Austen Enjoyer 🇨🇦 @austen_enjoyer]

Fascism is bad and so is sportswashing. I hate that my beautiful sport which used to exist for outsiders is being ideologically captured by these fascist kleptocratic rapists and their manosphere orbiters. I will complain all I want

[alexxstation @alexxstation]

In October 2022, Sean O'Malley and his coach Tim Welch flew to Abu Dhabi and sat in Andrew Tate's Bugatti for an Instagram post — two months before Tate's arrest in Romania on what became human trafficking and rape charges.

[alexxstation @alexxstation]

Aiemann Zahabi is the only Canadian on the UFC White House card. Lebanese-Canadian, son of civil war refugees. Endorsed Trump in 2024 as "president of peace," now walking it back. Fighting on Trump's 80th birthday while the admin escalates a trade war against his country.

[CombatOddsHQ @CombatOddsHQ]

Bantamweight Overs are 62-12 since 2025 (+25.2u, +34.1% ROI) — one of the strongest division trends on the card tonight.

[CombatOddsHQ @CombatOddsHQ]

Sean O'Malley (-440) is the heavy chalk against Aiemann Zahabi (+340). O'Malley is 5-3 ML his last 8, but has hit the Over in 4 of his last 5 fights (+19.8% ROI). Zahabi enters 6-2 ML his last 8 (+14.4% ROI) and is a perfect 6-0 on Overs across his last 6 fights (+41.3% ROI).

[CombatOddsHQ @CombatOddsHQ]

Josh Hokit (-410) makes it 4-0 in the UFC, finishing Derrick Lewis in round two on the South Lawn. Hokit is now 3-0 inside the distance across his UFC run. Heavyweight favs move to 38-16 since 2025 (+2.8% ROI).

[CombatOddsHQ @CombatOddsHQ]

Heavyweight Overs are 28-8 since 2025 (+18.95u, +52.6% ROI) — the strongest Over trend of any division on the card.

Not exactly a great sign for the promotion when the clearest angle is “expect these heavyweights to drag fights long.”

#UFCFreedom250

[CombatOddsHQ @CombatOddsHQ]

Heavyweight bout next: Josh Hokit (-410) enters as the clear favorite vs. Derrick Lewis (+320). Hokit is 3-0 in the UFC with both finishes inside the distance. Lewis is 7-1 on the No Distance prop in his last 8 and 22-3 across his 25-fight UFC career.

[CombatOddsHQ @CombatOddsHQ]

Mauricio Ruffy (-520) finishes Michael Chandler in round one on the South Lawn. Lightweight favs move to 18-8 in 2026 (+5.4% ROI) and 195-77 since 2022 (+5.4% ROI). Ruffy is now 5-1 ML across his UFC run.
#UFCFreedom250

[CombatOddsHQ @CombatOddsHQ]

Lightweight favs are 17-8 in 2026 (+5.0% ROI) and 194-77 since 2022 (+13.88u, +5.1% ROI) — chalk has been a long-term winner in the division.

#UFCFreedom250

[CombatOddsHQ @CombatOddsHQ]

Lightweight bout up next. Mauricio Ruffy (-520) is the heavy chalk against Michael Chandler (+390). Ruffy enters his sixth UFC fight 4-1 ML over his short run. Chandler is 2-5 ML over his last 7 but has hit the Over in all 3 of his fights with a posted line (3-0, +142.0% ROI).

[CombatOddsHQ @CombatOddsHQ]

Nickal def. Daukaus — R1 TKO

Bo Nickal (-305) finishes Kyle Daukaus in round one on the South Lawn. Middleweight favs move to 76-30 since 2025 (+0.47u). Nickal is now 6-1 ML across his UFC run, with 6 of those wins coming inside the distance.