Alan Greenspan:
"Human psychology is the driver of financial cycles. Periods of irrational optimism inflate asset prices far above fundamental values, and when expectations reverse, the air rushes out swiftly. The problem for regulators is that bubbles are only visible in hindsight, but the damage from them is always evident."
#GOLD
Just a curious fact - according to BofA data, for the first time in the 21st century, the reserves of global central banks are more invested in gold than in US Treasuries. The dynamics over the past 10 years are especially impressive. And for some reason, I feel this is far from the limit.
#sp500#Nasdaq
Divergence in fund positioning in the US stock market continues to grow: actively managed funds are selling American stocks, while algorithmic funds are holding their positions in these assets. Unfortunately, historical data is limited, and it is difficult to identify a clear pattern, but such a situation is rare and likely indicates a local maximum of the S&P 500 index.
From the @FT editorial, “The bond vigilantes will keep on circling: Investors are losing faith in the ability of western governments to rein in spending.”
#economy#markets#debt#deficits#bonds
Silent reversal in USD ???
Asset managers are holding a record short position in dollar index (DX) futures, according to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Historically, such levels have coincided with market reversals and preceded a rise in the dollar.
Warren Buffett's 8 Rules of Investing:
Rule 1: Don't lose money.
Rule 2: Never forget rule #1.
Rule 3: Buy not just stocks, but good businesses.
Rule 4: It is better to buy a great company at a fair price than an average one at a discount.
Rule 5: Favorite investment period is eternity.
Rule 6: Don't be afraid to be different.
Rule 7: Invest only in what you understand well.
Rule 8: Sometimes the best thing to do is to do nothing.