Competition Factor

Evaluating high school & college football players using our proprietary CAPS analytic (Competition Adjusted Production Score).

[Competition Factor @CompFactor]

CFB Week 9 receipts, projected / actual:

Maiava 260 / 220 pass yds
Jeremiah Smith 110 / 85 rec yds
Baugh 100 / 40 rush yds
Stockton 205 / 100 pass yds
Luckie 25 / 15 rec yds

Our line, Oklahoma -8: South Carolina won 42-25. #CFB
https://t.co/XRSN4xFYzF

[Competition Factor @CompFactor]

College Week 9, on the record before Saturday:

Jeremiah Smith 110 rec yds at USC (slate high)
Jayden Maiava 260 pass yds vs OSU (100th-pct pass D)
Jadan Baugh 100 rush yds vs Georgia

Our line: Oklahoma -8 vs South Carolina, total 53.5. #CFB
https://t.co/pbXW4qUH0H

[Competition Factor @CompFactor]

NFL Week 8, on the record before TNF:

Stafford 285 pass yds vs LAC (slate high; avg 284)
Goff 280 vs MIN (avg 298)
Bryce Young 230 at GB Thu (avg 285)

Monitoring: Lamar Jackson, 200 at BUF. If Out or Doubtful Friday, his row is voided. #NFL
https://t.co/fWFWSpCDlD

[Competition Factor @CompFactor]

NFL Week 7, graded. Our on-record pass-yd calls:

Goff 275, actual 305 (hit)
Love 240, actual 275 (hit)
Maye 240, actual 320 (miss)

Flagged: Bryce Young played, so his row stands. 250, actual 165 (miss).

144 graded, 15 voided, 0 pending. #NFL
https://t.co/hy4rEiYTv3

[Competition Factor @CompFactor]

CFB Week 8 receipts, projected / actual yds:

Chambliss 265 / 250 pass
Maiava 255 / 260 pass
Lacy 90 / 35 rush
King Miller 85 / 10 rush
Byrum Brown 75 / 20 rush
Colton Joseph 195 / 60 pass

Both pick'ems: Texas won 34-27, Wisconsin 24-7. #CFB
https://t.co/8ioPiesEi9

[Competition Factor @CompFactor]

CFB Week 8 on the record:

Trinidad Chambliss 265 pass yds at Texas
Kewan Lacy 90 rush yds
Jayden Maiava 255 pass yds at Wisconsin
King Miller 85 rush yds
Byrum Brown 75 rush yds vs LSU

Our lines: Ole Miss-Texas, USC-Wisconsin both pick'em. #CFB
https://t.co/dL7LNPFGAT

[Competition Factor @CompFactor]

NFL Week 6, graded. Our 5 on-record pass-yd calls:

Prescott 265, actual 260 (hit)
Mahomes 245, actual 270 (hit)
Love 235, actual 275 (hit)
Stafford 305, actual 220 (miss)
Nix 230, actual 105 (miss)

3 hits, 2 misses, 0 pending. #NFL
https://t.co/qQn1JPBX9y

[Competition Factor @CompFactor]

CFB Week 7 receipts, projected / actual yds:

Chambliss 275 / 240
Sayin 255 / 235
Kromah 55 / 45
Daniels 200 / 300
Jeremiah Smith 115 / 70
Hoover 230 / 295
Mensah 250 / 325

Lines: Ohio State -13 and Miami -21, both right. #CFB
https://t.co/eJ4xlvK0Ym

[Competition Factor @CompFactor]

CFB Week 7, on the record:

Trinidad Chambliss 275 pass yds vs Missouri
Julian Sayin 255 pass yds at Indiana
Jeremiah Smith 115 rec yds
Darian Mensah 250 pass yds, 2.2 TD vs FSU

Our lines: Ohio State -13 at Indiana. Miami -21 vs FSU. #CFB
https://t.co/W0dfToPHw9

[Competition Factor @CompFactor]

NFL Week 6, on the record before TNF:

Stafford 305 pass yds vs ARI (slate high)
Prescott 265 at GB
Mahomes 245 vs LAC
Love 235 vs DAL (avg 282)
Nix 230 vs SEA (Thu)

Penix (rib) flagged, not featured. Graded Mon/Tue, misses included. #NFL
https://t.co/OOLIEarqty

[Competition Factor @CompFactor]

CFB Week 6 receipts, projected yds / actual:

Sayin 270 / 240
Jeremiah Smith 115 / 95
Maiava 255 / 300
Manning 230 / 260
Russell 205 / 185
Smothers 75 / 40
Stockton 195 / 250

Our lines: Ohio State -40 right. Penn State -9, Texas -1 wrong. #CFB
https://t.co/9FhurZKpxK

[Competition Factor @CompFactor]

Georgia at Alabama tonight. The game's biggest unit gap:

Alabama rush O, 89th pct
Georgia rush D, 100th pct
Edge: -234, defense

Every other unit in the game rates 96th pct or higher.

On the record: Alabama QB Keelon Russell 205 pass yds. #CFB
https://t.co/C0CSOShW3V

[Competition Factor @CompFactor]

New: our own spread and total for every FBS-vs-FBS game, built from the players on each roster. Ohio State -40 vs Maryland. Penn State -9 vs USC. Texas -1 vs Oklahoma.

Frozen at kickoff, graded on the final. #CFB
https://t.co/W0dfToQflH
https://t.co/C0CSOSitTt

[Competition Factor @CompFactor]

Week 6 numbers are posted, and every FBS-vs-FBS game now has our own line.

Slate high: Julian Sayin, 270 pass yds vs a 65th-pct Maryland pass D. Our line there: Ohio State -40.

Frozen at kickoff, graded Sunday, misses included. #CFB
https://t.co/W0dfToPHw9

[Competition Factor @CompFactor]

CFB Week 6, on the record before Saturday:

Julian Sayin 270 pass yds vs Maryland
Jeremiah Smith 115 rec yds
Jayden Maiava 255 pass yds at Penn State
Arch Manning 230 pass yds vs Oklahoma
Hollywood Smothers 75 rush yds

Last week we had Smith at 100. He had 205.

[Competition Factor @CompFactor]

Last week we put six numbers on record Wednesday. Five landed within 20%.

Same rules this week: frozen at kickoff, graded against the box Mon/Tue, misses at the same size as hits.

https://t.co/OOLIEaqSE0 #NFL

[Competition Factor @CompFactor]

NFL Week 5 passing yards, on record:

Stafford 290 vs BUF (slate high)
Goff 285 at ARI
Prescott 270 vs TB
Purdy 225 at SEA
Love 225 vs CHI (avg 260, our biggest cut)

Lamar 205 at ATL: ankle, monitoring.

Graded Mon/Tue, misses included.
https://t.co/OOLIEaqSE0 #NFL

[Competition Factor @CompFactor]

NFL Week 4 receipts. On record Wed, graded:

Bo Nix 225 pass yds → 215
Josh Allen 235 → 255
Stafford 285 → 315
Smith-Njigba 90 rec yds → 75
Jordan Love 240 → 195
Stroud 235 → 345 (our miss)

Mayfield's 200: void, ruled out pre-game.

https://t.co/vpjzuPgTtu #NFL

[Competition Factor @CompFactor]

Week 5, graded. The 8 numbers we put on record Friday and Saturday, scored against the box. Misses same size as hits.

Closest: Hank Brown, 120 pass yds projected, 130 actual.
Furthest: Jadan Baugh, 105 rush yds projected, 15 actual.

https://t.co/WCcFwM40dt #CFB

[Competition Factor @CompFactor]

Correction: Baker Mayfield was ruled out (thumb), so his 200 pass yds is off the record, voided pre-game.

Still on record: Stafford 285, Love 240, Stroud 235, Nix 225, Allen 235 pass yds; Smith-Njigba 90 rec.

Frozen at kickoff. Graded Mon/Tue, misses included. #NFL

[Competition Factor @CompFactor]

NFL Week 4, on the record before a snap:

Stafford 285 pass yds at PHI
Love 240 at TB
Stroud 235 vs DAL
Nix 225 at SF
Smith-Njigba 90 rec yds vs LAC (405 in his first 3 games)

Frozen at kickoff. Graded Mon/Tue, misses included.

https://t.co/OOLIEarqty #NFL