Compo Capital

Liquid Investor | If you're confident which end of the bell curve you're on then your views are too close to consensus

[Compo Capital @CompoCapital]

admittedly caught offsides earlier, but conviction in underlying view remains unchanged -
uncertainty materially lower since Friday close & threat of weaponized wkend illiquidity receding as well since futures open

Hyperliquid.

[Compo Capital @CompoCapital]

believe crypto mkts just priced downside of US strike on Iran as Trump heads into situation room - very possibly leaky info on imminent nature of US action, but either way - higher from here.

[Compo Capital @CompoCapital]

Segregate performance by BTC up vs down in each window to filters out accounts making leveraged directional bets. You’re looking for wallets with alpha, not leveraged beta. These wallets rarely rank in top x% every month bc ‘dampening downside volatility = trading ability, sacrificing upside capture is the cost of doing business.

Better signal is: wallets w highest % winning periods vs. losing periods, and among them, highest ratio of avg win % to avg loss %.

Also, use 2wk or 4wk periods (not monthly) to avoid day-of-week distortions.

[Compo Capital @CompoCapital]

@0xLouisT @wassielawyer @MetaDAOProject Frames ‘% total supply’ industry standard as the incentive alignment mechanism enabling private investors to fund Twitter anons

[Compo Capital @CompoCapital]

@0xLouisT @wassielawyer Closest cryptonative analog is @MetaDAOProject, where all private allos are inherently team supply (either prior or incremental issuance)

[Compo Capital @CompoCapital]

@lesabrefomo Morpho for $500 please

[Compo Capital @CompoCapital]

@defi_monk Was a non-trivial mkt force pre-PM (link below) so I’d expect so - any PM liquidation data feeds out there?

https://t.co/own0aUrZOG

[Compo Capital @CompoCapital]

🚨 HL whale started to buy back his $HYPE 🚨

Total buy back = $11.3M $HYPE (605k units)

In 3/3 similar historical instances the whale bought all his HYPE back same day.

Wallet/TWAP: https://t.co/4YiEX6OSeq

[Compo Capital @CompoCapital]

@tulipking Far more concerning aspects w grass than token/equity alignment https://t.co/grfcw5d0Tw

[Compo Capital @CompoCapital]

https://t.co/ukfjDcAKMk

[Compo Capital @CompoCapital]

@0xngmi Derive NTM from YTD & extrapolated via y/y vs ly comp or li early if not enough history

[Compo Capital @CompoCapital]

@trevor_flipper Congrats brother

[Compo Capital @CompoCapital]

@lesabrefomo https://t.co/grfcw5d0Tw

[Compo Capital @CompoCapital]

https://t.co/ukfjDcAKMk

[Compo Capital @CompoCapital]

@trevor_flipper The relative mindshare is proportional to number of early users’ whose tax brackets changed

[Compo Capital @CompoCapital]

@skewga_hyper Looked into agg DEX flows across all HYPE pairs over the summer, data unequivocally supported incl in RFS supply calc

[Compo Capital @CompoCapital]

@Henrik_on_HL I am inherently adverse to zero-fee without nuanced understanding of how the littany of “zero-fee fees” (spreads/depth/funding/etc…) comp to fees on comp fee venues

[Compo Capital @CompoCapital]

@JackFarley96 @michaeljburry Imagine $NVDA bc outsized index weightings. My personal issue w comps v. prior capex cycles is that AI capex is more similar to WW2 financing than prior business cycles

[Compo Capital @CompoCapital]

@frankdegods Would be interesting to see how similar/different net buybacks relative to mc looks (gross buybacks/burns net emissions)

[Compo Capital @CompoCapital]

@NMTD8 @TroveMarkets potentially borrowing from paradigms bag?

[Compo Capital @CompoCapital]

Hyperliquid.

[beef.hl HYPERMEAT @B33Fbanks]

HyperMeat x @mdudas & @CompoCapital of @6thManVentures 🥩
▫️6thMan background 1:25
▫️Hypurr purchase 2:13
▫️Custom trait 3:42
▫️Bobby and beef are sidelined 4:44
▫️HIP-3 5:55
▫️Value accrual meta 7:31
▫️CEX listings, @RobinhoodApp 8:18
▫️Builder codes, Crypto guidance 11:46
▫️Marketing, stablecoins $USDH, 10/10 13:31
▫️Team unlocks 20:01
▫️Moat, competition with CEX 23:05
▫️2026 outlook 27:42
▫️HyperEVM excitement 31:42
▫️Favorite cut of meat 32:49
$HYPE @HyperliquidX

[Compo Capital @CompoCapital]

Invest in teams who build DeFi primitives to hodl team unlocks

[Doola @0xdoola]

You thought the team would sell their unlocks? WRONG

You thought the team would collateralize their holdings on the EVM protocols and borrow against it ? WRONG

You think the team will borrow against their holdings on a natively Hypercore designed money market ? You might be correct

Hyperliquid

[Compo Capital @CompoCapital]

Have put the trade on many times myself, it crushes in a steady state market, but absolutely not a trade you want to keep on during periods of elevated volatility. Learned this lesson after vaporizing a kucoin account back in 2020

[Compo Capital @CompoCapital]

Feels more likely a liquid fund was giga short dino coins against crypto-linked equity longs and got a tap on the shoulder from risk manager

[Frank Chaparro @fintechfrank]

Note from Spencer Hallarn, our Global Head of OTC:

"As equity markets get smashed today, a rather peculiar rally in crypto especially centered in old school tokens: FIL, LTC, NEAR, DOT, ETC. One theory is this could be tied to Oct. 10 and maybe some exchange is repurchasing spot to make folks whole that had liquidations. These moves are unquestionably spot led, which isn't typical with pervasive negative funding across the board."

Have a great weekend.