Key Things to Watch Wednesda
Powell’s tone and its impact on yields and risk sentiment
Whether AI hardware momentum continues and Meta keeps weighing on AI sentiment
$MSFT: Azure growthCopilot monetization,and AI capex guidance
$GOOGL: Cloud profitability and Gemini monetization
📌 Market Outlook
Neutral PCE data changed little. AI hardware remained strong while major AI model stocks lagged. Markets closed higher as investors await clearer signals from the Fed and Big Tech.
📈 Market Overview
Core PCE came in line with expectations, keeping investors cautious ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC decision and Microsoft & Google earnings.
S&P 500: +0.6% | Dow: +0.03% | Nasdaq: +1.18%
📊 Indexes remain choppy, with AI hardware leading while high-capex stocks lag. S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures edge higher, but conviction remains weak.
📌 Strategy: Avoid oversized positions ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC decision and Microsoft & Google earnings.
📈 $AMD Update
Since we highlighted $AMD last week, the stock has gained over 5% so far. Momentum remains encouraging.
If you're holding, stay patient and watch for further upside. Wait for our sell alert before making your next move.
🟡 Gold
Around $3,996, below the $4,000 level. Support: $3,980, then $3,960. Resistance: $4,000–$4,030. A firmer dollar and higher yields are weighing on gold, with PCE data in focus.
₿ Crypto
BTC trades around $79,700–$79,900, with support at $79K and resistance near $82K. ETF flows remain subdued ahead of the Fed decision. Altcoins remain weak—avoid oversized bets.
📈 AI & Memory Stocks
SK Hynix ADR +2.8%, $MU +1.9% as HBM demand stays in focus. $NVDA +0.12%, while $AMD, $AVGO and Lumentum remain relatively firm. $TSLA +0.9%.
🪙 BTC: Closed around $79,800–$80,200. A Nasdaq rebound provided support, while Meta’s weakness weighed on risk sentiment. Spot ETF flows remain subdued, keeping BTC range-bound.
🔍 Markets await Tuesday’s PCE data, Wednesday’s FOMC decision, and Microsoft & Google earnings
🥇 Gold: $4,015.94 (+0.51%). Traded between $4,000–$4,022 and failed to hold above $4,030. Lower Treasury yields offered support, but gold lacked strong buying momentum as money rotated into higher-beta AI stocks
📌 Market Outlook
Monday’s rally reflected selective rotation into AI hardware, including HBM, GPUs, and optical modules, while high-capex names like Meta lagged. This looks like a selective AI hardware rally, not a broad market reversal. The key catalysts are still ahead
Last week, we watched $AMD at $116, $PLTR at $197, and $NOW at $150. All three positions are now showing gains.
Our strategy remains unchanged: focus on quality assets, avoid overreacting to short-term volatility, and let the strategy play out.
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📈 US Market Update
Stocks are consolidating after a higher open, with light trading volume suggesting a wait-and-see mood.
Dow: +0.63% | S&P 500: +0.76% | Nasdaq: +0.88%
Monday liquidity is thin. The key catalysts remain Wednesday’s FOMC decision and Big Tech earnings.
📌 My Strategy
Lower oil prices offer some support, but AI still faces questions around spending and returns. Stay cautious with position sizing ahead of earnings and wait for clearer market direction.
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