Connection Capital

Institutional-grade speculation by @dankrupk

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

Alpha #12: Steakholder Foods (STKH). Link in bio

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

Powerus ($PUSA) was flagged by Connection Capital in early October (Alpha #11 on Substack). It is likely to rally if there's escalation with Iran, which could make it an ideal hedge if this happens.

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

Natural gas (NATGAS) update. Up over 20% since flagging it less than a week ago

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

Natural gas (NATGAS) looks like it could break out in the coming weeks, possibly days.

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

When prices get this oversold, a bounce tends to be close. The only way that prices continue falling is if there’s an exogenous shock that causes a true market dislocation, such as escalation in the Iran war.

[The Trading Parrot @TradingParrot]

Why did Tether DOUBLE its excess reserves from $4B to $8B last quarter? The only logical answer: they're preparing for something bad. Plus their first-ever audit over the summer. This is the tell nobody's talking about — at 59:11 in today's video
#Tether #USDT #Crypto #Stablecoins #MarketRisk @connectioncapit

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

The Democrats proposal to cap credit card interest rates at 10% could accelerate crypto debit card growth due to crypto's ability to offer additional rewards to card holders.

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

Around 80% of policies from the Trump administration have been implemented via executive order. This suggests that the recent Democratic sweep of Congress may have little effect on future policy.

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

Natural gas (NATGAS) looks like it could break out in the coming weeks, possibly days.

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

The primary purpose of AI is to prevent wages from rising as the population shrinks (lower labor supply = higher wages). If wages are allowed to rise (as they should), inflation will rise, interest rates will rise, and debts will default.

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

Is this a bottom signal?

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

The 10 year Treasury bond yield is close to a local bottom here. This suggests the flight to safety may not last much longer, which in turn suggests the local bottom in stocks is close.

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

Why are the markets down? Because oil is up. Why is oil up? Because of fears that the war in Iran will escalate.

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

Why does Bitcoin bitcoin:native perform better under Democrat rule? One possibility is that the traditional financial system is allegedly / reportedly biased against conservatives / Republicans.

Putting money in crypto, especially BTC, provides not only a hedge but a critical lifeline by which conservative, primarily anti-establishment populists, can store their wealth and transfer value.

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

For years, Democrats have been scrutinizing Tron tron:native. Now that they have swept both the House and Senate, it's likely there will be actual action against Tron in 2027, if only because of Justin Sun's ties to Trump.

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

Psychedelic stocks including $CMPS, HELP, DFTX, and others previously held by Connection Capital (and sold at ~2x profits over the summer) are finally approaching reaccumulation levels, exactly as expected.

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

Microstrategy / Strategy daily dividends begin today. This is eerily similar to how Terra's Anchor Protocol stabilized yields at the beginning of May 2022, roughly 2 weeks before UST collapsed. Food for thought.

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

With Binance presumably taking a large loss as a result of the recent hack, it will be interesting to see if prime assets owned by the exchange will be sold off to competitors, such as CoinMarketCap.