The question for anyone proposing equalisation is “Tell me what businesses you have founded and run? How many jobs did you create? How many mouths were you responsible for feeding every month? How close did you come to losing your house?” Salaried folk have no idea of the risks sacrifices entrepreneurs make, which they have never had to.
🚆Since I was first elected as an MP in 2010, I warned HS2 was a disaster on all fronts, and yet we have blindly ploughed ahead with it.
🤦Too much hubris to admit our mistakes, and too many refusing to end the project.
🙏HS2 is another predictable government project disaster.
@Sam_Dumitriu Everyone has their threshold of what they consider fair. Many have left based on previous increases. Increasing it more means more will go. It’s the common topic of conversation among business owners.
Rachel from accounts/customer service needs a better calculator.
A family of 4 travelling from Chester to LEGOLAND in August will cost about £600 once you include the train fare, the shuttle bus, and entry tickets.
That’s before food or paid attractions in the park.
And her big “help for families” is a £5 discount on a LEGOLAND ticket 🤡
If true, the civilizational payoff from this will be stratospheric. Enormous advances coming in all areas of science, biology, chemistry, medicine, materials, energy.
I suspect math will be like Chess and Go due to verifiability. The period of fruitful collaboration between humans and AI will be short (i.e. a few years or less, not a decade). Progress in math will be jagged, with harder to formalize fields coming last, but I suspect this jaggedness will be compressed in time -- I expect superhuman performance at (nearly?) all areas of math within a few years (a few = 2-3?).
AIs will also be better at asking pure math questions than humans, and will quickly develop theories beyond human comprehension.
Human theorists will have a recreational comparative advantage over other humans in understanding these theories, but AIs will be better at communicating these theories to applied researchers. Pure mathematicians will need to become applied researchers to do productive work, until applied research is also automated.
Confidence level for prediction: 50-65% for gist, 40-50% for all above claims being correct.
Question: If you were Chancellor and wanted theme parks to reduce prices by a giving them a temporary tax decrease: Would you (a) Give them 6 months notice, or (b) Do it a few weeks before summer, after all their leaflets, marketing and posters were already printed and distributed?
@DanNeidle Maybe it’s as easy as defining “genuine employees” - no-one mention the PGMOL refs case, that was “clear cut” and had “no hallmarks of employment”, but which HMRC litigated for 8 years.