Daniel Goulding

Technical Analyst and publisher of the Goulding Letter. On a pilgrim's journey since 2019, chasing waterfalls literally and figuratively.

[Daniel Goulding @CopernicusASX]

"At long last, science appears to be catching up with what technical analysts have been telling us for more than a century. As one recent scientific article concludes, the changing seasons may be a “fundamental source of variability in how people think, feel, and behave." #ASX200 #XJO #technicalanalysis #trading #stockmarket #finance #stocks
https://t.co/y2Uqnlv0Bv

[Daniel Goulding @CopernicusASX]

The earthquakes part was right. Maybe the top too??

[Daniel Goulding @CopernicusASX]

A new moon tomorrow as well as some very interesting planetary alignments occurring in coming days. As above so below. Be on guard for a peak to this rally, as well the possibility of earthquakes in some regions of the world. The link is geomagnetism. #xjo #asx200

[Daniel Goulding @CopernicusASX]

A new moon tomorrow as well as some very interesting planetary alignments occurring in coming days. As above so below. Be on guard for a peak to this rally, as well the possibility of earthquakes in some regions of the world. The link is geomagnetism. #xjo #asx200

[Daniel Goulding @CopernicusASX]

No matter how you slice and dice the data, April is the best month for Aussie equities. While the ASX 200 will likely breach 8759.5 points soon and may move as high as 8900 +/- 25 points, I expect this to occur in the first half of this month. I expect reasonable weakness to likely materialise in the second half so that April 2026 may well finish in the red.

This will be discussed in more detail in the next edition of my newsletter.
#xjo #asx200

[Daniel Goulding @CopernicusASX]

The moment of trust is nigh for this interpretation, unrevised from February 19. The trend should be sideways to down for at least the next 3-4 months.
For more info, see my latest Letter, link below:
https://t.co/IYYKpOiuBk
#XJO #ASX200 #NEoWave #ElliottWave

[Daniel Goulding @CopernicusASX]

@asxcfdtrader Please dont exert too much effort in your attempt to persuade the masses that something other than news is the main driver of volatility in prices. We need them to take the other side of oyr trades.

[Daniel Goulding @CopernicusASX]

@NEoWaveTheory I know he no longer does QoW but is it possible for Mr Neely to update his views on Symmetricals? It seems that the focus is now purely on price and time dissimilarity .

[Daniel Goulding @CopernicusASX]

I finished implementing downside hedges and short positions in portfolios associated with me.

On the daily chart, if this is wave-c of a Neutral Triangle, the next destination is below 8564 points. I will discuss more in my next Letter.

[Daniel Goulding @CopernicusASX]

@options_insight By staying in the MID VOL regime, that would tell you that endogenous causes are the culprit, not headlines.

[Daniel Goulding @CopernicusASX]

I do like to stir shit, particularly amongst those who think "news" is the key driver of stock prices.

"I continue to ignore the news wire, except out of sheer curiosity about what the lunatics running the asylum are posting. Ignoring the news helps me sleep better, and my investment portfolios are benefiting from relying on facts, specifically market prices, instead of narratives that are often constructed retrospectively."
-- The Goulding Letter, 2026-April-07
https://t.co/lSsxraruIR

[Daniel Goulding @CopernicusASX]

Per my newsletter, I started hedging today with the #ASX200 meeting the minimum target. My best guess remains 8900 +/- 25 points, but the risk-reward profile is now skewed to the downside at current levels, and I play the probabilities.

Price-wise, the forecast from Feb 19 continues to work like a charm. #NEoWave #XJO

[Daniel Goulding @CopernicusASX]

No matter how you slice and dice the data, April is the best month for Aussie equities. While the ASX 200 will likely breach 8759.5 points soon and may move as high as 8900 +/- 25 points, I expect this to occur in the first half of this month. I expect reasonable weakness to likely materialise in the second half so that April 2026 may well finish in the red.

This will be discussed in more detail in the next edition of my newsletter.
#xjo #asx200

[Daniel Goulding @CopernicusASX]

@SheTradesAlpha We can.

[Daniel Goulding @CopernicusASX]

@SheTradesAlpha Almost always. Seious weakness in advance decline either pounts to market rotation or market exhaustion. Covid top gave a subtke warning. 1987. But all other tops gave months of warning.

[Daniel Goulding @CopernicusASX]

Either thematics like fertilser, or outperforming stocks being bought on market weakness luje 4DX IMR for example.

I use neowave, intermarket work, breadth and seasonals. I am in the same camp as econophysicts who believe majority of volatility is not caused by news but rather endogeneous factors.

[Daniel Goulding @CopernicusASX]

Seasonality works like a charm in emotional markets. The recent low occurred two trading days after the new moon and on the first trading day after the March Equinox. While there is no guarantee that this interim bottom is definitive, downward pressure is likely to ease, making it increasingly difficult for the market to decline, regardless of the tenor of the news.
-- The Goulding Letter, 2026-March-31
https://t.co/zJ9iccWcs8

[Daniel Goulding @CopernicusASX]

Here we are on Monday, and the ASX 200 has traded as low as 8,262 points. I believe today may represent the low point of wave 1 of C for several reasons.

First and foremost, my forecast from February 19 suggested that we might see a local low around this level. Additionally, based on Wave Structure observed over the past few weeks, I suspected we would reach a low today, although I had low confidence in this prediction.

The intersection of price and time supports the idea that today could mark a multi-month bottom. Furthermore, seasonality has turned higher and will increasingly become a tailwind for stocks. There are also indications from the options market that this sell-off is likely close to expiry.
-- The Goulding Letter https://t.co/mAgL6RsnRp

[Daniel Goulding @CopernicusASX]

Here we are on Monday, and the ASX 200 has traded as low as 8,262 points. I believe today may represent the low point of wave 1 of C for several reasons.

First and foremost, my forecast from February 19 suggested that we might see a local low around this level. Additionally, based on Wave Structure observed over the past few weeks, I suspected we would reach a low today, although I had low confidence in this prediction.

The intersection of price and time supports the idea that today could mark a multi-month bottom. Furthermore, seasonality has turned higher and will increasingly become a tailwind for stocks. There are also indications from the options market that this sell-off is likely close to expiry.
-- The Goulding Letter https://t.co/mAgL6RsnRp

[Daniel Goulding @CopernicusASX]

Article for FNArena.

https://t.co/EqELnwTt5g

[Daniel Goulding @CopernicusASX]

"As of January 19, the Puetz Eclipse Cycle is reinforcing the downward phase of the semi-annual Geomagnetic Cycle. If there is a mini-panic, early to mid-March is the most likely timeframe given the Eclipse Cycle."
— The Goulding Letter 2026-February-07

I would remain very cautious until the equinox on Friday, March 20, which occurs one day after the new moon. From a purely timing viewpoint, this is the time I will be very interested in closing shorts.
-- The Goulding Letter 2026-March-09