Cottagecheese

Your stop is my entry.

[Cottagecheese @CottageCrypt]

@kingfisher_btc blueprint

[Stoic @Stoiiic]

Victory is assured.

[TheoTrader 🏰 @theo_crypto99]

Seasonality isn’t luck.

It’s the collective behavior of traders repeating the same actions every year.

[TheoTrader 🏰 @theo_crypto99]

> Technical analysis is a lie we tell ourselves.

Trendlines, supply/demand zones, and all the fancy tools are just illusions. They "work" not because they're real, but because price has memory, and memory attracts liquidity.

Let’s break it down👇

> Why do support/resistance levels or demand/supply zones seem to matter?

Because they’re where price has consolidated or failed before, leaving behind untapped liquidity. These aren't magic zones, they’re just liquidity pools waiting to be filled.

> What actually drives price?

Not your Fibonacci levels or your diagonal trendlines.
It’s the depth of the order book, driven by:
Buy/sell pressure at specific moments.

News, global policies, and macro events that dictate sentiment.

> Ever seen price break out and retrace immediately?

That’s not because your “trendline” broke, it’s because of inefficiencies in the order book. The market exploits these gaps, not your lines.

>So what does work? Two things:

Seasonality: Certain times of year consistently trigger patterns we collectively chase; like the December rallies or post-summer dips.

Liquidation cascades: Extreme moves driven by low liquidity, creating sharp reversals once momentum exhausts.

> Seasonality isn’t magic either. It’s just the same predictable patterns repeating because of market psychology and macro timing. Institutions and retail alike follow these cycles.

> Liquidation cascades, on the other hand, are powerful because they exploit the thin order book. As positions get wiped out, it creates inefficiencies, what we call “voids”, which price inevitably retraces to fill.

> When you study this, you’ll realize the entire market is fake. All that matters is liquidity and order book depth.
The rest, trendlines, zones, triangles, is just a narrative we tell ourselves to make sense of the chaos.

> If you truly want an edge, focus less on lines and more on:

- Order book depth and liquidity flows.
- Macro events and policies.
- Seasonality and human psychology.

The sooner you stop worshipping the chart and start respecting liquidity, the sooner you’ll see the market for what it really is.

[TheoTrader 🏰 @theo_crypto99]

A true edge in trading comes from understanding:

> liquidity
> timing
> sentiment

Not triangles and trendlines

[stepfanie tyler @stepfanie]

fuck DEI
fuck your pronouns
fuck your woke agenda
fuck men in women's sports
fuck your open border
fuck your safe spaces
fuck your trigger warnings
fuck queers for Palestine
fuck defunding the police
fuck your dishonest MSM
fuck your bloated bureaucracy
fuck your war on merit
fuck your selective outrage
fuck your climate hypocrisy
fuck your big tech censorship
fuck your Tesla hating
fuck your debt forgiveness schemes
fuck your victimhood culture
fuck your manufactured crises
fuck your big government overreach
fuck your cancel culture mob
fuck your education indoctrination
fuck your performative activism
fuck your assault on free speech
fuck your surveillance state
fuck your anti-family policies
fuck your erosion of accountability
fuck your undemocratic primary process
and fuck your opportunity economy

TL;DR: GFY

[Cottagecheese @CottageCrypt]

@Captain_Kole1 big if true

[Cottagecheese @CottageCrypt]

@blknoiz06 American Food = Shit

[Mr. Anderson @Truecrypto]

Weak men chase pleasure.

Strong men chase purpose.

[Jon Levine @LevineJonathan]

Elon Musk fired 90% of Twitter without a single meaningful impact on product — and this is now barely discussed at all.

I think about this often

[Cold Blooded Shiller @ColdBloodShill]

FOMO

I'll write a little more on this topic in the coming weeks but for now let's focus on the emotional shift that can happen very quickly in crypto.

In the last 72 hours the markets have sold off aggressively, including some of the strongest sell offs we've seen on $BTC.

There's nervousness, retweets of bearish content, lower targets, and mockery of bulls.

In the last 24 hours, all of that is forgotten and all of a sudden you've missed the bottom, you won't get another entry again, and how could you have paperhanded your bags.

The only thing that's changed is the presence of green candles.

They are powerful emotional stimulus for us, couple that with the success and overall more positive atmosphere of social channels and you've got a recipe that will very quickly turn you from feeling fear your bags are going to get obliterated to feeling as though you don't have enough exposure.

This tweet is really just about making sure you can acknowledge that shift in mentality.

Some facts for assistance in balancing FOMO:

- BTC is still under $62k which means we're still in a bearish short-term space.
- The markets have been smashed on the downside lately which means relief and bounces are to be expected.

Now I'm not saying that to be bearish, but just to balance those feelings from getting too carried away (and about your discipline in building positions.)

The other reasons to not feel FOMO:

- Imo prices are still cheap, if you're building slowly, who the fuck cares if something is up 10% in a day, it's still down -50% from its high.
- Markets like SOL were strong performers, but they're still an entire 100% away from their ATH.
- Meme markets are looking very strong in the current climate and we all know how much opportunity is presented there.
- Targets for spot positions will be ATHs for the majority of markets (of course apply some common sense here to those with an actual chance of doing so)

The bullish part about all of this, and the main reason to balance the mentality around FOMO is because price is still so cheap.

Don't get carried away or sidelined by thinking something is up a lot in a 24 hour period.

Remember how discounted this stuff is.

You build slowly, you allow your positions to gain momentum over time, and you chill the fuck out while your bags increase in value for the rest of the year.

As always, you need to take it slow. Don't let a green day ruin weeks of careful building because you get carried away and outsize something.

Discipline, patience and accepting price is still cheap and you're experiencing a bull market correction (while it's still correcting.)

Balance all that with the fact BTC is still in no-mans land and yet to reclaim it's significant level and you've got some nice information to help balance you out a little.

[Loma @LomahCrypto]

Of course traders start philosophically posting life wisdom after a year or two in the game.

It’s right about the time when you start to realize that your trading mistakes are usually reflections of your flaws as a person.

Greedy, hot-headed, or impatient as a person? Good chance it shows up in your trading as well.

I love seeing it cause it’s the transformative period in a trader’s journey. Some people never conquer those demons, some do.

That last mile is the loneliest.

[Mr. Anderson @Truecrypto]

The right mindset for trading:

-Kill your greed

-Never chase

-Always strive for emotional detachment

-Focus on proper execution

-Know that there is never a shortage of opportunities

-Never make excuses

-Stay in control

-Don’t compare yourself to others

-Have an exit plan

-Stay calm & focused

-Money comes in bunches

-Cultivate independent thinking

-Be ready for worst case scenarios

-Know that there is never a shortage of opportunities

-Standing on the sidelines is a position

-Nosce te ipsum (know thyself) learn your trading flaws & create ways to combat them

[Cold Blooded Shiller @ColdBloodShill]

Trading Addiction

You're addicted. People don't like the term (more about that later) but unfortunately it's true. This thread isn't to make you feel bad, or to shame you, it's to hopefully try to assist with eliminating the negatives.

Sometimes that's good, sometimes that's bad. You'll go through various methods for justification but you also need to accept some of the truth to make better financial decisions.

A topic I've written about so many times but we're due for an update and a deeper dive into the new mechanics at play, along with the education for the new market participants.

Let's start with the classic addiction symptoms, firstly the real-life interrupters:

- Compulsively checking your phone for charts
- Unable to complete normal, everyday tasks without checking your phone in between
- Checking your phone in the middle of meals
- Doing one task on your phone and getting distracted half way through to look at charts
- Muscle memory loading up charts on autopilot when you unlock your phone
- Needing to keep your phone on charts when in the shower or somewhere else and finding creative ways to enable you to do that
- Telling your friends/family it's "work" or "important" and that you need to be on your phone
- Getting angry that you have to do something that breaks your time from access to a phone/charts
- Not listening to conversations or being distracted just staring at candles

And now the trading symptoms:

- Entering and re-entering the same position multiple times based on no change in setup
- Throwing money into coins based on small impulses on the LTF
- Throwing money into coins based on a green candle appearing to be moving fast
- Looking to utilise leverage whenever possible to hit bigger wins
- Never wanting to close or sell a position because "what if it goes higher"
- Starting to do the mental calculation for how much profit you'll have if your coin reaches a certain price
- Rotating between multiple coins all the time in the hopes of catching a big move but capturing none of them
- Always feeling "late" to coins and to moves in the market
- Feeling overly emotional about your positions and necessity to have access to an exchange

There's more examples but hopefully that's captured enough of them for you.

Let's break this down, remember the idea was not to shame you, it's to try and help.

Firstly, not all addiction is bad addition when it comes to trading. The majority of us are addicted, whether that's through the close ties to gambling or because of a genuine love and affinity for the world of crypto.

You have to learn to harness the good addiction, you have to have power over your actions and understand the differences between the good and the bad.

Spending time searching for opportunity = good

Blankly staring at a 5m chart entering and re-entering a position on max leverage = bad

You can see the common split here so I can leave you to come to your own conclusions about a positive use of time in this space and not something that's simply based on addictive gambling qualities.

Typically positive or good addiction doesn't actually involve money at all, it involves time. The longer you spend researching before actioning typically leads to better decision making, you're slower, more patient and have more information when it comes to putting money on the line. And you need to have that. You need to put the time in. Success doesn't come without earnings your stripes.

Addiction and impulsiveness are closely tied so our bad addiction qualities usually come from the decisions we make because we believe there will be a quick and very positive response from them.

FOMO into coins
Buying because someone tweeted
Attempting to use high leverage and getting chopped up

Impulsiveness is linked to time. Many people are in a rush to "make it" - they operate at 100mph constantly in the hopes of hitting it big. Giving themselves incredibly small time horizons for success.

We have a combination of addiction, impulsiveness and unrealistic time horizons.

Now the thing that really seals it for a lot of people is justification.

The justification side is very important to understand for addiction purposes. If you've found yourself justifying your actions because you believe they offer huge opportunity, like SOL presales, it's often just the minds way to allow you to complete the dumb action. People add justification to try and avoid the gambling or addiction label.

We often justify our actions as a way of deceiving ourselves that the stupidity can be accepted.

"use max lev because this could be the breakout"
"this presale really will moon"
"all my buddies think this is a good idea too"
"a lot of people are talking about this coin now!"

Our minds typically always look for the positive outcome first, especially those rooted in this space. We are often optimists because of our risk tolerance and so we allow that optimism to encourage us (or at least tip the scales) to make decisions we really shouldn't. Again, look back to examples of leverage usage and how we can convince ourselves very quickly that "now might be the opportunity to get in!"

But of course, reasoned, well balanced justification is important which is why we're brought full circle to the good vs bad addiction.

Addiction is tough, it is very hard to break, but you can be addicted in a positive way. Slow down the speed at which you chuck money away by actioning on your impulses and instead divert that passion and love you have for the space (and the potential for opportunity) into researching, educating yourself and coming up with smarter more informed ways to use your capital.

The gambling capital spiral to zero is real. It haunts many people and unless you make changes to your actions, your dreams will remain unfulfilled.

Slow down.
Treat leverage sensibly.
Use your time wisely to make informed decisions.
Accept that success is built over many months/years.
Learn to change and adapt your negative behaviours.
Question your actions.
(And probably utilise spot and chill a lot more)

[Flood @ThinkingUSD]

Trading is the best video game in the entire world, infinite levels, maximum difficultly, biggest prize in the world for coming in first.

What more could you possibly want?

[Mr. Anderson @Truecrypto]

Without self-discipline, you'll always be ruled by your emotions.

Psychology is 80% of trading.

[moon @MoonOverlord]

Missed Bonk? Missed Wif? Missed Bome?

Don’t worry you’ll miss the next one too

[Mr. Anderson @Truecrypto]

Believing that you KNOW what will happen is a major flaw

Play your EDGE, follow your plan, & happily live w/ the results

“A probabilistic mind-set pertaining to trading consists of five fundamental truths.

1. Anything can happen.

2. You don’t need to know what is going to happen next in order to make money.

3. There is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that define an edge.

4. An edge is nothing more than an indication of a higher probability of one thing happening over another.

5. Every moment in the market is unique."

[Cottagecheese @CottageCrypt]

@CryptoWizardd how about Eth?