Cover Calculus

Data-driven MLB NFL NBA picks with deep unseen data insights. Not financial advice

[Cover Calculus @CoverCalculus]

🚨 Disclaimer 🚨
We keep it real and transparent. Our team uses advanced simulations and deep data analysis to uncover hidden value in the lines, so you don’t have to. We do the heavy lifting. You get the edge.🔒 Follow now while picks are still free.

[Cover Calculus @CoverCalculus]

@SportWriter2 @DrewDeBiasse Sport could not agree more! Unfortunate Reality!

[Carti❄️ @TheCartiae]

Gutey I love you
@grok please write Brian Gutekunst a thank you letter from me regarding the recent trade for Micah Parsons as a packer fan. #gopackgo

[Carti❄️ @TheCartiae]

Woah woah woah when did this happen!!?? @packers @MicahhParsons11

[Cover Calculus @CoverCalculus]

@TheCartiae @grok SC👀 Seller and Harbor bout to light the world on fire🚀

[Carti❄️ @TheCartiae]

College Football is 3 days away…🥲

@grok pick a dark horse team you think has a chance to make some noise this year.

[Cover Calculus @CoverCalculus]

@TheCartiae The DT’s are gonna be interesting

[Carti❄️ @TheCartiae]

The Packers HAVE to make trades before cut downs. There are way too many players that will get cut and picked up off waivers. Get cooking Gutey🫡

Notable bubble names:
- Warren Brinson
- Nazir Stackhouse
- Micah Robinson
- Kalen King
- Kamal Hadden
- Mecole Hardman
- Malik Heath
- Isaiah Simmons

[Carti❄️ @TheCartiae]

When tf did this happen @SleeperHQ
😭😭😭

[Carti❄️ @TheCartiae]

Dynasty Roster Decisions‼️🚨
8/11/25 Post Preseason Week 1
(Our league has expanded rosters for the offseason, 10 extra slots)

➡️ I have 21 roster LOCKS🔒
➡️ I have 7 remaining spots (5 taxi, 2 active)
➡️ I have 16 guys that “could” make it

I am going to create a power rankings based on practices and the remaining preseason games to gauge who make the team. (Can’t wait to look back and see how wrong I was)

INITIAL RANKING🚀👀
1. Jarquez Hunter (-)
2. Brashard Smith (-)
3. Tahj Brooks (-)
4. Jordan James (-)
5. Woody Marks (-)
6. Sean Tucker (-)
7. Oronde Gadsden (-)
8. MarShawn Lloyd (-)
9. Rico Dowdle (-)
10. Justice Hill (-)
11. Damien Martinez (-)
12. Malachi Corley (-)
13. Hunter Renfrow (-)
14. Arian Smith (-)
15. Devin Singletary (-)
16. Raheem Mostert (-)

➡️ I will adjust this weekly
➡️ Feedback is much appreciated

[Carti❄️ @TheCartiae]

Recap Raiders vs Seahawks🚨🚨‼️
- Donte Thornton Jr ➡️ How’d he fall to the fourth round?? Lookin like Julio out there😭
- Ashton Jeanty ➡️ Not even jesus himself is gaining a yard behind this o-line… Geno might die by week 3🫡
- Jack Bech ➡️ Needs to figure out how to separate, hands are not an issue🤞
- Damien Martinez ➡️ Didn’t look great, seemed like every other back was better, needs to bounce back next week👊
- Elijah Arroyo ➡️ gonna be a guy, Darnold will be much better for production and targets than Lock 🚀
- Tory Horton ➡️ Seahawks fans had fun watching this last night, who’s DK??🧐
- Ricky White III ➡️ One catch, good start let’s see if he can continue to do more. Thought he was gonna be a little more involved 😵‍💫
- Nick Emanwori ➡️ Seattles secondary is really starting to look fun. A LOTT of speed back there 🔥

side note: Milroe should have packages to get on the field in the regular season, he just moves different 😤

[Carti❄️ @TheCartiae]

Recap Bengals vs Eagles 🚨🚨‼️
- Tahj Brooks ➡️ Honestly liked what I saw, not bery efficient so hope that improves, but will run through a mfers face 😤
- Jihaad Campbell ➡️ Flys around, hard to block, Philly is gonna turn him into a demon 😈

side note: Tanner Mckee might be better than Hurts 👀

[Carti❄️ @TheCartiae]

Recap Colts vs Ravens🚨🚨‼️
- DJ Giddens ➡️ Not much, split with Tyler Goodson (good sign) long rush of 7 yards. Not his fault on AR injury lol
- Tyler Warren ➡️ Looks as good as advertised, gonna be a safety blanket for whichever QB plays.
- AD Mitchell ➡️ Carrying momentum from joint practice 👀
- Justin Walley RIP 😢
- Keaton Mitchell ➡️ bye bye Justice Hill, thunder and lightning has officially arrived in Baltimore 🌩️⚡️
- Malachi Starks ➡️ Didn’t see much, heard he played good man coverage and got his first tackle 🤷‍♂️

[Cover Calculus @CoverCalculus]

@TheCartiae Anthony Richardson and Daniel Jones for sure

[Carti❄️ @TheCartiae]

FOOTBALL IS BACKKK😱😱
My Preseason watch list tonight:

Colts🐴 vs Ravens🐦‍⬛
- DJ Giddens, Tyler Warren, AD Mitchell, Justin Walley, Keaton Mitchell, Malachi Starks.

Bengals🐅vs Eagles🦅
- Tahj Brooks
- Jihaad Campbell

Raiders🏴‍☠️ vs Seahawks1️⃣2️⃣
- Donte Thornton Jr
- Ashton Jeanty
- Jack Bech
- Damien Martinez
- Elijah Arroyo
- Tory Horton
- Ricky White III
- Nick Emanwori

(idk if all these guys are playing, just assuming who wil play)

Who are you watching??👀👀

#NFLPreseason #NFLTwitter

[Cover Calculus @CoverCalculus]

Plus odds sprinkle?👀

Jameson Tallion O18.5 PO
(+165)

Our model has the probability significantly higher than the implied odds. 🚀🫡

Play 0.25 units, love the value here!

#bettingtwitter #gamblingX

[Cover Calculus @CoverCalculus]

Sunday Night Baseball Incoming… Stay tuned 🔥🔥🔥

[Cover Calculus @CoverCalculus]

Absolute sh*tshow in the Red Sox vs Angels game. We’ll see if we can find any other plays for tonight, not a great start.

[Cover Calculus @CoverCalculus]

Full Unit Play Today🔥🫡
- Jose Soriano O16.5 PO’s
1 Unit (-130)

Waiting for more lineups to drop, also not finding much value in some of the other early games.

Running this on @PrizePicks today, seeing if we can go 3/3 in the last 2 days.

Gore and Boyd also seem to be ok bets on their PO’s, but not enough edge to be official plays!🚀
#gamblingX #PrizePicksMLB #mlbpicks

[Cover Calculus @CoverCalculus]

Full Unit Play Today🔥🫡
- Jose Soriano O16.5 PO’s
1 Unit (-130)

Waiting for more lineups to drop, also not finding much value in some of the other early games.

Running this on @PrizePicks today, seeing if we can go 3/3 in the last 2 days.

Gore and Boyd also seem to be ok bets on their PO’s, but not enough edge to be official plays!🚀
#gamblingX #PrizePicksMLB #mlbpicks

[Cover Calculus @CoverCalculus]

6/4 Early Game⚾️
- Kyle Freeland U17.5 PO’s (+135)
.5 Unit

Still working on the other games, we like this play for Rockies vs. Marlins. Staying away from Quantrill, not enough edge there.

Let’s run it back🔥🚀

[Cover Calculus @CoverCalculus]

BANGGGGGG Stay tuned for the plays today!

[Cover Calculus @CoverCalculus]

Big Slate Today🔥🔥
- Sandy Alcántara U17.5 PO’s
.25 Unit (+140)
- Cade Horton O15.5 PO’s
.5 Unit (+120)
- Lance McCullers Jr. U15.5 PO’s
1 Unit (-150)
- Paul Skenes O18.5 PO’s
.5 Unit (+110)
- Tanner Bibee O16.5 PO’s
.5 Unit (-130)
-Carlos Rodón O18.5 PO’s
.25 Unit (+155)

Mix and match to your liking, our unit size is a good reference as to which are our favorites. A lot of good value today, don’t miss out!!🚀
#gamblingX #mlbpicks