Crafting Assets

Swing Trader - Conservative Politics - Business Lines of Credit

[Crafting Assets @CraftingAssets]

I’ve been designing an AI agent for a few weeks to start picking long term stock picks with upside potential of +50% in the next 12-18 months

Going to start posting them on a weekly basis

#ai #artificialintelligence #stocks #StockPortfolio

[Crafting Assets @CraftingAssets]

@yuris And it doesn’t work lol

[Crafting Assets @CraftingAssets]

@RobinhoodApp I’m trying to setup my Agentic Trading but I’m on a waitlist or something that says I will get emailed when it’s rolled out to me. How do I get it sooner than later?

[Crafting Assets @CraftingAssets]

$PANW

Why It Screens Extremely Well

Cybersecurity continues behaving like a secular-growth utility sector.

PANW specifically benefits from:

Security platform consolidation
AI-driven cyber threats
Enterprise migration toward unified security architecture

The stock recently completed a large base breakout and remains one of the strongest institutional-quality software trends in the market.

Technical Structure

Trading above rising 200-day SMA
RSI remains constructive rather than euphoric
Multi-month accumulation base resolved higher
Strong relative strength vs software sector

Current Price / Target

Current Price: ~$225
Preferred Entry Zone: $215–225
12-Month Price Target: $340
Implied Upside: ~51%

Primary Catalysts

Enterprise cybersecurity spending
AI security demand
Platformization trend
Upcoming earnings acceleration

⸻

Hypothetical Options Trade

Strategy: Long-Dated Vertical Call Spread

Expiration: January 15, 2027
Buy: $240 Call
Sell: $320 Call

Estimated Risk/Reward

Approximate Risk/Reward: 1:4
Lower theta decay than naked calls
Better capital efficiency for swing positioning

If PANW reaches target range:

Spread approaches maximum value
Expected return could exceed 180–250%

⸻

Risk Management

Invalidation Level: $198
Breakdown below that zone weakens:
Relative strength
Institutional accumulation pattern
Growth-premium valuation thesis

[Crafting Assets @CraftingAssets]

$GEV

Why It Screens Extremely Well

GE Vernova is becoming the “picks-and-shovels” energy infrastructure beneficiary of the AI boom.

The market is dramatically underestimating how much electrical infrastructure AI datacenters require. GEV’s electrification backlog and transformer/switchgear demand continue accelerating.

Unlike speculative AI software names, GEV has:

Real cash flow
Industrial backlog visibility
Infrastructure scarcity economics

Technical Structure

Strong long-term uptrend above 200-day SMA
Consolidating near highs after massive run
RSI cooled from overbought conditions into constructive territory
Persistent institutional buying on pullbacks

Current Price / Target

Current Price: ~$1,070
Preferred Entry Zone: $1,000–1,060
12-Month Price Target: $1,650
Implied Upside: ~54%

Primary Catalysts

AI datacenter power demand
Grid modernization spending
U.S. infrastructure investment
Electrification backlog growth

⸻

Hypothetical Options Trade

Strategy: Bull Call Spread

Expiration: January 15, 2027
Buy: $1,100 Call
Sell: $1,500 Call

Why a Spread Instead of Naked Calls?

GEV already experienced major expansion, so selling upside premium improves risk-adjusted expectancy.

Estimated Risk/Reward

Max Risk: Defined debit paid
Potential Return: ~250–350%
Approximate Risk/Reward: 1:3.5

⸻

Risk Management

Invalidation Level: ~$920
Breakdown below this level likely signals:
AI power buildout slowing
Infrastructure order compression
Failed breakout structure

[Crafting Assets @CraftingAssets]

$ANET

Why It Screens Extremely Well

Arista is one of the cleanest AI infrastructure plays in the market without the excessive IV premium seen in names like NVIDIA or smaller speculative AI stocks.

The stock recently underwent a sharp earnings-related correction despite strong fundamentals, creating a fresh accumulation base and re-breakout setup. Revenue growth, hyperscaler AI networking demand, and expanding Ethernet adoption remain major tailwinds.

Technical Structure

Above 200-day SMA
RSI recently reset into the low-40s after prior overbought conditions
3-month consolidation following earnings gap
Institutional volume support around $140–145
AI networking remains one of the strongest relative-strength groups

Current Price / Target

Current Price: ~$158
Ideal Accumulation Zone: $150–160
12-Month Price Target: $240
Implied Upside: ~52%

Primary Catalysts

AI hyperscaler capex cycle
Ethernet-based AI cluster adoption
Additional cloud customer expansion
Potential multiple expansion after earnings normalization

⸻

Hypothetical Options Trade

Strategy: Long Call

Expiration: January 15, 2027
Strike: $180 Call
Estimated Premium Zone: Moderate IV relative to realized volatility
Expected Risk/Reward: ~1:4

Thesis

If ANET reaches $240:

Intrinsic value becomes ~$60
Option could appreciate 150–250% depending on IV and timing

This setup has favorable convexity because implied volatility remains materially lower than many AI peers.

Risk Management

Hard Invalidation Level: $138
Probability deterioration occurs if:
Stock loses 200-day SMA
AI networking spending decelerates materially
Volume distribution replaces accumulation

[Crafting Assets @CraftingAssets]

@EdwardAlerts Yessir, got out at 0.92 +45%

Appreciate you, didn’t have time to look at charts in the office yesterday

[Crafting Assets @CraftingAssets]

@EdwardAlerts Sitting at the office, I’ll take it, let’s see how it goes

[Crafting Assets @CraftingAssets]

@EdwardAlerts Ok, I guess I just don’t celebrate runners since they are free money lottos

[Crafting Assets @CraftingAssets]

@EdwardAlerts So you bought at 0.65 and held while being down 90% when this thing was at 0.10 and now you’re celebrating that it popped on expiration day?

I personally do not believe you held the position unless you have absolutely 0 risk management

[Crafting Assets @CraftingAssets]

You copy a 25 year old who learned how to trade less than 3 years ago

You a bitch 🤣

[Crafting Assets @CraftingAssets]

SL: 1.5

Thought process: Gap Fill Potential

[Crafting Assets @CraftingAssets]

Haven’t done this in a while…

$SPY $680 PUT OCT 31st @ 2.55

$SPX $SPY $QQQ

[Crafting Assets @CraftingAssets]

@EastEndJoe @PressSec

[Crafting Assets @CraftingAssets]

@AolCRAFT

[Crafting Assets @CraftingAssets]

@taradublinrocks Yes, we have a sense of humor

[Crafting Assets @CraftingAssets]

Why do influencers with super cars hang out at gas stations so much? Weird

[Crafting Assets @CraftingAssets]

$TTD $NKE $TGT