Sports writer providing betting picks and analysis for @sportmoneyhq. Partial to NY teams, and use this platform to share relevant nuggets and observations.
@Buster_ESPN@PaulHembo In 2010, before I owned an iPhone, I faked an "injury" to leave work, for the sole purpose of blocking my semi-final opponent from all QBs not named Jake Delhomme in a 2-QB league.
Smoking a ninth-inning go-ahead homer on the road with your boss’s boss’s boss in the stands is perhaps the best way to make your case for $180M+. Good on you, Pete Alonso. #LetsGoMets
#Mets vs. WAS
+ Sean Manaea 6+ innings in 8/9 -- 2.64 ERA, 3.04 FIP, .158/.507 opp BA/OPS
+ #Nationals .673 OPS vs. LHP on the season, .299 wOBA, 3.8 R/G in September
General considerations ... Mets haven't played poorly despite 2 straight losses; can Manaea play "stopper"?
+ Severino 3.39 xFIP over last 5 starts
+ Mets 20-8 since losing fourth game of four-game skid on Aug. 13
General considerations:
One can surmise based on Severino's personality and track record that this spot won't be too big for him.
#Mets vs. PHI
+ #NYM statistically above league average vs. LHP and finesse pitchers; generally difficult to K, circa 2022
+ Allard profiles as classic "lefty soft tosser", relying heavily on command and soft contact
+ Mets 3rd highest hard hit rate in MLB in Sept.
General thoughts/considerations:
Quality SP performances can be contagious, and NYY have received great starts since Cubs series. Rotation competition doesn't apply to Cole, but current numbers crunch serves as source of external pressure for several members.
BOS vs. #Yankees
+ #RedSox 2nd highest K rate over last 8 (29.6%); 26 K across first two games of series
+ Gerrit Cole 31.2 K% over last 6; and if you remove CLE (lowest K% since 2022), Cole's K% over last 5 is 35.7%
+ NYY 1.82 ERA since Sept. 6
Additional thoughts/observations ...
* "Is Quintana 'Ranger Suarez Lite' right now?"
* Based on Sept. performance, NYM vs. PHI a "classic" case of pitching vs. hitting (respectively).
* You have to throw out the stats to an elevated degree when it's NYM vs. PHI in a race.
#Mets at PHI
+ NYM, PHI 8-2 over last 10.
+ A. Nola vs. J. Quintana favors PHI on paper.
+ Nola allowing .301 BAA, 1.48 WHIP, 35.4% hard hit rate over last 40.2 IP.
+ Quintana over last 3:
++ 4.27 xFIP, 1.22 WHIP, .283 BABIP, but ...
++ Quintana 63.5 GB%, 22.6% hard hit
BOS at #Yankees
+ How will Clarke Schmidt look in 2nd start following lengthy absence?
+ Clarke threw 75 pitches on 9/7; how much length tonight?
+ According to full season stats (W-L, R/G, +/-), Red Sox better on the road.
+ NYY riding 2-game walk-off streak.