Crisis Group

We're an independent, non-profit, non-governmental org, committed to preventing and resolving deadly conflict. Our staff:

[Crisis Group @CrisisGroup]

In Ankara’s corridors of power, the most common stance toward European efforts to deter Russia is caution. Our new briefing explains the strategic calculus shaping Türkiye's approach, and what it means for European security.
https://t.co/VgbJqJYPbb

[Crisis Group @CrisisGroup]

A new administration has assumed office in Myanmar following stage-managed elections, with coup leader Min Aung Hlaing becoming president. Despite the civilian façade, the military retains control. https://t.co/5LZox7iEj4

[Crisis Group @CrisisGroup]

"[I]f the hallmark of the 1990s and early 2000s was the institutionalization of peacemaking, this process is now going into reverse."

@RichardGowan1 writes in The Effective Peacebuilding Initiative’s Global Peace Almanac. https://t.co/OIvVXFluXe

[Crisis Group @CrisisGroup]

Outside actors must press Israel to lift the punitive measures it has imposed since October 2023. If they do not, the risk of an explosion that upends the West Bank status quo is bound to increase. https://t.co/iQTPQ7hzEa

[Crisis Group @CrisisGroup]

The U.S and Israel’s war with Iran is no longer merely widening: it is knitting together other theatres, turning every point of vulnerability in the Middle East into a potential front and every act of retaliation into the prelude to the next.
https://t.co/jOciOgq3lE

[Crisis Group @CrisisGroup]

“I’m constantly afraid of airstrikes,” a young woman told Crisis Group’s @tdkean in Myanmar’s Karen state, where conflict and illicit economic activity are deepening.

https://t.co/UzwyNbv4KL

[Crisis Group @CrisisGroup]

Rivalry within one of the world’s largest drug trafficking groups in Sinaloa has sparked vicious fighting since 2024. To curb violence, Mexico should strengthen intelligence gathering and the prosecution of those supporting illegal groups. https://t.co/WjcLUiwkcf

[Mairav Zonszein מרב זונשיין @MairavZ]

Netanyahu understands it’s not just that the US may phase out military assistance for Israel to buy American aircrafts as part of MOU, but that a post Trump admin may not sell Israel any weapons at all

[Mairav Zonszein מרב זונשיין @MairavZ]

Israel has effectively rejected Board of Peace Hamas disarmament deal (and its obligations in the Trump 20 point plan from Oct 2025) by refusing to stop strikes in Gaza and refusing to do any withdrawal - but, Israel has not conducted any strikes in Gaza in last 24 hrs

[Mairav Zonszein מרב זונשיין @MairavZ]

At this point Iran already has that leverage. This would just codify it. https://t.co/QmtGvphR9q via @NYTimes

[Ali Vaez @AliVaez]

Nothing is more wearisome than having to prove, again and again, what ought already to be known.

[William Yang @WilliamYang120]

China’s playbook against Taiwan has been preparing a wide range of measures that it can use to increase pressure on Taipei and identify an opportunity to deploys those tools to effectively change the status quo. This process has been incremental since 2022, but there are signs of acceleration since May 2024. Its reliance on grey zone operations is a deliberate choice to tilt the balance across the Taiwan Strait without resorting to full military means, which both make it difficult for Taiwan, the US and other countries to proportionately respond while achieving the goal of unilaterally altering facts on the ground.

[Crisis Group @CrisisGroup]

The lull brought by the 18 June U.S.-Iranian memorandum of understanding is over. Here’s why.
https://t.co/jOciOgq3lE

[Crisis Group @CrisisGroup]

✍️ NEW OP-ED | Syria’s new parliament can build institutions and trust

Syria’s leadership views the new parliament as a mechanism to rebuild the country’s institutions, rather than to check the presidency’s power, writes @NanarHawach.

https://t.co/fD1nXz72sv

[Crisis Group @CrisisGroup]

🚨 Our latest global conflict update is out. We break down twelve conflict risks in August including Iran, Yemen and Central African Republic.

Find out the latest updates in our new edition of CrisisWatch: https://t.co/3q7Su8II8e

[Crisis Group @CrisisGroup]

Pakistan is well positioned to at the very least prevent the resurgence of all-out war that would bear grave implications for domestic, regional and global security. Here’s why. https://t.co/WaUHRwLsHZ

[Aaron Connelly @ConnellyAL]

In this week's issue of @TheEconomist, we explore some possible explanations: https://t.co/dX5JX6hpDC. Thanks to @le2huong of @CrisisGroup, among others, for insights that informed this analysis.

[Responsible Statecraft @RStatecraft]

Trump’s interest in Libya goes beyond oil, Claudia Gazzini of @CrisisGroup told RS: “there is also a more immediate aspiration [for Trump] to secure a deal and to be seen as victorious — having brought peace to yet another conflict.”

https://t.co/L8dywSFFnu

[Jenifer Vaughan @jenifermvaughan]

Reading the Signals of #China’s #UN Security Council Role in the #Afghanistan Mission Renewal by @FortiD @RichardGowan1 @CrisisGroup https://t.co/mjTyjQ3Hru