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Crosstab
@CrosstabPolls
Every 2026 poll, one clear average. Nonpartisan Senate, House and governor forecast, updated every morning. Build your own prediction β
π Washington DC β’ Global
Joined September 2026
97 Following
33 Followers
500 Posts
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Crosstab's final forecast, from 20,000 simulations:
ποΈ Senate: D 53, R 47 Β· Dems 75%
π House: D 242, R 193 Β· Dems 93%
π³οΈ Governors: D 27, R 23 Β· Dems 74%
Toss-ups: Nebraska Senate, Nevada governor. Chances, not certainties.
Live results Tuesday: https://t.co/Em475Zt9gn
Still counting, not yet projected. Kansas Governor: Holscher (D) +0.6, 100% reported; Alaska Senate: Peltola (D) +0.3, 74% reported (first-choice votes); Alaska Governor: Kreiss-Tomkins (D) +19.9, 73% reported (first-choice votes). Live: https://t.co/bq2jAz2C7C
History on the line: a Democrat hasn't won a U.S. Senate race in Mississippi since John C. Stennis in 1982. Scott Colom leads. For more #Elections2026 latest number π https://t.co/Em475Zt9gn
@cnnbrk Itβs an AI-powered election forecasting app. Its proprietary model aggregates polling and runs thousands of simulations to project outcomes and winning probabilities. Built to put data ahead of politics. Every forecast shows the odds, not a guarantee.
Still counting, not yet projected. Kansas Governor: Holscher (D) +0.5, 100% reported; Alaska Senate: Peltola (D) +0.3, 74% reported (first-choice votes); Alaska Governor: Kreiss-Tomkins (D) +19.9, 73% reported (first-choice votes). Live: https://t.co/bq2jAz2C7C
Crosstab rates Iowa Senate a Toss Up. Full numbers and trend: https://t.co/e5XRpV6g6j
NEW: NY Times/Siena has Iowa Senate at Turek (D) 48, Hinson (R) 47. Crosstab average: Turek (D) +0.6, a Toss Up after 8 polls. Crosstab forecast gives Turek a 55% chance to win. #Midterms2026
Still counting, not yet projected. Kansas Governor: Holscher (D) +0.5, 100% reported; Alaska Senate: Peltola (D) +0.3, 74% reported (first-choice votes); Alaska Governor: Kreiss-Tomkins (D) +19.9, 73% reported (first-choice votes). Live: https://t.co/bq2jAz2C7C
PROJECTION (civicAPI): Kelly Ayotte (R) is projected to win the New Hampshire Governor race. 90% reported: Ayotte 51.5%, Warmington 46.8%. Crosstab's final average: R+6.0. Live: https://t.co/bq2jAz2C7C
Every poll and the forecast: https://t.co/wA8zpXXBIJ
33 new polls today. Crosstab forecast: Democrats 75% to win the Senate.
#Midterms2026
Still counting, not yet projected. Kansas Governor: Holscher (D) +0.5, 95% reported; Alaska Senate: Peltola (D) +0.3, 74% reported (first-choice votes); New Hampshire Governor: Ayotte (R) +9.1, 59% reported; and more. Live: https://t.co/bq2jAz39Xa
Congratulations @nytimes @SienaResearch @atlas_intel π Top of Crosstab's 2026 Pollster Report Card, graded against the actual count. Your poster cards are above, yours to share.
π The most accurate pollsters of the 2026 midterms, graded against the actual count:
π₯ The New York Times / Siena: A, 12 for 12
π₯ AtlasIntel: A, 9 for 9
π₯ GS Strategy Group & New River Strategies: A, 4 for 4
Congratulations π Who's #4? π
https://t.co/7fsMyvim4X
Still counting, not yet projected. Kansas Governor: Holscher (D) +0.5, 95% reported; Alaska Senate: Peltola (D) +0.3, 74% reported (first-choice votes); New Hampshire Governor: Ayotte (R) +9.1, 59% reported; and more. Live: https://t.co/bq2jAz39Xa
Still counting, not yet projected. Kansas Governor: Holscher (D) +0.5, 95% reported; Alaska Senate: Peltola (D) +0.3, 74% reported (first-choice votes); New Hampshire Governor: Ayotte (R) +9.1, 59% reported; and more. Live: https://t.co/bq2jAz39Xa
Which pollsters got it right in 2026? π―
π₯ NYT/Siena (A)
π₯ AtlasIntel (A)
π₯ GS Strategy Group (A)
57 pollsters graded against the actual count. Crosstab's average called 16 of 18 winners.
Is yours an A or an F? π
https://t.co/7fsMyviTUv
Still counting, not yet projected. Kansas Governor: Holscher (D) +0.5, 95% reported; Alaska Senate: Peltola (D) +0.3, 74% reported (first-choice votes); New Hampshire Governor: Ayotte (R) +9.1, 59% reported; and more. Live: https://t.co/bq2jAz39Xa
Still counting, not yet projected. Kansas Governor: Holscher (D) +0.5, 95% reported; Alaska Senate: Peltola (D) +0.3, 74% reported (first-choice votes); New Hampshire Governor: Ayotte (R) +9.1, 59% reported; and more. Live: https://t.co/bq2jAz39Xa
How the polls did: across 15 races with at least 95% reported, Crosstab's final averages missed the count by 4.5 points on average, and had the leader right in 13 of 15. Full results: https://t.co/bq2jAz39Xa
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