CryptoMD

#Bitcoin

[CryptoMD @CryptoMD9]

@CRT_ALPHA1 🙈

[CryptoMD @CryptoMD9]

https://t.co/5HL5Z2ZQQC

https://t.co/y3EFarDA7B

[CryptoMD @CryptoMD9]

Portfolio of 8 pre-registered falsification studies on retail/ICT crypto & forex signals — summary of what survived (almost nothing) and the one cross-study pattern that keeps repeating

[CryptoMD @CryptoMD9]

@Ed_tradess 6 Patterns That Don’t Work 🤦🏻‍♂️

[CryptoMD @CryptoMD9]

Two independent signal constructions now both flag XAG as behaving differently from XAU — not treating it as noise anymore.

[CryptoMD @CryptoMD9]

Pre-registered falsification of the "6 ICT session profiles" framework (Asia/London/NY 7-hour blocks) — BTC, SOL, XAU, XAG, 3 threshold bundles, 72 cells total.
All six profiles falsified.

[CryptoMD @CryptoMD9]

Also: XAG was the worst performer across every single profile and bundle — zero positive cells. Same asset showed a significant opposite-direction effect in an earlier study (forward-test repo).

[CryptoMD @CryptoMD9]

New pre-registered forward test now running, confirmation locked to data collected after today: [https://t.co/qnHwjm36Pd]

[CryptoMD @CryptoMD9]

Pre-registered XAU/DXY session-divergence study — headline test (pooled London+NY, 2h window) did NOT clear p<0.10 (p=0.1265).

[CryptoMD @CryptoMD9]

If this were a real NY-liquidity mechanism, silver should've shown the same sign, just maybe weaker. It didn't. That's a real warning sign, documented before the actual forward test even starts.

[CryptoMD @CryptoMD9]

@CRT_femme Doesn't work. Here is my backtest result.

https://t.co/3B8j3Ulzim

[CryptoMD @CryptoMD9]

Structural edges die differently than technical patterns, but they still die.

[CryptoMD @CryptoMD9]

Tested whether delta-neutral funding rate carry survives costs on BTC/ETH/SOL perps vs spot (2019-2026, full history, pre-registered before touching data).
Falsified — but not for the boring reason.

[CryptoMD @CryptoMD9]

Rebalancing mechanism I pre-registered to fix basis drift? Triggered on 0-2.7% of trades. The 1% threshold was too generous — basis risk is real but passive, it just eats you slowly at exit rather than tripping any alarm.
5th falsification repo.