The current BTC movements are perfectly in line with a continuing bear market.
Though of course it depends what timeframe you're trading on. If you're a short-term trader, you might be enjoying the last few months of minor rallying and feeling a bit bullish.
New #WeTalkMoney episode!
Strong Markets, Fragile Foundations: What Breaks First?
- Why are tech stocks still ripping to all time highs?
- How will Trump’s visit to China impact markets?
- Is bitcoin finally breaking out of its bear market?
The obvious move for bitcoin is a 200MA rejection with a leg down to $50k to get into deep DCA territory…
But the pain trade is a higher low, followed by a $85k break and short squeeze leading to an “early” bull market reversal.
I’ve got trading plans in place for either scenario. Do you?
@glengoodman picked three massive Crypto winners last year on our podcast - Hear what he has to say now!
Always a lot of fun and very informative to have Glen on the pod - especially when @TimPrice1969 is in such good form.
YouTube: https://t.co/O4L7lGfjQw
https://t.co/Tg4zR6qE8n
@sotmpc #crypto #podcast #marketcrash
A watershed day in the markets. 💪
Breakouts beginning in Bitcoin and gold.
Oil price collapsing.
Stocks making new all-time-highs.
Does this fit the narrative about war/inflation/recession? No.
Successful traders pay attention to market direction, not media narratives.
Most people think the Bitcoin 4-year cycle is about the halving.
It's not.
Here's what's actually driving it — and why getting this wrong will cost you the next bull run: 🧵
🎉We are excited to share Terminator-1, our newest agent that achieved 95+% on SWE-bench Verified and Terminal-Bench with @MogicianTony !
But apparently you could get 100% accuracy without solving a single task.
That’s the actual story: most AI benchmarks are still ridiculously easy to reward-hack with simple exploits.The interesting bit isn’t the score.
It’s the 7 design flaws that make so many evals unreliable.👇
The most important thing you can do in current market conditions is simply manage risk.
Take less set ups than usual.
Let the chop play out and be patient for high quality opportunities. (Not financial advice but capital preservation is so important in these conditions)
One of the hardest parts about trading is just stopping.
You lose a trade - you want to make it back
You win a trade - you want to make more
You can gain an edge by knowing when to stop; win or lose.
🚨 2026 SURVIVAL GUIDE TO TRADING
I made this back in January. Still one of the most important things I've put out.
If you're struggling this year, watch this
Sometimes the best trade is no trade.
No FOMO.
No forcing setups.
No overtrading just to feel productive.
Just patience… waiting for your edge to show up.
Most people lose because they have to be in the market.
Know when to sit still.
Doing nothing is a position too.
My goal is to show you guys the realistic side of trading:
- Risk management
- Patience/discipline
- It's okay to miss moves and take breaks
- Conviction with strategy
Not the Crypt Twitter side of trading:
- Huge PNLs
- Gigantic position sizes
- High risk
- Conviction with hope/bias
⚠️ Iran threatening to shut down the Strait of Hormuz is NOT just geopolitical noise.
It’s the single biggest macro risk in the market right now.
~20% of global oil flows through that choke point.
If it closes:
• Oil spikes
• Inflation rebounds
• Risk assets get hit
• Volatility explodes
Situation worth monitoring
Every move has 3 phases:
1. Basing (early, quiet)
2. Confirmation (breakout / trend)
3. Exhaustion (late, crowded)
Most people get this wrong
Let me explain:
Here's how I've built wealth trading bitcoin since 2013...
Bear markets:
- DCA to stack sats at low cost basis
- Short breakdowns to build USD stack
- Avoid buying alts that are bleeding out
- Build into multi-year position trades
Bull markets:
- Buy breakouts & dips, sell into pre-defined targets
- Trade alts quickly, rotate profits into USD
- Sell multi-year position trades into major profit targets
- Avoid shorting into strength (no picking tops)
Cold storage stack grows over each cycle...
Trading position sizes get larger each cycle...
Rinse & repeat.
Last night we were getting all geopolitical on Times Radio, discussing Iran using crypto to evade sanctions, and also Bitcoin's relatively strong performance since the war began.