Cardi

I shitpost magical lines on charts📈📉 Never Financial Advice bc idk what I’m doing

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

Often times, risk assets sell off, then bounce as major conflicts start.

If a rally for Bitcoin does materialize, it will likely yield a lower high in March, just like it did in 2022.

Bear markets tend to take a while to play out.

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

Every cycle is the same.

Yes, crypto could bounce. And honestly, it would be great for sentiment if it could. But even if it does, it would most likely result in a macro lower high.

I don't try and time those bounces. I have tried before with mixed levels of success. Sometimes it works, other times I got rekt.

When BTC drops below the 50W moving average, it then goes to the 100W moving average, spends a little time there, then goes to the 200W moving average.

Every cycle is eventually the same.

BTC topped when it always does (Q4 of the post-halving year), and so many have spent so many hours trying to convince you that it has not.

And BTC entered into a bear market, and so many have tried to get you to believe that alt season is "just around the corner" because it always happens after BTC tops. What they fail to account for is social interest. After the 2019 top there was also no rotation into altcoins, which also occurred just before QT ended.

I track the social interest in the asset class, and it has been trending down since 2021. There is no one new here for people to sell their altcoins to.

Alt seasons historically occur *after* social interest has been trending up for a year, not after it has been trending down for 5 years.

Have an actual plan on navigating this brutal asset class. Because if the altcoins you hold drop another 50%-80% from here, not a single influencer who promoted them will express an ounce of regret for it. And you will simply be living with the consequences.

I get a lot of hate for saying the truth, but an inconvenient truth is better than a lie.

[Cardi @Crypto_cardi]

@GovTimWalz @Tim_Walz

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

All sorts of narratives will circulate.

But bear markets are normal.

Bitcoin has always topped in Q4 of the post-halving year and then bottomed approximately 1 year later.

Trade the market you have, not the market you want

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

Bitcoin bear markets usually last 1 year.

Potential low in October 2026.

Last cycle it took MSTR around 98 weeks to bottom.

98 weeks from MSTR top (November 2024) is also October 2026.

[Cardi @Crypto_cardi]

$BTC welp. We closed those two lower gaps in under a week. El oh el 🫣

[Cardi @Crypto_cardi]

$BTC I see talk about CME gap closed. What about these lower two?

[Cardi @Crypto_cardi]

What if $BTC just consolidates between 90-100k until the end of the year before one final push up for the cycle top?

[Cardi @Crypto_cardi]

$BTC just an observation. Seems to rhyme so far.

[Cardi @Crypto_cardi]

$BTC hmm 🤔

[Cardi @Crypto_cardi]

$BTC death cross coming soon. Pink line is 50 day and blue is 200 day.

[Cardi @Crypto_cardi]

Death cross by the end of the week? Remember these are bullish despite the name

[Cardi @Crypto_cardi]

So dump into then pump

[Cardi @Crypto_cardi]

@UNIVERSEISINFI1

[Cardi @Crypto_cardi]

What if altseason isn’t until the beginning of 2026? $BTC.D

[Cardi @Crypto_cardi]

It’s only a matter of time until $BTC.D hits 71% and CT loses their mind.

[Cardi @Crypto_cardi]

Entire vibe for CT rn

[XO @Trader_XO]

$BTC

[Cardi @Crypto_cardi]

$BTC update. GG 🤝

[Cardi @Crypto_cardi]

$BTC short term idea

[Cardi @Crypto_cardi]

$BTC Asia brought it a little higher to Monday’s mid range than I thought but plan still stands.

[TraderSZ @trader1sz]

$ETHBTC starts trending again soon imo