Cryptocrat

Quant Trader | Macro, Liquidity, Fed & ETF Flows | BTC Mining Economics & 5M Setups | Data-Led Market Intelligence. Independent Analysis. NFA.

[Cryptocrat @Cryptocratico]

ethereum:0xaea46a60368a7bd060eec7df8cba43b7ef41ad85 UPDATE | BREAKOUT DELIVERED — WAVE 3 TARGET $0.17 🚀
FET has delivered the $0.1500 breakout we've been waiting for, followed by confirmed 4H closes above resistance.

We are now in the corrective phase of Wave 2 within my Elliott Wave setup.

A pullback toward $0.1400 would still remain within the boundaries of the current technical pattern.

Once this correction is complete, I'll be watching for the beginning of Wave 3, targeting $0.1700.

🎯 Breakout achieved: $0.1500

📍 Wave 2 correction zone: $0.1400

🚀 Wave 3 target: $0.1700

🛡️ Critical support & stop-loss: $0.1400

However, Bitcoin's technical outlook remains weak.

If bitcoin:native experiences another aggressive sell-off and FET loses the $0.1400 support, I will not maintain the position below that level.

[Cryptocrat @Cryptocratico]

ethereum:0xaea46a60368a7bd060eec7df8cba43b7ef41ad85 UPDATE | WAVE 3 IN PROGRESS — $0.1700 TARGET 🚀
FET has reached the critical $0.1500 resistance zone I've been monitoring.

We're currently in the third Elliott Wave, and I believe a strong, high-volume breakout above this resistance could push FET toward $0.1700.

What's particularly encouraging is FET's resilience despite bitcoin:native 's sharp selling pressure.

FET has managed to hold its ground and is now building upward momentum.

We're approaching a decisive technical level.

🎯 Critical resistance: $0.1500

✅ Long entry confirmation: High-volume breakout with a confirmed 4H close above resistance

🚀 Wave 3 target: $0.1700

My strategy is clear:

If FET breaks above $0.1500 with strong volume and confirms the move with a 4H close, I'll open a long position targeting $0.1700.

Momentum is improving, but the breakout is not confirmed yet.

[Ash Crypto @AshCrypto]

BREAKING: Binance has covered all $6.3 Billion in user assets lost in the biggest financial hack in history.

[Cryptocrat @Cryptocratico]

BREAKING : Jensen Huang will no longer have any role within Nvidia $NVDA going forward.

[Cryptocrat @Cryptocratico]

@JTradeX_paper Kind

[Cryptocrat @Cryptocratico]

ethereum:0xaea46a60368a7bd060eec7df8cba43b7ef41ad85 UPDATE | BREAKOUT DELIVERED — WAVE 3 TARGET $0.17 🚀
FET has delivered the $0.1500 breakout we've been waiting for, followed by confirmed 4H closes above resistance.

We are now in the corrective phase of Wave 2 within my Elliott Wave setup.

A pullback toward $0.1400 would still remain within the boundaries of the current technical pattern.

Once this correction is complete, I'll be watching for the beginning of Wave 3, targeting $0.1700.

🎯 Breakout achieved: $0.1500

📍 Wave 2 correction zone: $0.1400

🚀 Wave 3 target: $0.1700

🛡️ Critical support & stop-loss: $0.1400

However, Bitcoin's technical outlook remains weak.

If bitcoin:native experiences another aggressive sell-off and FET loses the $0.1400 support, I will not maintain the position below that level.

[Cryptocrat @Cryptocratico]

ethereum:0xaea46a60368a7bd060eec7df8cba43b7ef41ad85 UPDATE | WAVE 3 IN PROGRESS — $0.1700 TARGET 🚀
FET has reached the critical $0.1500 resistance zone I've been monitoring.

We're currently in the third Elliott Wave, and I believe a strong, high-volume breakout above this resistance could push FET toward $0.1700.

What's particularly encouraging is FET's resilience despite bitcoin:native 's sharp selling pressure.

FET has managed to hold its ground and is now building upward momentum.

We're approaching a decisive technical level.

🎯 Critical resistance: $0.1500

✅ Long entry confirmation: High-volume breakout with a confirmed 4H close above resistance

🚀 Wave 3 target: $0.1700

My strategy is clear:

If FET breaks above $0.1500 with strong volume and confirms the move with a 4H close, I'll open a long position targeting $0.1700.

Momentum is improving, but the breakout is not confirmed yet.

[Cryptocrat @Cryptocratico]

🚨 NVIDIA CEO JENSEN HUANG FACES SECOND AFFAIR ALLEGATION — SHARES SLIDE AFTER HOURS

A new New York Times investigation alleges that Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang also had an extramarital relationship with Kimberly Powell, a senior Nvidia executive who reports directly to him.

Key developments:

• Five former Nvidia employees reportedly described the alleged relationship to The New York Times.

• Powell serves as Nvidia’s vice president of healthcare and life sciences.

• Two sources claimed Huang and Powell were filmed together at a San Jose hotel during Nvidia’s March conference.

• Nvidia security personnel allegedly offered the person recording the encounter a nondisclosure agreement.

• The alleged footage has not been independently verified.

• Nvidia shares fell approximately 3% in after-hours trading following the report.

The new allegations come just days after Huang acknowledged infidelity amid reports involving a businesswoman suspected of links to Chinese intelligence, prompting Nvidia’s board to launch an independent investigation.

Market implication: The latest claims could intensify scrutiny of Nvidia’s corporate governance, potential conflicts of interest and CEO leadership stability.

Given Huang’s central role in Nvidia’s strategy and global AI leadership, uncertainty surrounding his future remains a significant investor concern.

[Cryptocrat @Cryptocratico]

DAILY SUMMARY — NOVEMBER 11, 2026

AI STOCKS REBOUND. THE DOLLAR STRENGTHENS. CRYPTO SELLING PRESSURE EASES.

1. WALL STREET & AI

Nasdaq +1.60%
S&P 500 +1.31%
Semiconductors +5.7%

CoreWeave surged 24.7% after strong results helped restore confidence in AI infrastructure demand. $CRWV

But profitability, financing costs and data-center expansion risks remain important.

2. FED & THE DOLLAR

DXY reached approximately 102.87 as markets continued pricing further Fed tightening.

US Treasury markets were closed for Veterans Day. Tomorrow's reopening will be important for assessing the bond market's response to inflation and Fed expectations.

3. IRAN & OIL

Brent rose 1.39% to $92.76 after Iran reaffirmed its intention to retain enriched nuclear material.

Hormuz shipping risks remain unresolved, keeping energy-driven inflation risks alive.

4. CRYPTO & ETF FLOWS

Bitcoin traded around $74K.

Latest finalized US ETF flows (Nov. 10):
bitcoin:native : −$95M
ethereum:native : −$1.3M

Outflows are slowing, but institutional inflows have not yet returned.

BTC derivatives recorded $48M in 24-hour liquidations, with approximately 85% from shorts in the latest verified snapshot.

NEXT CATALYST

Thursday's Treasury reopening, AI earnings, Friday's US PPI and new ETF flows.

THE TAKEAWAY

AI demand is supporting equities, while tighter monetary expectations and geopolitical risks continue to challenge broader markets.

Crypto is showing early signs of stabilization, but sustainable upside still requires institutional demand and confirmed price action.

[Cryptocrat @Cryptocratico]

@AshCrypto Once you lose the election, push every button.

[Cryptocrat @Cryptocratico]

@coinbureau Yes 100%

[Cryptocrat @Cryptocratico]

@cryptorover 🤣🤣👏

[Cryptocrat @Cryptocratico]

@AshCrypto Adoption matters, but token value capture matters even more.

[Cryptocrat @Cryptocratico]

@cryptorover The problem is that the updates you mentioned, as well as many others, have very little impact on the price. What really matters is identifying which updates will actually move the market.

[Cryptocrat @Cryptocratico]

ethereum:native UPDATE | STRONG VOLUME RETURNS — $2,150 IS THE KEY
Ethereum has attracted significant trading volume, triggering an upward move.

But is this a genuine recovery or just another fake rally?

The reaction at the critical $2,150 resistance zone will give us the answer.

🎯 Key resistance: $2,150

✅ Bullish scenario: A confirmed breakout above this level would be positive for both ETH and the broader altcoin market.

⚠️ Bearish scenario: If ETH fails to break this resistance, the overall technical outlook remains negative.

[Cryptocrat @Cryptocratico]

@AlexMasonCrypto Thanks, but none of this is secret information, my friend, especially in times like these.

[Cryptocrat @Cryptocratico]

near:native UPDATE | BULLISH MOMENTUM CONTINUES — $3.90 REMAINS CRITICAL
My outlook remains unchanged from my previous analysis.

NEAR continues to build bullish momentum, gaining approximately 5% today.

The improving technical structure is encouraging, but I'm not calling a confirmed bullish trend reversal just yet.

$3.90 remains the critical resistance level I'm watching.

Confirmed 4H closes above this level would shift my broader technical outlook to bullish.

[Cryptocrat @Cryptocratico]

near:native UPDATE | BULLISH MOMENTUM BUILDING — $3.90 IS THE KEY
Following the sharp correction triggered by bitcoin:native 's decline, NEAR is beginning to show encouraging signs of technical improvement.

For the first time in its recent short-term structure, NEAR has formed a higher high, suggesting that bullish momentum is starting to strengthen.

I consider this a positive development, but it's still too early to confirm a broader bullish trend reversal.

The critical resistance level remains $3.90.

Confirmed 4H closes above this level would shift my overall technical outlook to bullish.

🎯 Key resistance: $3.90

✅ Bullish trend confirmation: 4H closes above $3.90

I believe a move toward this resistance could help NEAR regain significant bullish momentum.

[Cryptocrat @Cryptocratico]

ethereum:0xaea46a60368a7bd060eec7df8cba43b7ef41ad85 UPDATE | WAVE 3 IN PROGRESS — $0.1700 TARGET 🚀
FET has reached the critical $0.1500 resistance zone I've been monitoring.

We're currently in the third Elliott Wave, and I believe a strong, high-volume breakout above this resistance could push FET toward $0.1700.

What's particularly encouraging is FET's resilience despite bitcoin:native 's sharp selling pressure.

FET has managed to hold its ground and is now building upward momentum.

We're approaching a decisive technical level.

🎯 Critical resistance: $0.1500

✅ Long entry confirmation: High-volume breakout with a confirmed 4H close above resistance

🚀 Wave 3 target: $0.1700

My strategy is clear:

If FET breaks above $0.1500 with strong volume and confirms the move with a 4H close, I'll open a long position targeting $0.1700.

Momentum is improving, but the breakout is not confirmed yet.

[Cryptocrat @Cryptocratico]

🚨 TSMC APPROVES UP TO $1 BILLION IN OPENAI AND ANTHROPIC INVESTMENTS

The world's largest contract chipmaker is moving beyond supplying AI infrastructure to acquiring direct equity exposure to leading AI developers.

• Anthropic: Up to $500M in shares at its IPO price.

• OpenAI: Up to $500M in preferred stock.

• Total authorized investment: Up to $1B.

• Anthropic's targeted IPO valuation: As high as $1.4T.

• TSMC's expected 2026 revenue growth: Approximately 44%.

Market implication: TSMC is positioning itself to capture potential financial returns from AI developers, in addition to manufacturing the chips powering their infrastructure.

The move highlights how supplier relationships across the AI ecosystem are evolving into strategic capital partnerships.

[Cryptocrat @Cryptocratico]

🚨 ADNOC VESSEL DAMAGED IN UAE WATERS — HORMUZ SHIPPING RISKS PERSIST

ADNOC Logistics & Services has confirmed that one of its vessels sustained damage following an attack in the UAE's territorial waters.

Separately, UK Maritime Trade Operations reported that a tanker was struck by an unidentified projectile approximately 19 nautical miles northeast of Lima, Oman.

• Response operations involving the ADNOC vessel are ongoing.

• All crew members aboard the tanker reported by UKMTO were said to be safe.

• A possible connection between the two incidents has not been established.

Market implication: Despite hopes for a diplomatic resolution with Iran, physical security risks across critical energy shipping routes remain elevated.

Further attacks could increase risks to oil shipments, marine insurance costs and freight rates.

[Cryptocrat @Cryptocratico]

🚨 CHINA'S PRODUCER INFLATION SURGES TO 5.7% — DOMESTIC DEMAND REMAINS WEAK

China's October inflation figures reveal a widening divergence between rising industrial costs and subdued consumer demand.

• PPI: +5.7% YoY vs. +5.3% expected.

• Previous PPI: +5.0%.

• CPI: +0.7% YoY vs. +0.8% expected.

• Previous CPI: +0.9%.

• Core CPI: Slowed to 0.8% from 1.0%.

Producer inflation has reached its highest level since June 2022.

Market implication: Higher energy costs linked to the Middle East conflict are pressuring Chinese manufacturers, while weak household demand limits their ability to pass those costs on to consumers.

This could squeeze corporate margins and strengthen the case for further economic support from the People's Bank of China.

Rising producer prices do not necessarily signal a recovery in domestic demand.

[Cryptocrat @Cryptocratico]

🚨 SIEMENS ENERGY REPORTS RECORD RESULTS — AI POWER DEMAND DRIVES €164 BILLION ORDER BACKLOG

Siemens Energy has delivered a record fiscal year as rising electricity demand fuels orders for gas turbines and grid infrastructure.

Key figures:

• FY2026 revenue: €44.2B, up 15.5% on a comparable basis.

• Profit before special items: €5.5B.

• Net income: €4.1B.

• Free cash flow before tax: €8.8B.

• Record order backlog: €164B.

• US orders: €27.7B, up 70.8%.

• Proposed dividend: €2.30 per share, up from €0.70.

FY2027 outlook: 14%–16% revenue growth, a 14%–16% profit margin and approximately €5B in net income.

The company is targeting a 20%–22% profit margin by 2030.

Its previously loss-making wind division, Siemens Gamesa, has also reached break-even.

Market implication: The biggest beneficiaries of the AI investment cycle may extend well beyond semiconductor companies.

Power generation, gas turbines and grid infrastructure are becoming increasingly strategic.

However, the €5B net income outlook for 2027 falls short of the €5.5B analyst consensus.

[Cryptocrat @Cryptocratico]

DAILY SUMMARY — NOVEMBER 10, 2026

HOT CPI. HAWKISH FED. RISK ASSETS UNDER PRESSURE.

1. US INFLATION

October CPI: +0.4% vs. +0.3% expected.
Core CPI: +0.3%.

Markets now fully price at least a 25-basis-point Fed hike in December, with a larger move back in consideration.

2. THE FED & BONDS

Fed Governor Christopher Waller raised the possibility of a 50-basis-point hike.

The US 10-year Treasury yield briefly crossed 5%, while the dollar strengthened.

Higher yields are putting renewed pressure on technology valuations and crypto.

3. WALL STREET & AI

Nasdaq −0.74%
S&P 500 −0.38%
$NVDA −5.4%

Anthropic's planned IPO could raise up to $64.4B, while CoreWeave's results showed continued demand for AI infrastructure.

4. CRYPTO

Bitcoin traded near $73.6K in the latest verified data window.

bitcoin:native derivatives recorded approximately $200M in 24-hour liquidations, predominantly longs.

The latest reported BTC and ethereum:native ETF session showed approximately $386M in combined outflows.

5. OIL & IRAN

Brent continued lower as Washington signaled restraint toward further strikes on Iran.

But lower oil has not yet offset the pressure from persistent inflation and rising Treasury yields.

NEXT CATALYST

US PPI, Fed commentary, Treasury yields and fresh ETF flows.

THE TAKEAWAY

Falling oil is a positive disinflationary signal, but markets need evidence that inflation and funding pressures are genuinely easing.

Until then, technical confirmation and improving institutional demand matter more than expectations.