PCE was up but the average person has less money! Savings are down from .4% to .2%
Here's a chart that shows the trajectory of how much money people have left over after expenses 👇
This number precedes a drop in consumption (inflation). Feds are falling behind ⚠️#stockmarket
Importantly: Don't think of savings rate as people who put money away into a savings account or a 401k / IRA or some investment fund.
I explain it differently so you can better understand.
What we see here is simply the amount of money people have left over after expenses. When people have a big surplus, they tend to spend more money on discretionary items aka consumption. Higher consumption raises things like PCE (personal consumption expenditures) and has an impact on inflation.
When people don't have excess money, they spend less which pulls these numbers down. But the order is money first then expenditures. Meaning a drop in savings (aka money) means an ensuing drop in consumption if nothing changes.
This chart shows it isn't a short term item. This is an on going trend. Eventually, people not being able to spend has a negative effect on GDP and the economy overall. This is what we would label as a consumer recession.
Feds keeping rates elevated stresses people's finances and contributes dramatically this very scenario.
Meaning, the longer they wait for "more data" the more beaten down people are, the more we risk creating bigger issues economically.
Hope that provides a very down to earth type of explanation vs the financial jargon you see in the market place.
Have seen so many colleagues/peers get taken out back despite Bitcoin [market leader] about 12% from ATHs.
Breaks my heart and puts a shiver down my spine.
Always, always, always cash out to preserve your lifestyle. It’s an insurance against you doing something stupid.
It’s looked down on here but I’m a big advocate for paying yourself and never looking back.
Could be at $35K or $65K Bitcoin, doesn’t matter. You’ll thank yourself.
🚨The Psychology Of Stock & Options Trading - MUST WATCH!
- No "Bro science"👎
- Concepts are based on clinical data 👍
- Hold on to losses & "hope"? Exit too early?
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Reposting as X isn't loading previous version.
#optionstrading #stocks
Put all your time into crypto the next 6 months and enjoy life after. Bills paid, financial worries gone, all because you followed best practices for investing. You didn't take stupid risks, you diversified, you moved slowly, you scaled in at the bottom, you scaled out at the top. And you ignored all the broke, inexperienced clowns trying to discourage you from having success. Can be so simple.
4 years ago I read a thread on 'Specific Knowledge' from Naval.
2 years later I used it to make over $1M online.
But what is 'Specific Knowledge?
And how do you actually get it?
↓
This is the last year of my 20s.
I've made many millions and achieved high levels of physical/mental fitness.
These are the 3 essential principles I use for extreme levels of productivity.
(book recommendations at the end)
Principle 1: Essentialism
Do less but better.
Once my goals are set, I eliminate EVERYTHING that doesn’t contribute to those.
Give yourself permission to stop trying to do it all.
Productivity is not how to get more things done but getting the right things done.
This will force you to grapple with trade-offs and make decisions that shape your life.
Principle 2: The ONE Thing
The most valuable part of my entire day every day is my focus block.
4 hours that go toward the ONE most important task I've identified.
This is the ONE task that is the most high leverage in pushing my goals forward.
Then I spend 30 minutes at the end of this period planning my next day 4 hour block.
I would continue to make 90% of my progress in life if I just did this 4 hour block daily.
Principle 3: Rest and play
Burnout can manifest in 2 ways.
-The obvious which is a complete short term crash in productivity
-The subtle which is a loss of creativity and drive over a long period of time
Given consistency and compound are the secret to long term results. We must avoid this at ALL costs.
Rest Essentials
- 1 rest day completely off from work
- Optimised diet, sleep, exercise, meditation
- 2-3 social events every week
- 1 form of play in your life.
Play must be voluntary, physically and mentally challenging and in a context outside of work.
e.g competitive sports, musical instruments, artistic pursuits.
Book Recommendations
The One Thing by Gary Keller
Essentialism by Bregg Mckeown
Rest by Alex Soojung-Kim Pang
How did I become a profitable trader?
The answer will surprise many.
Two things made this possible
1) The highly professional private mentorship program by @KoroushAK and his team
2) Consistently working on my goals. Every day , for 6 months, I put in 2-5 hours to learn, improve and trade.
I executed a total of 600 trades over that time.
Here is the recipe for consistent and reliable success as a trader
Quick Stupid Rules for Beginner Traders that I can think of.
1. Trade LTF. Practice a lot. Keep clicking. Learn from high iteration.
2. Start with Using FRVP. Try sticking to it.
3. Don't trade Breakouts. Don't Buy ATH or Range High.
4. Stick to 5 Minute for Day Trading. Use 1 Minute as an Indicator.
5. Find Trend on Daily or 4 hour TF and trade in that trend.
Example - Don't try to Short when HTF is Bullish.
6. Use 1 Hour 55 EMA as Mean.
7. Study Volume and Buy/Sell Liquidation events.
8. Don't Move your SL.
9. Know your Exit Before you enter. Most important.
10. Stick with 1-2 Pairs for the first few months.
11. Start with small Capital and test all tools. Use this as Tution fee.
12. Cut Losses immediately.
13. If you're nervous, decease your trading size.
Trade Journal Mastery: How To Build A Profitable Strategy
Trading without a journal is like trying to drive a car blind.
Keeping a journal is the best way to improve your trading.
I'll show you how.
6,792% $CRM Trade Idea Tutorial 🚀🤑(Technical Correlations)
- This video explains how to perform correlative technical analysis.
- I discuss how to perform the charting, how it can help you line up a trade & more.
Smash the ❤️comment & share if this is appreciated!
#optionstrading #stocks (pls don't actually smash your phone, keyboard or otherwise. A tap will suffice 🤝!)
There are many traders feeling FOMO after locally TP'ing longs today. For example, I TP'd my $BTC long from 65K at 68K Daily liquidity. Now.. do I feel FOMO? The answer is no. Let me explain..
For the past TWO MONTHS, my TP's often coincided with the market reversing. Those who constantly held for the homerun move (such as what we saw today) were met with repetitive round trips and stop outs.
Understand your strategy and the pros/cons associated with it. With that said, seeing today's price action does tell me to allow moves to play out more moving forward. If we're moving from a choppy environment to a trending environment, I do change my system a bit.
The point is.. don't feel FOMO when you've been trading the market correctly for the past 2 months. Accept that today may have brought a change to market dynamics and adapt moving forward.
Daily Plan to make the most out of the crypto bull run;
- Chart $BTC
- Guage market sentiment
- Check on your altcoin watchlist
- Plan your trades
- Set alerts at key levels
- Trade your plan
Do this every day and see what happens.
Seems a lot of people have no idea how to journal trades.
I'll work on something for this.
While you wait you can learn technical analysis, risk management, psychology and more with my free trading course.
https://t.co/hnaxGiYAds